The long fight for control of the U.S. Senate is drawing to a close in Georgia, and the Democrats appear set to win out — the Rev. Raphael Warnock is the projected winner of his race against Senator Kelly Loeffler, while Jon Ossoff is heavily favored to beat the other incumbent Republican, Senator David Perdue.
Today, we look at the results so far from these history-making Senate races and at what they mean for the future and fortunes of the two main parties.
Guest: Nate Cohn, a domestic correspondent for The Upshot at The New York Times.
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For more information on today’s episode, visit nytimes.com/thedaily
This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
From the New York Times. I'm likeable borrow. This is a daily today in the closely watched Georgia, one ass the day
a crass win one race and are heavily favoured in the second pudding democratic control of the Senate within reach. My colleague need code on a historic night in Georgia. It's Wednesday January sixth,.
well need good morning good morning. I have to say this was not a telephone call.
Or a election call that we were expecting to have tonight. You know I am surprised to hear that.
Their meaning there was worse planning on your end, then typically expect
you guys, and we had a really good journalistic authority- that
Georgia Centre on us. We're gonna take days to come,
And here we are, I guess,
Seven hours after the Poles close
And we have real news from this race through we have a projection.
So they tell us exactly where things stand at two thirty m on Wednesday morning. In these Ross will there are two contests and one of them we have a projected winner. The Democrat Raphael Warnock has defeated. Kelly Lothar
the Senate special action and in the regular Senate election between John Ass off and David for do the Democrats. John ass off, has a slight lead of a few thousand
boats, with nearly all of the vote in encountered so help
understand how we,
I have one Senate
Race called the other not
colleagues from having a little bit of trouble?
joining in a race were to Denmark
it's on the ballot into Republicans or on the ballot
understanding how one Democratic sent a candidate get ahead of the other. I had long imagine that any democratic voter who cast a ballot was gonna costume,
for both that's, let's certainly reasonable expectation. You. I think that there are a lot of people who vote based on personality based on how much they like somebody and as far back as the November elections. It was clear that the Democrats were better position than the special action than they were in the regular
schedule action and in a couple of explanations, one, is that the Republicans at a pretty brutal primary in the run up to the November special election and Kelly LA fuller, ran pretty far to the right. In that primary, you may recall that she ran home is an advertisement claiming that she was further to the right and until it
in contrast, there was not a fierce, Inter Party battle on the right for the regularly scheduled election David. Pretty was a well established incumbent anew, despite being very conservative, still has a little bit of appeal to a traditionally republican vote may be, has swung over to the Democrats in recent cycles and we're talking about a very small number of voters be clear at the moment. There's only about a percentage point that separates the two candidates, so doesn't take much to create this sort of seemingly significant difference. What is the fact
at the race, has been called for Raphael Warnock, but not for John Alsup. Tell us about exactly who showed up for this election. I don't think it tells us anything. I think that, basically, under any plausible turnouts, an area we expect it or not to be in the stronger position, this race, that wasn't a negative
horse, but that was the expectation we do no wrong. The results that we see at the present level and by county Democrats enjoyed a really strong turnout in this election. A higher proportion of voters appeared to return to the poles, for this run off election in democratically in prisons and counties, in particular and majority bootblack precincts
Counties then did in counties that voted for the president or war majority wife without a degree that feels are giving
we do not understand. Special elections run off elections there.
ver draw the same kind of turn out that presidential elections
so this feels very unique yeah. This is a huge turn out. I mean there were a lot of truly terrible turn out predictions over the last few months and at the moment I think the turnout is close to ninety percent of the general action. More people voted in this election than voted in Georgia. In the twenty sixteen presidential election now granted, there's been population growth in Georgia since then, and Georgia has become a more competitive state, the presidential level since then- and this is a place for controlled the Senate, but I think that indicates that this was evidenced. Basically, a presidential electorate that we had when typically runoff election might be expected to look
at best a mid term, but often even a lower travel action in that something more like a primary election than a mid term elections. Now you started to mention the turnout of black voters in Georgia,
And I wonder how significant that was and how central you think that is to warn OX projected victory and os offs lead. So far. The huge part of that Georgia has the second or third largest black population. The country in the general election was probably something just short of thirty percent of the vote, and so that the majority of the democratic voters in the state. All indications that we have right now suggests that the black sheep of the electorate was higher in these run off. Elections than it was in the general election in November is still too early to pin that down with precision. I won't get authoritative data on that
so had all the data that we have at this point suggests that the increase in black turn out or maybe put more precisely, the decrease in black turnout compared the general election was smaller than the decrease in white turn out or latino turn out or particularly white working class turn out,
So all the mobilization that we have been.
hearing about and talking about on, the daily of the black Georgia Electorate, for this
run off and really, I guess, starting with the presidential election that has truly potentially made the difference here in at least one and possibly both of these centres on us
I think that that extra mobilization, that that relative increase in the black share of the electorate could easily prove to be the decisive factor in democratic and back the Senate when we have all the data and safer so based on the current
vote counting. Should we assume the John US
stands
a reasonably good chance of putting out a victory of his own like
or knock em. Just how connected are these two issues?
Is it possible to imagine that the Democrats, when one sees the Warnock seed and the Republicans when the other she had the producing, I don't think that's real sick. At this point,
theirs. I can be a call for a little bit. If you remember from the general election, the news organisations are reluctant to call these races until a candle leads by more than the margin of a recount by jars of his essentially one this race and at the moment, he's up by three tenths of a point. Thirteen thousand votes are so that's a largely than Joe Biden led was in the final account in Georgia in terms of both percentage points, anvil margins- and I mean all of the remaining vote- left his democratic vote. There are fifty thousand absentee ballots that are gonna break, for.
Ass, our fire to one larger, more their provisional boats that are gonna break for us off. It's just dumb, there's not a path for David produce, even if the networks may not called a race in the immediate future. It's it's not there for the Republicans need, I think, along people. Listen to you
talk. The way you are is going to be among the first times
dawn on them. That Democrats are very much on the cusp of re, taking control of the Senate,
and that has a lot of implications. Yeah you're right. We can't make the call by the Democrats. For all intents and purposes, this point will will control the Senate and the consequences of that for the by
Presidency are enormous. It will allow them to confirm nominees with considerably greater ease it'll. Let them pass budget reconciliation packages that what then do all sorts of things with a mere majority of the votes, it'll give them control the committees and in it will completely transform the first two years of vines presidency will be right back
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In other words, what I'm trying to do is how people understand how races lived in America. I'm writing off. People whose experiences with voices are often pushed aside and ignored.
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times that calm, slash, subscribe, suddenly, turning to the republic inside and two leffler and per do their work,
A lot of questions ahead of these one offs about the president's message that the
member election had been stolen. His really forceful criticism
of election officials in Georgia,
whether that was gonna depress, the republican vote
that seem to have happened. You, I think, that's tough, the same the republican turn
was really healthy by any measure other than the final result, I mean the turn out in overwhelmingly Trump precinct. Eighty eight percent of the general action. You know you don't have the sort of stupendous turn out only from
side it clearly, the democratic turn out was superior to the rubble, can turn out in this lecture. I think that's pretty obvious when you look at the the precept results, at least if your comparing to the general action taking that as your
slide, whether you want to think about that. As you know, the President motivated Democratic Biden, voters by
thumbing his nose in the face of their victory and basically not hearing the message they were trying to send
or you want to say that he deflated republican voters by sea
their votes, wouldn't count and I'd that's very hard for me to
tangle, maybe some combination of both of them. I think a lot of people
are wondering if what happened tonight,
in Georgia starts
tell us something about President Trump and a bad.
Trumpets em and whether or not the party
and when elections when Donald Trump is not on the ballot and so
Why are we learning from the results so far element to be? This lesson was very much dominated by the
you're back in November. These two candidates ran head of President Trump in Georgia over the last two months. I would argue that their more tied to the president,
ever before and arguably in a way that makes it harder and harder for them to win over. The sliver of Biden produce voters that they want in November
And when you refer to a Biden, Purdue voter? Well, I guess what you mean is someone who's a model.
Republican in Georgia who might favour Senator Purdue, who was up for election.
Tonight, an Joe Biden but might have reservations about Donald Trump or its republican and there,
lot of these voters on the north side of the Atlantic, in the most affluent areas of North Fulton and a cab counties
and so the president has continuously makes it harder for Republicans to distinguish themselves from
him at the same time, if the present does
tomorrow, mobilise and motivate Democrats to come out against him, and I think, for the last two months of done plenty to convince people that
they come out and vote if they're, a Democrat and George after you know the way, the presence after over the last few months.
Do you suspect that the results here and given,
you just said- means that there were
Working party is going to work.
Start on tethering itself, from Trump ISM and from Trump, because
regardless of the strength of his base, this legendary group of voters that will come out when he asks them too
happened in Georgia suggests that he is starting to be seen as much as a problem for Republicans as a solution going forward.
The present has put the Republican Party in a tough spot. I mean the fund
an old dynamic that the Republicans face right now. It's the president is just a little bit less poor,
they'd like him to be nationwide and
critical, battleground states and in Georgia, traditionally republican state and as a result
for them, the when they need to win over a few.
Voters, but that many
a few voters who don't like the president and you may be used about Republican before the president came to dominate american politics, but he just makes it too hard for me to be able to do that because he's such a dominant force an american life since, as you know, in a few,
hours congresses convene and its
job will be to certify present electro buttons, victory in the Electoral College,
Many Republicans intend to object. It is expected to be chaotic and polarized an ugly, and I wonder what
worn ox projected win and also lead mean for that process. Potentially, I think it has the potential to change the dynamic a bit if you stepped back for a moment and the Republicans came out of the November elections, feeling pretty good the scheme of having lost a presidential election, they won a lot of the Senate. Races they wanted to win. The president did better than their eggs,
acted, and you know they didn't have too many reason to think after that that they needed to go and distance themselves from him
now. As a result, many republicans have been inclined to follow him down of increasingly perilous path toward contesting this presidential election
and now Republicans are going to look at a very different set of results and they will have also as a result of losing cost. The party control of the Senate. Potential yes, will in all likelihood will cost the party control the Senate, and I would think that, being on the verge of losing control, the Senate would make them
at least reconsider the idea there are no political cause to following the president down this pretty reckless.
the challenging legitimate democratic election results in a half dozen states, including, I believe, torture, including Georgia on eight. Thank you get some rest. We pursue time. No problem, thanks for having me
we were told that we couldn't where this election, but tonight
we drew them with home hard work
and the people by our side, anything is possible,
on Wednesday morning.
a fail. Warnock spoke to his supporters recalling his journey from above,
look housing project in similar to becoming the first plaque senator from Georgia.
and my mother, who was a teenager growing up in way cross Georgian used to pick somebody else's cut the other day, because this is a man
the eighty two year old has used to pick. Somebody else's cotton went to the polls and picked her youngest son, the United States Senator.
So I come before you tonight as a man knows that
improbable journey that led me to this place in this historic moment in America,.
could only happen here. What I thought.
The daily is supported by discovery plus a new streaming service, featuring an extensive library of real life, entertainment from brains like HDTV Food Network, TAC Discovery channel the
you see natural history collection of more plus exclusive new originals. Now you can discover the power of a great white shark, the joy of homer innovation, the secret to a perfectly cook burger or the intrigue of a true crime mystery all in one place, discovery plus start streaming now.
Here's what else you need tenor day today,
to talk in great detail about the events that happened here in Canosa on August, twenty third, two thousand and twenty
The district attorney in Canosa was concept has declined to bring charges against the White police officer.
who repeatedly shot a black man, Jacob Lake in the back out
out of his apartment in August, a shooting that sparked protests and rioting and in this situation and exhaustive investigation was done this morning more than forty hours a squad, video there's hundreds of pages of electronic information. There are the district attorney Michael gravely said that there was insufficient evidence to bring
the charge against the officer who shot Blake after he had resisted arrest avoided
a taser and opened the door to a car or police found a knife. The shooting severed place,
an awkward leaving him partially paralyzed, an unlikely,
to ever along tidies episode, was produced by Luke Vanderpool, look and Daniel Gimme that
It was edited by LISA Chow, an M J Davis. Let an engineered by Chris would
that's it for the deal
I might go back see tomorrow, the daily
pointed by discovery plus a new streaming service featuring an extensive library of real life, entertainment from brains like HDTV Food Network, TAC Discovery channel the.
you see natural history collection of more plus exclusive new originals. Now you can discover the power of a great white shark, the joy of homer innovation, the secret to a perfectly cook burger or the intrigue of a true crime mystery all in one place, discovery plus start streaming now
Transcript generated on 2021-01-09.