From the New York Times are. Michael Varvara. This is the date. Republicans have found themselves unexpectedly scramble to hold onto a house in Toulouse special election in Ohio, its turned out to be a symbol of what's ahead for the party MID. It's Tuesday August Sup aspirants tell us about this election in today, this is sort of an accidentally. Important election were only having this vote in Ohio today, because the previous Congress

Patty, very long serving Republican quit in the middle of his term to go. Take a lucrative job in the private sector is wasn't supposed to be a competitive race. It's a solidly conservative district to the north and EAST of Columbus. Ohio voted for President Trump by eleven percentage points and voted for other. Ah begins by a great deal more than that, but the race gotten chocolate, competitive and in a way that is pretty revealing for the larger landscape of the mid term. Elections You have this battle wage between two candidates, who are themselves very conventional politics, you don't have a rock star on either the race here? The Republicans state Senator named Troy, Balder Son former card dealer

Democratic thirty one year old, county official, Danny Oconnor, they are basically generic republican generic democratic and so, in spite of the fact that they are both basically boring candidates and despite the fact that the district is basically a conventionally republican district, it's a very, very close election, and this is all about the enthusiasm on the democratic side visions within the republican Party. The sense of basic. Being demoralized that you hear and see from so many conventional republican voters So don't like, we got an interesting racer, because it's a republican district that could flip to democratic control with to carve plain vanilla candidates that stand in. For their part, he's more broadly. That's right. Payment is a much nicer thing to say about them than boring and in some ways is more accurate,

you? Don't have a larger than life figure in this race, and you don't know have a larger than life issue. In this raises, you get to see really a snapshot of what the Republican It is gonna be and what the democratic message is gonna be an who. That message resonates were for its very much a raised about the two parties, and their strategy is just a few months before the general election kind of feels, like it's a perfect petri dish, version of what November's maternal, it's pretty close to an ideal test. If you wanted to test mood and the messages in this campaign nationally. You would want to do it in a district that was a little more moderate, a little more diverse than this one is overwhelmingly white and solidly conservative, but still this is as close to a good test as we're going to get before the final stretch in these next three months. Does the fact that this district is very wide and pretty conservative mean it's even more important to Republicans given their constituencies? Yes, it means that this race

approximates the Republican Party better than an approximate the country, and it will tell us more about the state of the republican coalition in the mid term elections and the effectiveness of the republican message. Then it tell us about the mood of the country the whole. So how are we seeing the Republicans approach, this special election how're? They campaigning well at the very beginning, Republicans thought that if they nominated a mainstream conservative if you want something, don't call Troy borders. A conservative champion, Troy border, since both leadership helped eliminate Ohio, staggering deficit and ran on a message about taxes and the tax cut bill that made its way through Congress. That would just be enough in a district like this one state

Senator toy waters and voted to cut taxes by five billion dollars. The result and the words look what we ve done and done a good job. We ve gotta, get candidate, keep us empower exactly, and they thought that that message would resonate with the kind of moderately conservative, suburban voter that sent Patty bury back to Congress. Over and over and over again, the national public and party worked actively to get Troy borders and, through the primary he beat back a candidate who was much further to the right because they banked on mainstream conservative message. This shouldn't be complicated, Troy bolder! an iron man, athlete VS, he grit conservative grit, the kind of senator boulders and used to eliminate Ohio budget deficit without raising taxes they, and some adds about the tax bill, they ransom adds about Troy, boulders and being a good neighbour, good family man. He knows about hard work, always and work the family and ran the family business enjoyed over them

about walls. You bill trumps war and defend christian values, but it just didn't get the job done. Meanwhile, same old politics in Washington, just artwork, Danny Oconnor. The Democrat has run a very hard charging him. And we need new leadership and both parties about shaking up Washington, about brain new leadership, to the capital, about protecting health care benefits and about protecting medical and social security rights, fight back and construct. An insurance company greed- let's protect every time of the social, security and Medicare benefit seniors. I've earned I'm Danny Oconnor, and I approve this message and so the race tightened and tightened and tightened and pretty quickly dishonest, Danny Oconnor wants to take away your guns. This honest, Danny Support, open borders and sanctuary cities. You saw national Republicans switch from a positive message.

About the economy, to just the most relentlessly negative campaign, you will find online sanctuary cities to stop illegal from taking our jobs by alongside tromp, to implement his agenda in use conservative breath to build the gong law- Christian conservative he's been endorsed my right to life five times haven't a rating from the era, so Nancy Pelosi her gang levels more. Like me, I'm republican, Troy, bothersome. It conservative with grit- and I approve this message, and why is the strategies that you're describing notable from your perspective as someone who covers box. This is the kind of strategy that you normally see at the very end of the mid term elections when an embattled political party feels like it has no option but to go all negative on the others

side and what you have right now is three months before the general election, the end of the national Campaign Republican Party leaders, pointing at this race and this strategy and saying this- is how we're gonna keep house in other words the parties and waiting until the last few weeks of the upcoming the terms as far to go this negative as they are doing in this district in Ohio, their viewing it as the strategy for the rest of the mid term. That's right! This is not. The last was worth buses, their best hope and what Does that tell us they told us, the Republicans earn a lot of trouble and they know it So you went to Ohio to check out what's happening industries. I do oh

I might add, an item of legislation that will allow you to remember, and I will go out and sell. So, what's the situation there for the Republican to remain bothersome a week out from the election when you were there, when I was there, They're big concern- and I think it's still there concerned today- was just about getting voters on their side engaged and energized. That their concern is that in pulling frankly for both political parties, the voters who are paying the most into this rice who know the date of the election who are planning to eleven tend to lean towards the Democrats: there are many more republicans in this district than there are democrats, but by and large, just not that focused on this race and that's a problem for especially bothersome is a huge problem for

recent Democrats wake up every morning, looking for opportunities to send a message to the president and to do something about the state of things in Washington Republicans in this district, maybe some of them will show up to send such to Washington, but by and large, asking a group of people who are relatively complacent to turn out on the first day in August. Is that enthusiasm gap you're, describing typical image election. It is normally a presidential race. You see partisans on both sides really show up in the national actions, a choice between the two parties mid terms are often just referenda on the president and the party that is angrier at the president tends to show more. We saw it for Bill Clinton. George Bush Barack Obama, we're seeing it for President Trump, but the republican parties Challenge on that front is compounded by very, very serious divisions on the centre right. The republican coalition in a district like this one is just unstable, because those folks

the suburbs who love your more modern Republicans like a Patty bury like John K, sick, aren't so hot on president. Nan folks in the more rural part of the district. They love the president, but whether either group shows up is an open quest. She does mention the whirl trump voter in ideal. It feels like that, kind of Republican is more or less a guaranteed voter in today's election that they would be happy with how things are going. Will you found there definitely a much more likely voter, then you're, suburban soft republican boy even for your more hard core tromp republic in this is an off season election. It's the only thing on the battling. Many of these have already voted in primary elections, which Ohio held earlier this year. Many of them, maybe planning to vote November, but asking people to vote through

times in a year, is a pretty big ask. So what's he approach with this kind of voter with this negative strategy that you're describing? Is it a kind of go after what the Democrats would take away from them or would change for the worse? The same way that president trumped up so emigrate, and guns have carve culture war stuff? That really is the approach that you're saying with your hard core trump conservative voters in the more rural parts of the desert, the liberal resistance is demanding open borders. They want to the law enforcement agency that enforces our immigration laws, opening America's doors to more crime and drugs, and they want Danny Oconnors help. Thank you see a lot of adds a lot of political male pieces about immigration, about guns, Nancy Pelosi. Nancy Pelosi in Washington, liberals are dangerous. They can't be trusted to uphold, are you values

in Washington want to repeal the middle class tax cuts, implement socialized, medicine and high taxes on working families. Danny Oconnor is just as dangerous just trying to hammer home too conservative voters that there's an port in election on the ballot and the Democrats. Your coming dangerous, Danny Oconnor, I'm toy bothersome, and I approve this message when I saw vice President Pence there with toy bothersome. He was all in the other side talks about this blue way. Things both become, and you know what they are a break with the blue way. You see, daddy. You caught her joy, Nancy Philosophy. In a democrat majority on capital, he'll you're going to have fewer jobs, fewer opportunities, more government and more taxes, Danny Oconnor, razor taxes. We need to build the war we made history and twenty

to explain our economic historians, Ronnie Ball or phone, I'm real republican majority and arouse we'll get out and fell so button and talking the folks in the crowd. You heard people essentially. Coming that message that, yes, we need to go into electoral public and we need to protect. President Tromp was verbatim what one of imports Thank you. Thank you. I love Ohio, whatever fronts, rarely unsound night. It was really just put a warrant in your comments. You ever see this. I mean you see, policy who, by the way, again controls Danny Okhinnah, whoever they all that is, but

Any of it sounded a lot like years. Twenty, sixteen realising it was like a low level person that did nothing daddy of gun. That's a beauty is another beauty. This. What were fighting? They will take away your taxes. They will destroy so many things that we ve, given. He did talk about Roy Borders, when, after Danny Oconnor as Ion anti Pelosi liberal as a guy who's vote in Congress is going to create more crime and more illegal immigration about Bulgaria, Democrats is about to let criminals and drugs pour into our country and to let em is thirteen, run wild and our communities, and you know what they do once there there we're going to protect our law enforcement, not just ice all of our law who, for the border in Ohio in this district, it's just.

Twenty. Sixteen all over again right. Further Republicans the challenge and turning out trumps base is giving them the same sense of urgency that they felt in the presidential and what about the voters in this district, who aren't trump supporters, the more moderate Republicans will. This is what makes it so complicated for Balkans, because all those more modern republicans, you're sort of John case it Republicans. They are probably the most important group of decision makers in the special action I found them sounding pretty indecisive pretty ambivalent about their options in the rice. I spoke to one woman outside of Barnes Noble in Dublin gas. You just want to thank the brother. He needs to keep his mouth shut. Twittering, but being so juvenile and petty. But I like me, to do what he said he would do. She's were loyal Republic entry voted for president trodden. She wishes. He would knock off a lot of his antics, but he's delivered what he said. He was

deliver and she asked me by the way what are the names of the candidates and the special lacking? That's anagazanders, thereby it's not a great sign that woman is probably not going to show up for Troy Borders and, if she doesn't know his name wing before the election. That is what makes Republicans so nervous about this group of voters really big dogs moved to another woman at her door was going door door. Canvassing with the congressional leadership on Big Republican. Super pack spoke to one on at her door, who said she's republican, she votes republican. Her main concern is taxes everything your brother, I think sex. I'm sure I can do that before he was elected cell and she thinks the present his loud enough for him. I did not

the austrian vote for him and twenty. Sixteen Andrews pay no attention to this election so in some ways, even more emphatic than the woman in the parking lot that she is just not paying attention and she almost seem resentful of the implication that she should resentful of the implication that just because she's republican she should care about the special action and vote for the republican and people have heard a lot from these campaigns, or maybe just exhaustion. But there also seems like a sense that know you'd. You can't demand my vote right now, so something Republicans in this effort. Heaven. Apathy problem, on the one hand, with carve loyal Trump republican voters and kind of a deeper problem with moderate Republicans in this district, who are not happy with the president and don't seem, engage and erase it all. That's exactly right and Republicans are trying to solve both problems at once

with some remedies that could undermine each other. You bring in president tromp to fire up his base. You risk disillusioning, antitrust, Republicans even further, and the bottom line is that, in both cases with the Trump supporting voters, and not this strategy in this race is Scare Republican, most of the poles with a very dark vision of life. Under Democrats, it is exactly to scare them to the polls and to disqualify Democrats, as an alternative is to make sure that voters who, like the president, see his political legitimacy at stake and to make sure the voters who don't like the president, don't see the Democrats as a viable option

So the strategy that we're talking about come relentlessly negative tactic. Why is not necessarily a bad place for Republicans to be an because that was a pre, effective strategy, Fur Donald Trump in twenty? Sixteen its way too early to say if the strategy is going to work nationally, will get clues today to see whether it works in Ohio, but the fact that they need to spend so much more, to defend a district like this. One republican outside groups have spent nearly four million dollars trying to bail out toy borders, and that is greater than what the Democrats have spent by a factor of five or six. They can't have that kind of spending advantage in every race around the country and

no one in obtaining there's, not enough money in the house campaign in total to put that into all the competitive raises. A district of the president, carried by eleven points, should be a district. That's responsive to a message about keep the progress. Keep up the momentum in Washington reward us for the things we have done so far. That message didn't can act. So what would you call this strategy being practised at this moment? It I'll think you have to see it is kind of an apocalypse now strategy right. This is every piece of ordinance that Republicans have lobbed with incredible funding behind. It at this. Basically unremarkable the Accra and, what's the significance of what happens today and I'll, look, I think most people involved in a race think that border son is more likely than not to win by a little which would give her.

Begins maybe a little bit of confidence that this is a strategy that can work in much of the country if the strategy fail, Then you are really in a break glass in case of emergency situation for the GEO Pe. They used everything they have here to try to get their people out. If it doesn't work, there is no fallback plan right now, meaning if the apocalyptic now strategy fails, then it just the apocalypse that, certainly how it would feel the Republican Party have ninety days left until the election, with no strategy that can keep even a district that the president, one by eleven points in their right. You can't save the district that the present one by double budgets when you're in trouble. That will be most alarming. Republicans also alarming for Republicans, if they hang onto this differ by one point, two points three points: there are

dozens and dozens and dozens of district that are much more closely divided than this one, and if the slash and burn strategy can only save this district by a point or two, there are certainly enough district for Democrats to take the house that are well to the centre of this one. So a win for Republicans today in this special action in Ohio could still feel like a loss there. Are going to be very very few Republicans in Washington, reassured by one point when this so out is an accurate to say that, but after all republican present

four candidate down from one on a relentlessly negative in polarizing strategy in twenty sixteen and then governed pre. Much the same way. His republican House majority now requires a relentlessly negative and polarizing mid term campaign to defend its power, and what does that tell us, I think, does exactly accurate and it makes a lotta republicans extremely uncomfortable and nervous of this is not the campaign they envision a year and a half ago. They thought they be able to run in the mid term. Elections on an appeal for looking message about economic prosperity, about having kept their promises on issues like health care and immigration and taxes and national security. Instead they have this relic. Thirdly, demoralising slog ahead of them of essentially having to tear down their opponents all over again and by the way. This time they dont have Hillary Clinton

right and guess I'm wondering is once you go that negative are you could have stuck campaigning that way as long as you ve got that same president in power does not become The message of the Republican Party: there is no separating republican Party from President drop in the eyes of voters. At this point, we have seen that so consistently in the elections since he took office and we're seeing it in this one too, that's part of why Republicans have decided to take the risk of bringing in the president bring in the vice president

into a district where there are polarizing, because they are making the bat that the polarization will work for them. Thank you. Thank you we'll do it back. You know his name, but not his past. Eight speeches next must watch drama series, Perry, Mason, Stars, Emmy winner, Matthew, Greece, in an origin story for american fictions, most legendary criminal defence lawyer when a gruesome murder case falls and masons lap. Uncovering the truth means exposing a city full of corruption, and everybody is guilty. Co, starring, fellow Emmi winners, Tatyana Lenny and John. Let's go new episode of Perry, Mason AIR Sundays at nine p M on HBO and stream. It on each be oh max What else you need to look at over one this morning the Trump Administration reimbursed.

A twenty year old economic sanctions on Iraq that had been lifted by President Obama as part of the iranian nuclear President Tromp said the sanctions would incur IRAN to renegotiate the twenty fifty nuclear which he pulled out in May, but the most immediate consequence has been fury eight America's allies in Europe, including Britain, Germany and France, who fear of the sanctions could severely punished domestic companies that do business with IRAN. On Monday, the three countries announced a plan to block the: U S from punishing those businesses, as the sanctions were killed.

And just like the Bible, says, if basically intergalactic invasion in this space through people. I'm telling you what all the ancient said it's what they warned of what we're dealing with. After a lengthy debate about free speech, censorship and fake news for major platforms, you two Spotify Apple and Facebook, have removed content from Alex Jones, the right wing, conspiracy, whose side has falsely, among other things, that high ranking Democrats are pedophiles and that the Sea hook elementary school mask was a hoax. Thirty enter dimensional invaders, ok I'll just I beg pardon me all. You want on CNN or wherever, but everyone already innately knows this. These people are not break in humans. Ok, Valerie Clayton is a God. Damn Damon each company,

whose work had violated their paws apple does not tolerate hate speech, Accompany wrote in a statement in a message of his own onto it, Jones called the removal of an attack on his politics. Asking quote what conservative element will be next that's it! I'm Michael Barbaro, seen you as a surgeon and president of Howard, University, Doktor Wayne Frederick, believes even are tough. His times can

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