« The Ben Shapiro Show

Ep. 1452 - Putin’s Escalation Continues

2022-03-14

Vladimir Putin unleashes a strike against a Ukrainian base along the Polish border; Iran fires missiles at the US consulate in Erbil, Iraq; and China generously offers to mediate between Russia and Ukraine.

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This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Vladimir Putin unleashes a strike against ukrainian base along the polish border, around there's missiles at the? U S: consulate in aerial Iraq China generously offers to mediate between Russia and Ukraine I mentioned this is the bench I'll show you Dementia Bureau show is sponsored by Express Bbn. I talk about them. Every single, shall I haven't you gonna be Vienna, expressive, bbn, dot com right now express a gps dot com, Slash Ben right now. You may notice the european way too much money for literally all things. There are no things that you are paying too little money for one of the things being waged much money for any get that bill lowered right now, your cell phone coverage, stopping from rising agency and he mobiles social initiatives, paying for their retail stores across the country. You have never once visited something for the added proxy you ve never actually use. Your talk is willing to solve problems are not gonna charging for any of that stuff. Instead, avian killer, Gee coverage on the same five g network is one of the big guys for about half the cost. The average
saving over eight hundred dollars year. So what exactly is your excuse? I made the switch in keep your number, keep your phone or get huge discounts on the latest iphones and androids, and unlimited talk text, six gigs of data for just thirty bucks a month? Listen if you still want unlimited data in get it and still save a fortune could appear, talked outcome shop for the planet's right for you. If a third, a risk free guarantees. You literally have nothing to lose a pure talked outcome and her promo code Shapiro, you will say fifty percent off your very first month of coverage. That's pure talk, dotcom, promo Code, Shapiro, pure talk is sick smarter wireless switch over the way I did today pure talked outcome. Promo code Shapiro already. So Russia continues to ratchet up the pressure in this war. on Ukraine. According to the Wall Street Journal latest than a russian airstrike on ukrainian military training centre. Closer to polish border through into Our belief, the hazards of the western push to deliver, arm, support to keep well of wooden a conflict they nuclear adversary, airstrike. Thirty, five people at the facility in YA,
free of about ten miles from the polish border early on Sunday, far to the West, where the conflict has been concentrated. If you look at the map into the key of the sort of two thirds of the way west of the eastern boundary of Ukraine and this particular facility is on the border is wonderful, SK. I warned the west. It would consider arms deliveries to Ukraine as legitimate targets. a large portion of the military aid from us passes through Poland into western Ukraine, part Finally, the? U S and NATO are walking between eating Ukraine militarily, whilst sharing clear of providing troops or enforcing a no fly zone that Ukraine has called for. The expansion of Russia's aggression. Its target close to Poland also increases the risk of war encroaching on NATO territory, which the states is already war would be treated as an attack on the lines any strike on Poland would bring the full force of the NATO alliance to bear in responding to it according to Jake Sullivan, use national security advisers right now. The question is: what exactly are the Russians doing in? The answer, of course, is that the Russians are rationing, things up, they are attempting to pressure the west into cracking. They see cracks in the western
As far as how far the west is willing, go, they see vulnerabilities and they are currently seeking to exploit those vulnerabilities. What they understand is that if they pressure the west enough into not giving Ukraine the kind of support, it needs the high likelihood at that point. Is this? A lens key makes the sorts of concessions the west doesn't like, but that do preserves Linsky in power Ukraine, while limiting what he can actually do on behalf of Ukraine, where Russia is ask for right now, demanding not asking for since they have two hundred thousand troops and country What they are demanding is that you recognize, as independent, the breakaway genes DNS can will hand over in the eastern part of Ukraine that they recognise the russian annexation of Crimea. Which has been a long standing russian demand because the majority of Crimea, russian speaking people they they held a plenum in two thousand fourteen. It was an election that wasn't particularly clean in which the people of he has supposedly voted to join Russia in all likely
The reality is that if you have the clean election, it's possible- maybe probable, Why me about to join Russia anywhere in the aftermath of this particular attack? It's it's possible that that goes. The other way in any case, a Russia's demanding that those breakaway regions which worse essentially seated by Vladimir Putin, by putting his so called little green men inside to start some sort of russian war against the ukrainian government and then create breakaway province. That would join with Russia in foreign policy, that Ukraine, nice that it does not have any control over those regions they also Ukraine's you say that it will never join NATO or joined the EU. Those are the Big things there's a big asked and demands from the russian government and the world this war goes on in the more weakness the west shows the more likely Wednesday's going to say to the west. Listen you guys are more than happy to see this war go on with, cranium bodies in the streets they are. Willingly give us the kind of support that would be actually necessary to beat the Russians back to Russia.
Are you really want to see? Is us continue to resist banal strongly enough? There would trigger a larger war and say you know what I'm not up for that. I'm gonna give them what the reality on the ground already is. Then I'm going to say that we won, because we preserved Ukraine's independence from Russia, even if we had to make some concessions, but the truth is you weren't letting us into the EU anyway? That's true your letter since a NATO anyway? It is also true. So what exactly do I have to lose by cutting a deal here alone? This goes on, in other words, the more it looks like Putin's gamble, which is that the West was going to chicken out that the west was essentially going to back down him. It looks like deck. Amble was not entirely. Misplaced. So few things can we draw once one this was amiss population by Putin, because he thought it would number one b a cakewalk number to the West responded all and number two Putin's basic premise. the longer he holds out and more damage. She does the more likely that the West is going came to his demands back and still be true because, as it turns out folks in the West,
leaders in the West are still highly dependent on russian oil and natural gas in Europe, for example, as you will see, the binding ministration still counting on the Russians to cut a crappy IRAN nuclear deal so It is just that, if I ratchet up attention, if I killer of people and the ones he's going to cave Jimmy. Hell, Clemson, sort, victory outcomes and sort of victory I'll get. Most of what I wanted sure won't have been what I really wanted, which is it kills Wednesday. take over the entire country The reality is a deep Guerrilla war. That is essentially started inside Ukraine, and you military vending off the russian military. Is this injustice put in a long term. Occupation is a really really bad idea. There may be the best thing that potent hope to get out of this is so in power. But- essentially conceding the major points that Putin wants in Ukraine in the first one, now. The reason I say this is because the is showing signs of cracking the west when this first happened is evident. A ship is much weaponry as we could possibly want into their. There is open talk just last week.
The Secretary of State, tony blinking, on national television, but We are going to help shape or migs integration. It could make sure that Russia can create no fly zone over Ukraine and there's two possibilities: one NATO, rating of a no fly zone that was off the table because we didn't want to go direct war with the Russians near the second was dont. Let I have a no fly zone, make sure Ukraine can still find them off near and that would have allowed. That would mean. shipping Migs old soviet migs into Ukraine? by the way? The reason you should migs in Ukraine is opposed to appoint user of thirty. Five is because- The ukrainian Palestine issue not fly of twenty two draft. Thirty five. They know how to fly old soviet migs, because that's what they're airforces at this point, but the problem is every time Putin pushes the West seems to crack just a little bit so for action. This whole debate over sending migs into Ukraine. It start off. Last week with the successor states angle, do it, and by the end of the week
did you say we absolutely are not going to do it and ass? It turns out the doubt that was called directly from the top those he Joe Biden call according to political. That was no one else that was Joe Biden stepped in, and so we are not going to act. We allow the shipping of migs in Ukraine, the are our air base over at Ramstein in Germany. We're not gonna. Do that, and we're also going to be pretty cautious about allowing the poles to do that as well. There was trouble over the weekend, saying that he Then, if we had sense planes in Ukraine over the border, ukrainian pilots, that this would have been world war, three it but were already sending all sorts of anti air batteries. Reasoning, javelin missiles in there was an stingers recent elsewhere. Weaponry everywhere. Why exactly would this be any different? If the idea is well, you know it's because Vladimir Putin is can get pissed. Britain has already declared that economic warfare is a form of warfare, he's already nuclear warrior. So do you really believe that Lattimer button is going to launch a nuclear war? If you say a few migs over the border, not you fight
genes directly by the way you just land, eight ukrainian airbases, the ukrainian military conveyed the Russians, We ve already been reaffirming its a mystery here. There's no deniability, here's Joe Biden, basically caving under pressure from glamour Putin The idea that we're gonna send in office equipment and have plays in times and trains are going with american pilots in american crews, Just understand! Don't kid yourself! No matter what your stay it's called world war. Three Ok, so now he just parroting whenever Putin is first of all, we won't talk about sending american pilots and american plains of abort we're not sending old soviet planes over the border American pilots like ukrainian violence is not the same thing at all, only says. Well, we send often too well. What do you think guns are just what what is it? Please explain to me the difference in sending javelin missiles and anti aircraft missile.
We're going to take down planes and setting in place that are going to take down planes. You have explained the law google differentiation between those two things. Nobody is talking about sending in Soviet made they can attack russian bases in Russia. The hell is he talking about reboot? Look this crazy old man he's like, while I feel like I can just keep going, here and the longer I go, the better chance they are going to back down and he's kind of an amazing thing, because right now you have a second rate world power, which is what they are are. They are nuclear arbitrary second rate, world power. There aghast with the nuclear arsenal dictating terms to the United States most powerful, free on planet earth with a military, significantly more powerful than any in the history of mankind. and when you Sherman over the State Department, she sang same thing. The Pentagon says that if we move just Ukraine could get very complicated. So in other words, when Putin threatens you guys enough, you back down, so why would you think they put in it? That's why Putin is right. Things up as it turns out every time you shall weakness to the bare the bare attacks The Pentagon, however, made an assessment
trying to move. These planes was very complicated that filling them was virtually impossible that what Ukrainians really needed, where Anti aircraft Anti tank and anti armor weapons, which is we are supplying them in great measure and coordinating with other countries to do the same well. It seems like they were directly asking for those jobs, so no on and John Carbon from the Pentagon. He says is the same thing you know. Well, you know it's really and their interest for the United States and Russia to get into an irritant whose ultimate narrower? What are you talking about? We are talking about Ukrainians. fine, old, soviet eggs. the more and Ukraine as whores came out right now, we're going to the United States get no one wants an air with Russia. Nobody wants to war with Russia, and who is using, that is using the fact, the west doesn't want war with him in order to get pretty much everything that he craves areas? John, me from the Pentagon. Well, if you
put american planes american pilots in that your basically going to war with Russia. I, as a young officer on an aircraft carrier, participated from the ship in a no fly zone effort over northern Iraq. It is combat, there's no way you can do that without being willing to shoot and be shot at. It is combat- and I don't think it's in anybody's interests- certainly not Ukraine's interest for the United States and Russia to be getting in a war in their space. Nobody is talking about that. Nobody wants that, but let's be real about this in shipping millions of dollars and weaponry over that border consistently since the beginning of this war, whether showing some signs of cracking against Russia, but you should not show any signs of cracking when it comes to making sure the eat healthy. But here is the problem is probably also for what it's an evolutionary problem. Everything taste great seems to have one budget line calories while not any or let me introduce you to tests amaze what of eating healthy, tasted, great test. They found a way to make this magic. And with their award winning ranch, dressings integrates Tessa maize is an American made company.
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weakness based on our signal The reality is. The point is not walk across the border in Ukraine unless he thought the western weaken. Maybe one of the reasons you thought West was weak is because the west was weak up until this The White House was telling Vladimir Putin you better cut that out. Why isn't just get on board with the global bill back better plan? How great an l wearing politico in December, twenty, twenty one senior: U S, military officials told lawmakers they wanted to a few hundred additional special ops personnel? Do grain to provide Jerry advice in training and unconventional warfare at the time. Russia had amassed roughly a hundred thousand troops on the border with Ukraine. Concerns were growing in Washington in Europe about a broadening invasion, but the white had concerns about unemployment. The troops were never sent apparel Defence secretary load, Austin plans directly present Joe Biden to approve the mission and Biden turned down
a senior military official told how lawmakers the White House was concerned, sending the truth you to escalate the already tense situation with Russia. We I mean the thing we didn't send those troops, otherwise the Russians went across that word invaded Ukraine or something which they did thirteen rational official top political Pentagon official briefly sent an Armed Services committee that plans have been scrapped due to those concerns the binding restoration, hope, diplomacy, might still work and feared lots of? U S. Troops could scuttle those efforts once again. These folks operating in Lala Land, their operating in cloud cuckoo land, it's insane their operating from the perspective that it is that it is somehow America helping our allies defend themselves that causes our adversaries to get aggressive is precisely the opposite. Our adversaries get more aggressive when they believe we are weak. It is not that we strong into our adversaries challenges. we get weakens our adversaries challenge. Us is the way that it works. Life. I'm so confused by this notion like just take it on a personal level there's a guy's walkin around your high school, you worked all the time- and it just so happens-
he might be carrying switchblade. Is that the guy you attack or Is the guy that you attack looks vulnerable and carrying around wallet full of lunch money who do you attack by business stupid thing in the world. While you know, if we look strongly caravan switchblade that may make them feel violence against us, and then they might attack you great well really slow plan for the binding illustration of seven December. We're not gonna, send special ops people over there for true because doing so might incentivize the Russians to attack is clearly avoid that attack. You said a great job await us spokesperson is now trying denied us saying no such as for additional training wherever presented to them has or the USA. We have no idea what this is. Referring to. You said the spokesperson at offence, department, official, the binding in the White House. Go. Do not cancel any plan training activities for Ukraine until yours forces reposition in February. Neither of us
would comment on the capital briefings themselves or whether a mission was discussed with the White House informally that fell below the threshold of inefficient plan so yeah. That means that dad happen that that that's precisely what happened there, so Russia is striking near the polish border now, but by the way they are now threatening. I should point out here: And when you have me the binding ministration, claiming that it's the shipment across the border of the jets that is really going to be the deciding factor. Whether a war begins. Let me point out here that the soviet Foreign Minister, russian Foreign Minister, rehab cop, he came out yesterday and he said but if you ship in air defence systems, that will be an escalation, not just hot air defence systems. This is according to the Russians that before ministers again, making just ratcheting rhetoric, knowing that the more they ratchet up the rhetoric, the more the binding ministration is going to back out which is also why their attacking the polish border, because what they're saying is, do you want
you also higher bluff, I'm interested in us calling your bluff Is that really what you want? Headway with vision, NEO of the aftermath of the strike on the base. That was nearly polish border you can see, is bring major freight is a lot of stuff It's on fire over there Look you can't see. There's basically it say this area. Which is well out of line and animal is, is one smoking rubble is smoking people, rubble John greater right in the middle of the street. That is a russian missile that is hitting about ten miles from the polish bore. Now the United States is warning Nato would respond if Russia actually directly hits Poland and is it their response that, if, if you really do it, if you really do it, then we will respond to you, but it's and I think the boot knows that is likely true. But the whole point here. he's going to back you guys down he's got me.
You guys do is make friends, and then you don't actually fulfil on on your threats, mean right now at the moment, French and the Germans going to China, Pushings Olenska for immediate ceasefire in it is the people who are. On the defence inside its NATO pushing for the cease fire its NATO was pushing Zalewski. For some sort of concessions. Here because they're not willing to go full hog, and who knows that? Which is? Why is pushing harder heresy, and reporting. Yesterday presence landscape also spoke to the french president. He also from conversation the german chancellor, ahead of their phone call with the russian president, and he urged them when they spoke to. Let him Putin to press for that ceasefire? Now? That is what the two leaders did source theories. A palace says that the president of the present a maximum and chance results both both pressed Vladimir Putin. On that point, emphasising the group
the cost of the war to Russia and urging him, therefore, to change his calculation ok, so I mean they can push Putin as much as they want. But here is the point folks in Germany, no fifty percent of their energy is coming from Russia. So what exactly are they going to do? They think is a long term plan airlines along from, let me well Joe Biden, keeps making here's the thing. Every time you makes a threat even seems tobacco. from the threat other than economic sanctions. Economic sanctions is easy to pull the trigger on those because those actually involve lost. Wife. Fails. Achieve what you're. What you're signals achieves general rule must forget for willing to do like a full time war blockade on a country, economic sanctions they will squeeze, but they want stop. Was Joe Biden over the weekend threatening that if Russia used chemical weapons, they would pay a severe price. I remember another democratic president who once proclaim that if a country used chemical weapons, you'd cross redline? You know benefited from that Russia
If you recall that was Brok Obama in Syria, saying that brochure ass used to Chemical weapon, United States would do something. Some assurance unused to chemical weapon and the United States, four thousand or Barack Obama was what, if I just turn over Syria to Russia and then he came in and levelled lubber, so bright job every. And this is it I'm sure, this very credible, all for all. The military threats are very credible when you have Joe Biden doing his eminent clutch. My my binder and whenever he starts clutching the binary can see the insecurity in the body. Language really is pathetic. Here's the president You must have a military response, does want a chemical weapons attack. Knocker speak about intelligent brush repair. Severe pressure can all well like white mode ass near by be precisely because you said they're gonna pay a fair price for crossing the ukrainian border, and now you want it makes him and also you seem afraid, to ship more weaponry and of Type and, as it turns out your even
to call the Russians out when it comes to the Iranian we'll get to that in just a mummy by the way, the belarussian President Alexander Lukashenko, whose now with Putin is. I am glad this war started a meaningful out saying it. They cannot see us losing any phaser, I think I'll, be fine. We didn't start this war. Our consciousness is clear. I'm glad it's started. Biological weapons largest nuclear stations. All of these was ready to be exploded, Ok, so he that those revise mean that in the claim here is that the Ukrainians were being used, biological or nuclear weapons, that that is not true. But the point here is that, where American enemies see weakness. Where would they push where there is much that has always been the plan? They push where there's much solely left likes to claim that the right is somehow promote and there may be a but but there's a bunch of people on the left. You seem to be prudent. Actually of all this. Would you mind of the simple fact the world is a risky place and you need,
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becomes last Shapiro home, they are free home and auto. Insurance quote see how much you could save today. Now I've your message: I did not note here that the media, paying particular game where they pretend that there is widespread descent on the right from the notion that we should and of the Russian of Russia over the invasion of Ukraine. Other is a percentage of the right that believes that basically, Putin should be able to do what he wants with Ukraine. What business of it is advised? Why do we care it mattered us at all, but there, is also a significant portion of the law. It is on national television, saying that we should care about Ukraine because much white people any MSNBC, stiffening, Tiffany Cross. She came out over the weekend and she was like you know. I funding run. It become a Harris was in Poland, because Poland is filled with white supremacist. Poland. Ok, we're not even talking about Ukraine. At this point and which is a NATO member, is not lost on me
She spoke in Poland as some people in the border. Poland were not welcoming to people of african and south asian descent. The vice president herself is of Africa and south asian descent. She didn't address. This. In her remarks- and I dont know if she addressed at privately or not, but on this curious, your thoughts the irony of that situation to see her where you know there is even documented evidence of rampant white supremacy in Poland, Obviously that was top priority, and we here in the middle of a war that may involve NATO soon in Poland, is the chief shipping mechanism into Ukraine. But I mean You ve, come a Harrison talk about white supremacy in immigration policy and the polish border that well done on a it just really really solid self from from MSNBC. Meanwhile, eleven Omar is taking the perspective that all of US sanctions on russian oil and gas. That has to stop as stop huge. Upset about that the region by the way she said about. That is because Russia is helping out her friends over in IRAN with radical MOSS and another.
Your ears, Open Amr. We have to think about what this means a year from now what this means two years three years from now and- and I think ultimately, this is not and well for our the actual people of of Russia, It's not going to end well for the people of Europe as well take it from the open, anti Semite in Congress who openly, despite his many things about America. Meanwhile, the iranian over the weekend decided will be great idea to fling a missile at a consulate in Iraq so there actual video of this. This explosion in airmail Iraq, which is in Kurdistan, that the kurdish part of of rock Iran is openly firing missiles into this area and they are targeting places where american consulates are irrelevant, the video
I say not how much lets you won't get ourselves that is pretty frightening. Cornea associated press IRAN claimed responsibility Sunday for a missile barrage that struck near a sprawling. U S consulate complex in northern Iraq, saying in retaliation for an israeli strike in Syria. They killed you members of its revolutionary guard earlier this week. So simply around like sly. That message is all over the place and beside is in Iraq and that's why, attacking rocks of only Iraq would join IRAN in attacking Israel than all of this would stop. Obviously there pretty significant she ever Sunni interplay and in violence in Iraq, not to mention the situation with the Kurds. Where are they? Both Europeans and Iraqis are sort of fighting over Kurdistan and all the rest. But here is yours, the point the deployment of the British Airways Rock anyway, wait here is that IRAN is ratcheting up the pressure on Russia's behest. That is what is happening here. It should strike no one. As a coincidence,
but in the middle of these IRAN nuclear negotiations, IRAN is flinging missiles near the consulate complex in airmail the reason they are doing. This is once again when because enemies, seamless they push and right now. Russia believes that you, It states has an interest in using Russia as the intermediaries in order that surround nuclear deal done. John Kerry myths, absolutely clear, the onward robber Molly, has made this absolutely clear, Joe Biden and his team of may this absolutely clear that keeps over and over and over again that they want you're with IRAN, and I don't care that IRAN is a terror sponsor they do not care. on, threatens american allies ranging from Israel to Saudi Arabia, to the euro. You they don't care about any of that they want their deal. They want it on a piece of paper and they wanted to Morrow and I don't care what the terms of that deal. Our plan you audio over the last week of the russian mediator in that deal, whose basically, right now, because the you
it states as sanctions regime against the Iranian. Whatever negotiations are happening in Vienna. Basically, you have the russian emissaries going back and forth between the United States and Russia is running hotel. The hotel to convey particular offers Americans, in other words, are using the Russians who they are fighting in Ukraine in order to mediate with iranian and now. The Russians are basically trying press their advantage. The Russians are saying to the United States. We would like, in IRAN, deal where you exempt our oil and natural gas from any sort of sanction. So we can to IRAN in IRAN will sounds of the world and they will follow the money back to us and also, if you don't that then. Maybe Ronald ratchet up detention: afterall, don't want around under control. Don't you want to stop all this stuff. We can help you make around stop all this stuff. All you have to do is cave. That's all! You have to do to prevent the Russia isn't a part of what we saw in IRAN is firing missiles at yours. Consulates in Iraq is very silly, because, right now Russia is using. Iran is proxy, as they have been for for quite a while right here,
Iraq's warm insurance and they summon neurons ambassador to protest, the attack, calling it a flagrant violation of the country's sovereignty. No injuries reported in Sundays attack in herbal democracy like an escalation between the United States in IRAN hostility, between the long term. Pose is often played out in Iraq, whose government is ally with both countries Andrew harsh condemnation from the iraqi government, which called it a violation of international law and norms and demand. An explanation from the iranian leadership. United States for its part can demonstrate that it was an unjustified attack on a civilian residents. They said we will support the government of rock in hope Iran accountable will support our partners throughout the Middle EAST in confronting similar threats from IRAN. This is shakes relevant national security adviser said the United States of America stands behind the full sovereignty, independence and territorial integrity of Iraq. However, will that Any way undermine the Negotiations are currently happening with IRAN of course not when you Sherman of the State Department, she comes out and she says: listen. We know that IRAN is bad. We know that IRAN is pursuing terrorism, but before we deal
The fact that they are a terrorist regime? That is the great spreader of violence in the region? We have to accept to deal with them. We just have to if IRAN as a nuclear weapon, its ability to project power into the Middle EAST and tender. Us. Our allies in partners is enormous, so pray, Biden believe is very strongly, as does secretary, and as do I, that we need make sure that are one never obtains nuclear weapon, and then we also to deal with their malign behaviour in the region. But first we ve got to make sure that they cannot obtain a nuclear weapon, just to get this right, which is actually saying, is yes, there are terrorist state. What are we? a bunch of money and they'll promised us not to develop and to make these these idiots its part of this is the same regime, the same regime pursuing terrorism is the same regime developing a nuclear weapon. When you say why, don't you just give them a bunch of money? Do you really think that they are going to be,
This has not been their history. Divans super honest and open about this nuclear programme, which they say is for civilian purposes. Why is it if you like? Who has a strong interest in the Middle EAST? or anywhere on earth in IRAN not having an ugly weapon United States or to Israel, which is a nuclear threat from IRAN. How do which then or nuclear threat like why, if all those countries that are directly in the middle that area within the umbrella of the running listed missile program. If all them are saying this deal socks, maybe you should listen to them, but this administration has no interest in listening to them. So what are the Russians doing? They know they have leverage points. So here the leverage points the Russians have activated, the Russians, have no activated the leverage point of IRAN negotiations and they ratcheted by having IRAN fire dismissal, an aerial, because again. The idea here is that if the iranian demonstrate that they are full robe,
need? Binding ministries will say what man we really can deal with them to stop all this. We need these stop all this. Maybe we should just let the Russians have their oil and natural gas will exemption over. Here. Don't get the deal done, and then we can proclaim that peace in our time? And it's all? I certainly use leverage point in the Middle EAST with regard to IRAN because they know the binding is obsessed with the idea that if you want to deal with the iranian- and he gets to be part of the history books gives you see now old, dullard, etc point number. One leverage went over to the. Natural gas in Western Europe, so the Russians, are looking glass and they can see that Europe cannot. Definitely undergo the kinds of sacrifices they are currently undergoing cannot continue to have energy, be one hundred percent more expensive and it was a month ago, and so they know it and we pressure on the Americans. Add ons ones to make a deal from that angle. Meanwhile, there leveraging their own aggression with regard to Ukraine against the Americans, they're saying: listen, if you guys go any further, if you ship a single megan here, who knows who knows, we might nuke something who knows, we might just level a city we might have.
the biological weapon who knows so funny, every leverage point again, because the sweat Putin is good at it. Putin is again He is finding every year every vulnerability at the west here and he's using those vulnerabilities against the west. So normal solution. That is what should be less vulnerable. That is the solution. So what would them mean? Guinea opening up a production of oil and natural gas in the United States, such that we more oil and natural gas to exports to Europe to alleviate their energy problems and alleviate our own good mean to making sure we are not dissuaded by Vladimir Putin's empty threats and that we give the Ukrainians makes if they want migs doesn't have to be a no fly zone does mean we have to fly our planes in there to take down russian jets. It does mean that we should be giving ukrainians more than is necessary in order to defend themselves if we wish them not to surrender all of these things, including future membership, the EU, NATO over the Russians and essentially align their foreign policy with Russia three. Robbing is wrong deal in killing it outright and sing was in IRAN
obviously has as ill intent. Iran is, is literally firing missiles at us. Well sharing with us and using the Russians of property, and the Russians, meanwhile, are attempting to exploit our any issue with regard to this wrong deal too The sanctions would mean doing those things are, we gonna do any of those things. Of course one can do any of those things. We continue to be weak, so why wouldn't Vladimir Putin continue to be strong? After all, he's deepen this boy. I dont know what what people in the West Bank, the angelic and in the end game is your foreboding Thank you. Just gotta get up and go home deepen at this point, they really think of Lamb Reboot and whose station around keep right out, and showing keep again do they really think that he's just going up until all right, you know what you know you when I'm done now calculator, that's not going to happen! It's not going to happen The most likely scenario by the way, if you put in completely stalls out here, as you brings Belarus into the war from the north and buncher troops as well. Now do you know
states is, is lying right, United States right out there, according to the Wall Street Journal, and they will negotiate exemptions to the Ukraine related sanctions on Russia in order to say that two thousand fifteen around nuclear deal and could read, try to strike a separate accord, excluding Moscow, but that's him. extraordinarily unlikely. I think That is very unlikely. I think the fact is the United States will do exactly did in Iraq of Alma and the administration will basically say we would never allow them to have Catherine and then, in the dead of night, the paths of cash flow and so the secretly sign some sort of deal that sort quasi exclude certain economic ass, of Russia's economy or in well, you'll get sign with one's gay in Ukraine and IRAN in IRAN, and everybody hunky, Dory putting its most of what he wants Visuals had I'll see the scope for going beyond what is within the confines of the J C p away. Having is pretty safe to say, there is no room for making exemptions beyond those
Iranian attack is likely to create more regional resistance to american efforts to strike a new nuclear containment with IRAN, America rock another world leaders condemned Sundays missile strike as destabilizing act as the US, military stepped up. Its is and yours officials considered how to respond, but again to do. I trust that the will not cave on this white, why? What I mean Why would I know doesn't trust that the United States is gonna cave on this China get to China in all those because China Lincoln its jobs over your training, It never hear their gobbling up russian assets like nobody's business there. Looking directly at Taiwan. watching what the world does here and let us say they are not particularly intimidated by what they have seen. Thus far. We get that One moment first, let's be clear. You do not need to go to another part store ever I mean I don't know why you? What you're just gonna go to the other part store. but Julian's halves of cars, the chance if they have the exact bargaining pretty low there, yet front line for waiting there for twenty minutes and the person he's gonna tell you that they have to order the part unlighted in charge you or
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IRAN and United States that allows them to evade the sanctions and continue to put pressure on the Americans. China is now back in a brush, so China is sitting over here and they are basically backing rush. Blake and then proclaiming that they are in fact an honest broker. According the Washington Post, Russia has turned to China for military equipment and aid in the weeks since it began its invasion of Ukraine. According to yours, most familiar with the matter, they told us to the Washington Post efficient. He spoke on a condition of anonymity because of the sensitive the subject did not describe what kind weaponry had been requested or whether they know how China responded. Whitehouse nationals, you're, an adviser to solving told CNN. The administration was communicating directly privately to Beijing, but there will apps Let me be consequences for any chinese efforts to assist Russia, innovating sanctions and again, China's like sure, yeah. I will, I believe, you ukrainian officials in negotiations with Russia will continue. On Monday presidential adviser in Cairo Petroleum said Sunday. Russia is starting to talk constructively and predicted some concrete results a matter of days again, because
concrete. Results are likely to be Ukraine, giving Russia most of what they want because after all, can't carry on forever if you're, Ukraine, Russia the fighting closer members of the NATO alliance dimension military facility that is close to Poland, and but meanwhile, you have, the Chinese were like what, if we broker ideal, why just trust us just so made there now saying that the United States in the West should do with Putin in Ukraine. What book dead. With aside in Syria, what do you trust us to brokerage handed after us will take care of it all be fine, says the chinese communist tyranny this piece in the New York Times by Wang Polio, when I was the founder and president, be centre for China and Globalization Non governmental thing take based in Beijing. Ok, let me just make something clear: there is no such thing as non governmental think tank base in Beijing. Ok, anything that based in Beijing, is run by chinese government or at least approved by the chinese government. Don't you Liberal minded, Anti Chinese, think tanks in the middle of aging, so here
entire peace in the New York Times. Talking China should really broker something he says quote? China has elegant economic interest in a quick resolutions, the the russian Ukrainian, more China, strong ties with Russia and Ukraine and is both countries largest single trading partner, believes trades more with the Eu Block than with China, Russia and Ukraine crucial components of the belgian Road infrastructure programme, as was conduit for China's trade with Europe, China, Europe, rail transport, have experienced a hundredfold increase since they can of the twenty tens. China is also uniquely position to act as a neutral mediator between Western supported Ukraine and Russia, Beijing in Moscow have a strong and rowing relationship. China's for resources. Russia has an abundance, food and energy, as well as a mutual dissatisfaction with State, of the? U S, lead world order have increasingly drawn that you countries together this alliance with cemented when Putin and G mail last month and issued a joint statement. Underscoring their deep ties and reaffirming a partnership with no forbidden zones which, by the way, sounds like a bad pornography.
It is not invasions. Interest rely solely on an anti western alliance of Moscow says this says this thing tanker from Beijing. Russia may possess mighty military, but, as you is in one from structural decline with a GDP nominal, other than that of Spain. For all the talk of ties, Moscow. It's worth remembering China's economic interests with rush hour dwarfed by those it shares with the west, Chinese in joining the sanctions, it's possible chinese businesses and banks will decrease in Bali, but with Russia to avoid a backlash. Another more important markets, no, not really, but he did disguised. Maintaining China wants this conflict and to trust us just trust us. at a time when China face increasing level criticism for human rights violations, Creating an end to this conflict could help improve the country's standing with the West Beijing. his long striven to convince political and business. He leads in Europe and America. The rise of China does not present a threat of russian aggression. Even perceived support threatens to undermine that assertion. what form could mediation take? Any serious resolution would have to involve the US in the EU as key actors. Beijing could help
broker an immediate ceasefire as a prelude to talks among Russia, Ukraine, United States, EU and China. Things. Goal would be to find a solution that gives Putin Sophia. Insecurity assurances that can be presented as a window, his domestic audience, while protecting Ukraine's sovereignty and NATO's open door policy? Finding landing zone for such an agreement is challenging, but not impossible. The a multilateral resolutions, the crisis in Ukraine says this founder and president of each centre China and Globalization based in Beijing, He advises the chinese government in that capacity, so the z government cut up Jessica, multilateral resolutions of the crisis in Ukraine will be a tough and risky challenge, but there is no country better placed to do so. Then China, so is the an administration going to do with all this talk song of China getting involved, apparently Solomon Jigsaw of Indiana say an official from the National Security Council on state of harm it will be in Rome.
where Jake's olden will meet with Chinese Communist Politburo, member and director of the office and Foreign Affairs Commission, Yang, J T just the impact of Russia's war against Ukraine on regional and global security. So it looks very much as though by administration, is open to the possibility that China should broker an end to this. So China is the big winner is, is how this may come out. Meanwhile, the they Department is trying to whistle pass the graveyard regulars, Wendy, Sherman International Telephone making a fool of himself she says yesterday. You know people keep saying that Russia and China. You know that that their relationship has strengthened, but we don't know that their relationship has strengthened in all of this. I ve met- maybe maybe not maybe maybe their guide here. She is quickly. Has the Russia, China relationships suffered or strengthened as well out of this invasion. I think that's an open question yet
bread. To be perfectly honest, we saw Russia and China come closer together, certainly before the Olympics, putting out a long man Esto about their partnership and how they were going to move forward together and at this in time. We ve seen China pretty uncomfortable, with an invasion of a sovereign country. China, comfortable the invasion of a sovereign country by let's call buying chinese propaganda with China. Saying is we're really the West side on Ukraine, because after all, we would hated every sovereign, Country were invaded because, like if you guys, interfere with Taiwan as part of sovereign China. This is their actual case meanwhile any sermons like yet China's very very against invader having country us also by the way we don't think that they should take Taiwan Twenty seven on this one, we understand and support a one China policy, but we don't believe that China PR see ought to take Taiwan by force and we will do everything we can to deter that effort
and the pr see a really. What will you then will you then origin have try and try to broker an end to this region, all the people who are in positions of power untrustworthy when it comes to how this confidence, which is why, we and really really badly and the like. we this ends with when we're Putin going down in flames that he's cool out that he ends up. Haven't got a guerrilla war, pretended twenty years that the West does in cave. The probability it is very low, which is why again, all America's enemies are putting pressure on every leverage point they have. Every single average point is a test of the last at the beginning, the west was not failing. It failed deterrence and they fail in their response and now it's starting to look like that unified front that pushes back against russian predation, pushed back against IRAN and pushed back against China backing Russia. It seems like that unified front and may have lasted for about three weeks or so
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Tat about well show a serial killer was released twice from prison and then killed each time again. The story only gets crazier from there and more affiliating from there and its part of a deeper cultural trend that goes beyond the justice. Isn't gonna wanna talk about it? I also Antigua plans to disrupt my advantage or detect tonight. So how do we find ass, the? U S, Airforce brags, about its eligibility q initiatives, while more rages in Europe and a tennis player cry eyes after being heckled by somebody in the audience. This emotional display, of course means that she is courageous. The media tells us, and finally, really cancellation will discuss the can Kanye drama. It's not just celebrity Gaza. I mean it is that, but there is something more going on here that we'll talk about as well. All of that and more today that Walter.
Transcript generated on 2022-03-15.