New polling, suggests that blue tide may be a mirage. The new york times issues a long scathing attack on hasidic jewish schools in new york and russia is on the run. But what if Latimer putin use a nuke and bench brothers benchmarking. Show today shows bonds or my expressive media thousands of miles. There is more ready to go. that would get a joiner, unexpressed, gps, dot com, slash ban. Well, he brand new inflation data is out, and it's really really happen. Inflation data from it, Joe administration continues, continues to just buck all expectations that the fat was gonna. Bring this thing under control. It eight point three percent inflation out today. Well in one of the things you can do to hedge against things like the government in control of the currency, is in there no it's a little bit in the precious metals brcko group can help you hold gold and silver and a shelter retirement account to protect you from big government journey throughout history goals is always been your best. Hedge against inflation, a diversified savings can protect you from downturns in the market. If you have a four one k or IRA, that's performing just text.

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four point. Insider advantage. Has the Democrats up? One economist you has the Democrats up, six rasmussen has republicans up for and travelled, are, has republicans up six and that sort of gaps just that there may be appalling sample problem here. This is a point. it is made by name calling over at the new york times, he's pointing out that the polling data used to be skewed toward Democrats in a very similar way to how it was skewed toward democrats in twenty twenty? No here's the reality. Even the economists which is polling at at Democrats plus four the economist is suggesting that republicans have about a seventy five percent shot at taking the house or suggesting better seventy five per cent shot. The Democrats take the senate, I'm going to suggest that it's like a fifty fifty shot the republicans take the senate about ninety eight percent shot the Republicans take the house now get. Those numbers are just coming directly from nowhere, but if I were to just put money on it, say that the republicans have a decent shot of taking the Senate and, I would say they have an overwhelming shot of taking the house at this point. A cohen points out that there seems to be a trend of pulling errors,

the course of last several years. He says ahead of the last president Election we created website tracking latest poles internally, we call their appalling diary. Despite a tough polling cycle, one feature proved to be partition. Helpful a table showing what would happen if the twenty twenty poles were is wrong. They were in twenty sixteen when posters system, clean, underestimated, donald trump, strength against story Clinton. The table prove the early preshent. Here's. What I look like election day, twenty twenty plus a new column with the final result, as you can see the final. ultra lot, like the pull estimates with twenty. Sixteen, like Paul error, we created this polarity table for a reason: in the twenty twenty cycle, we noticed Joe Biden seem to be outperforming mrs Clinton. In the same places where the poles I estimated her four years earlier. That pattern didn't necessarily mean that the polls would be wrong. It could have just reflected Biden's promise, strength among white working class voters, for instance, but it was a warning sign that warning sign. I should again democratic sent in canada, outrunning expectations in the same places where the poles overestimated Biden and twenty twenty and Clinton in twenty sixteen wisconsin

is he good examples? As nate Cohn on paper, the republican sen RON Johnson ought to be favoured to win reelection, the five thirty eight fundamentals index for it, for instance, it makes him a two point. Favorite in the poles, have exceeded the wildest expectations of Democrats. The states gold standard marquis Moscow survey even show Democrat Mandela, Barnes leading johnson by seven percentage points, but in this case, good for wisconsin Democrats might be too good to be true. The state was ground zero for survey error in twenty twenty on pre election for too good to be true for mr bite and in the end, the pulse overestimate by about eight percentage points early enough. Barnes is better than by similar margin. Wisconsin did is just one example. The broader pattern across the battle grounds more. The pulse overestimated made by last time, the better demo seem to be doing relative to expectations of the words What's wrong, there Biden seems like the pole. Are doing the same thing with Democrats in the twenty twenty two cycle. Conversely, democrats, our posting lesson of numbers and some of the stage where the poles were fairly accurate. Two years ago, like in georgia, if you put this relationship on a chart, you see a consistent link between democratic strength. Today, and pulling error two years ago, which raises

possibility that the apparent democratic, strengthen, wisconsin and elsewhere is a mirage and artifacts of persistent and address biases in survey research, if the polls Yet again, it won't be hard to explain. Most pollsters haven't made significant methodological changes since last elections has not gone away pulling community post mortem declared it was impossible to definitively fourteen. What went wrong in the twenty twenty election, the pattern of democratic, isn't the only sign the polls might still be. In similar ways, since the supreme court's dobbs decision on abortion, some pollsters have said they're, seeing the familiar signs of non response bias when people who don't respond to a poll or meaningfully different from those who participate creeping back there In other words, people who are very motivated about abortion are the ones who stay on for the bowling surveys and people who, just like Joe Biden. Very much are the ones who are sank. Now I don't feel like talking to you. I have a job brian striker, a partner at impact research Biden is a client

his pulling from, was getting a ton of democratic responses in recent surveys, especially in the familiar place where the poles have aired in recent cycles. So it's possible that what we are watching here is a bit of iraq. So if this were the case right, if what we are looking at is senate polling with the twenty twenty four like pull error, what you would see. is democrats, probably winning in colorado, probably winning in pencil yo, my last winning Arizona, basically, I would be dead, even georgia. Dad even wisconsin would be plus four republican north carolina, the public and ohio high in florida, your public and by large margins. That means that the race for it It can be extremely competitive right. So what I'm saying? That's like a fifty fifty shot. It sounds a lot more like that and by the way, I think that some of those races are going to get a lot closer. I've been saying for awhile the race between Mehmet OZ and john fetterman Can I get a lot closer experiment? Is a horror, show the candidate The recent arizona seems like that. One is is growing out of reach for republicans that one can

closer as well pennsylvania, I think, is almost certain tat closer. I be shocked. actually, if Adam lacks all doesn't when in his riskin catherine, of course, has mastered the democratic party senator from nevada, who is up in a very tight election race right now. So what we could have been talking about here, he knows giant, democratic search, it could that there's been a search. It could be that the polling is moving Democrats favour. It could also be that there is significant pulling error. That has yet to be taken, account of and there's some due to back. That's, especially if republicans do what they ve been doing last couple of weeks and they stop focusing in on, for example, down and the fbi. I've been suggesting for a couple of weeks now, as the Democrats were drawing closer in the generic doubt as their going ahead by many poles that republicans for making it large scale mistake by focusing in on the fbi and donald trump that is The referendum on what the f b, I did the right thing in rating donald from house referendum on what the d o J is corrected to be pursuing and invest in indictment of donald trump. All I'm saying is that as a police commander. It is a major mistake for republicans to focus in

on an issue or republicans are largely motivated and so are, democrats but Democrats way more than republicans like if trump is on the ballot in two thousand twenty two. That does not bode well for ripple in its new pulling out today. Actually, from an organization called w p, a intelligence what this full shows exactly what I'm talking about. Overall, they have democrats plus two and the generic ballot democratic, plus three, with likely voters but what we are seeing is down the issues republicans when, when it comes to try the fbi republicans get themselves in trouble. So trumps, favourable among independence, for example, is it minus thirty two among independent voters, Biden favourable among independence in a lot of Yossi well yeah, but binds the present binds favourable among independence. Minus twenty two What that shows is again. Biden is actually more favourable among independence than trumpets among moderates, so called moderates in the voting base from favorite

are minus forty two ideas it underwater by just five point. So if trump is made the point of comparison in twenty twenty Four republicans there wouldn't be in serious trouble in the senate and it's gonna hurt pretty badly and have seventy four by the fbi by the way over all the I still has a plus twenty to favour ability rating so making that the top of your issue- pile is big mistake for republicans now On the fundamentals of the election, the republicans are still way ahead. sixty one and thirty nine margin voter say they would rather live in florida than california. If we were given a choice, for example, even almost fifty years It's a pro choice. Voters in this poll say that they would limit abortions to fifteen weeks or earlier. So a lot of the issues republicans actually have the advantage, but by the way a lot of Democrats are just misinformed. This poll shows that fifty two percent of Democrats believe that the supreme court outlawed abortions, which, of course, incredibly silly so a majority of democrats according that bull actually believe something. It was overtly false that the supreme court outlawed abortions, nearly half of democrats by the way believe that russia stole the twenty sixteen election.

which demonstrates that election denial is a bipartisan phenomenon. Seventy four percent in this pole of college educated demo. Women believe, therefore banned the were gay in all schools, which of course, is not true, so that what this point get shows again that what we be seeing here, especially for publicans reorient, which is something that it seems like they ve been doing for the past couple of weeks weakens reorient Democrats could still have a world of hurt on their hands. Come the election cycle and somebody's race I I mentioned the fetterman race because again that one seems to me like a really low hanging fruit. For republicans, all Mehmet oz has to do is just put the focus squarely back on John fetterman. The simple fact that John fetterman is an extraordinarily radical candidate, who also happens to resemble uncle fester and happens to have had a stroke that seems to have

prevented his ability to speak publicly plus passage the bad canada rhyming. These are all factors militating against making a man who's been a career, useless person, but does where car heart sweatshirts a senator? this guy is he's unbelievable about at this, and the fact that and three by the media is and how good it is. It is astonishing to me mean yesterday, for example, John futterman issues over the weekend on September and he did eight in abortion rally, basically on September eleventh, which is what you do on September, eleventh. Apparently, if your democratic pennsylvania, and he's wearing his fabled card hoodie, because he's one of you is one of the people, a person whose parents have basically supported him it through, and fortys, and who is the mayor of a town of eighteen hundred people with a salary of under two thousand dollars per year, living in an apartment and he bought for one dollar from his sister John fishermen. declared himself John, better woman on the campaign trail over the weekend, which are late

you can have him is John and as part of that clip. If you can see a john fetterman books, there he's holding a pink shirt that says John Fedor woman. I get like gold- and he looks down at the shirt too- remind himself that it says fedor woman. Now this is not a hard joked remember. His literal name is better man. Well, yesterday was at a whoa in front of the man to get John fedor woman, but he has to literally look down physically at the shirt. This is not in great shape here. look physically down at the short remind himself, and he is supposed to say, fetter, woman added, This is the person you on the united states senate. If you are the people of pennsylvania, really this person, and yet with health problems, are our sad enough what also they can absolutely be disqualifying fervour higher office, obviously in

Your during that same railing here is John ferryman, not being able to speak the same problem guys. You didn't have a doctor in your life, making fun of it, making light of it a telling you that you're not fit to be, sir, you can you describe stroke what what's happened so that such the most important race for the senate here for twenty two. We have to replace her. To me, senator tell me was not raised tonight. To me. Her to me is a miracle he had a chance. He had a chance to match me up again. Abortion is the pilot now in november.

My goodness that is hard to watch. Well, it may be important in pennsylvania to have a senate candidate who actually is capable of being sent a candidate and business I'll. Tell you what's important, that is having a business capable of running efficiently and I'll. Tell you what I can't afford to spend a lot of time and money on going the post office. That's a dumb thing to do. If you're a small business owner, you know how important it is to be ready for the insane holiday season. That is about to begin. If you haven't already started preparing for the chaos of holiday, mailing and shipping, you're already falling behind. Luckily stamps dot com has everything you need to make your life a whole lot easier is the twenty four seven. stop it. You can access from anywhere no lines, no traffic, no hassle, sure a daily, where we ve been using stamps outcome. Since twenty seventeen, we are not here to waste our time. Stamps outcome is your one stop shop for all your shipping in mailing needs more than twenty years, stamped outcome has been indispensable for over one million. businesses get access to the EU s p s end you be a service. Is you need to run your business right from your computer with information on their eyes? Every dollar accounts protect your margin.

The major discounts on: u s p s? And u p s rates up to eighty six per cent off. It's a stress, free solution for every single business, use, stamps, dot, com, the print postage wherever you do business. All you need is a computer and printer get ahead of that holiday. Cast this year, get started with stamps dot com today sign up with promo code shapiro for a special offer that includes a four week. Trial plus free postage, plus digital scaled, no long term commitments, no contracts had it over stamps outcome. Click. The microphone at the top of the page enter a code shapiro even the washington post is like this. Guy might not be able to be a centre. The Washington post editorial board put out a full scale peace today talking about john fetterman needs to debate more than once for the senate to demonstrate these. Actually fit for the office quote my well determine which party controls the senate borders would benefit from seeing the two candidates exchange ideas and test each other. Mr Ferber has seemingly been reluctant to commit to fund debate dates that troubling stances raised questions about whether he still recovering from a serious stroke is fit to serve in the senate. After suffering open may betterment was off the campaign trail for three months and has campaigned little since then. He has

rally on sunday, ours is pressed for five debates, betterment ashen duck before tentatively agreeing last week to one, but not until some time until the middle to end of october, as well september nineteen, when voters can start casting mail and ballots its short of the two debates. in the standard during recent competitive senate contest in pennsylvania. So it is trying to run out the clock using I'll. Do it away the day before the poles open permanently. In that the national live poles open. We will live we'll do they made them, but now, in the early balance are coming in, which you are Democrats are counting on friends in the washington post editor. There's the Washington post editorial board; okay, not daily wire editorial board. Since returning to the campaign trail, MR fetterman has been halting in his performances. He stammers appears confused, keeps his remarks. Short he's held no news conferences. Fetterman acknowledges his difficulties with auditory processing, which make it hard for him to respond. Wicked what he's hearing heresies speech therapy and we wish him a speedy fireworks But the lingering unanswered questions about his health underscored by his hesitation to debate our unsettling well yeah, apparently,

he had been diagnosed in twenty seventeen with cardio my apathy yeah pacemaker with a defibrillator implanted after the stroke. The campaigns response to questions about veterans, health is to point to a doctor's not released more than fourteen weeks ago, which said he should be able to campaign in serving the united states Senate without a problem. If you take the medications and exercises, but that's not good enough, because again, he is the campaign trail, and we can see that he is not function. Wait. You need a senator to function. The fact that he is waiting at eight is pretty obvious its by though it is not the only one of waiting to bathe in terms of governance, oreo, races right now, katy hobbs, who is the dumb Adding gubernatorial candidate in arizona train for placed a duty, she's running and scary leg. Carry leg is running dead even with her and katy hobbs no excuse it all, is now denying debates with jerry, like specifically, is currently has really been on tv she's newscast her. According to this, Square dot, com, Katie hobbs, will be the first four arizona governing decades to refuse invitations to favour opponents in a state commission organised event hobbs. The current democratic secretary

state announced on Sunday should respectfully decline. The arizona citizens clean elections, commission invitation to reach term In debating republican opponent from a fox in ankara carry lake no other you're running for office november had declined invitation, nor has any candidate for governor done so since the commission began holding debates in thousand and two, but she's, obviously avoiding debate because carry leg is gonna clock her career and is very good on tv and katy hobbs can get showed up Meanwhile, in some of the races the Democrats are considering competitive, these are not competitive, races and so forth. ample in the gubernatorial race in florida round us answers. Running away with that raise anybody who tells you differently is lying to you round his answers. way ahead. Any polls that suggest that Charlie crest is running within three too One point of his answers has never visit The state of lord of this is not a reality, and one of the reasons for that is because, aside from the fact that trial dressed has literally run on the ballot.

Ray party in the united states that their parties that have yet to be invented were truly christus preparing to run a charlie. Chris is a terrible can, and round his aunt izzie, very popular governor may have at his trial. Press is again a bit he's out there saying things like this on the campaign trail We got the by iranian right over here. You know some people call up the same. Have you heard him? is I try to be nice to satan vs that topic about the satan vs Christ. That's the joke that he's making because he's like a he's like a Jesus like figure, Charlie, Crist and Rhonda sense- is rhonda. Satan he's so bad at this but he who tell us that the eight hour p, is suggesting that this raises within three point at this rate is now within three boys. I'm sorry not even know. The answer is no that

you're, not pulling error that has a massive pulling air. Meanwhile, as I mentioned over in nevada, people in europe are sleeping on the republican, its right to take cortez master seed seat in about up even NBC news is catching out of this saying, volatile midterm election were Democrats have unexpectedly taken the lead in crucial battleground states. Republicans have found a glimmer of hope in their quest to seize control of the senate eight weeks before election. their within striking distance of capturing the seed long held by leg. Democratic Mary read before Senator Catherine courts has master one in twenty. Sixteen courts so maybe most endangered democratic in common in the cycle, even though her party hasn't losses race here in a decade of Democrats are still projecting. Conference polls show dead heat despite massive spending by courts has now and an early assault of negative adds assigned to tarnish rival. Adam lack salt is definitely are best operating any point. Last fourteen years said: Jeremy, huge republicans, whose worked on many nevada races, you cited begins and voter registration in front of hispanic voters, drifting away from Democrats, rising gas prices and food as the key forces propelling republicans in

interview, cortez master, who eked out her first Senate victory here by two point, four points in two thousand and sixteen acknowledge that her work cut out for her. If she wants to keep her seat, she said nevadas razor, always competitive. I'm not gonna. Take anything for granted and you can't either ok. Well again, she should not take that seat for granted. Considering the fact that animal access a very good candidate is running a strong race against her there's some other races by the way that seem a lot more competitive. The people are sleeping on, the colorado senate race right now that that is, That is a possible win for further the republicans, despite the fact that cholera has termed pretty significantly blue republican Joel day is running very competitively against Michael bennett, right now of a court, The latest poles, has the lead, but again there there are people in these. These these people within the margin of error,

There there's one pole showing bennet at forty eight no day at forty seven with five percent undecided according to wash in samara there. The lot, of course, raises out there's this. Why I'm saying- and I think that dumb got a lot of the pessimism- is starting to wane. As again, the focus moves often problem back onto the key issues which, by the way the reasons why you're seeing so many leagues from the d o J. Anybody who believes that the D after a political apolitical. Why are all the leads, always in one direction? Why so, apparently the just apartments appealing trump administration officials will power. We're going to know if somebody arrives at your door to deliver a subpoena to you, I mean, and I voted, but there's a decent shot at me cabinet or merrick garland's at dlj. Well, here's the thing! If you want to protect your home the way I protect my home, you need a ring alarm now. I know what you're thinking ring is the video doorbell company. They also have an alarm at yes, They do ring, makes an alarm into war, winning home security system. With a available professional monitoring. When you subscribe s, volley can easily install it yourself and ring didn't stop there. They ve changed Security gave entirely with ring alarm brow. That's why I've decided to team up with ring when comes to protect in my own home

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subpoenas substantial escalation of the investigation into his efforts to subvert the twenty twond election people familiar inquiries and on monday, and how many anonymous sources can weak information about this investigation. Before we start to doubt the political non partisanship of these agencies, the leaks are the story in many of these cases. The contents of leaves us naturally forward. This, like Okay, so you subpoenaed people. Does that mean that they're guilty, or that mean you're gathering information? We've had leak after week after week in the donald trump documents have you had? The pictures of of the documents on the floor we had the accusations that were nuclear documents. We had the leaks of of the back and forth between from the geo Jane other. The leaks themselves demonstrate how partisan these boys in agencies really are many. How nay of this link as well that kind of slow drip leading up to the election. I have very little doubt that an attempt by members of this year, and the fbi to shift the mid term elections away from the republicans the sea

or have the phones, coupled with a widening effort to obtain information from those around MR trump after the two thousand and twenty election represents him, the most aggressive steps the department has thus far taken in it's criminal investigation into the actions that led to the january sixth, twenty twenty one assault on the capital by approach from mob. The extent of the investigation are going to general use, has come into focus. in the days, even though it has often been overshadowed by the government's legal clash with trump and his lawyers over a separate inquiry into the handling of presidential records, federal agents with court. research warrants should phones. Last week, families to people, boris Epstein in house, oh, who helps coordinate trumps legal efforts and mike roman. Campaign strategist was the director of election day operations for the trump campaign in twenty twenty the names of those receiving the latest frances subpoenas in the investigation have drivel out gradually, oh they have they. You mean, I'm almost as though it is a public relations campaign in your times, by the way for support this So yeah I mean it seems as though pretty obvious.

lay. There is an attempt being made to redirect the conversation backward donald trump, Israel for that and us because of the conversation, is out about down from democratic real trouble in Joe Biden out. Campaign. Trial is not a boon for democrats day job. And is out there on the campaign trail, for example, talking about inflation. Eased you feeling that using an inflation. Are you if you like unless the grocery store it turns out the gas prices cities, but food prices are still up one as prices go down fairly dramatically as they have over the past couple of months. Some of that is due to lack of demand. Some of that is is due to the interest rate increases that have taken money out of people's pockets, and there are a lot of reasons for the decline in gas prices. Very little of it has to do with. For example, Joe Biden releasing in the strategic petroleum reserves which are now at an all time low and when Joe Biden is out there bragging about inflation decreases. You're, certainly not feeling that at the supermarket, when the guest

I used to go down, but inflation remains high. That's because the other items in their basket of goods that define inflation have gone up in price. Here is Joe Biden trying to brag about his inflation record. Good luck with this one received hopeful signs of progress on inflation as well. the price of gas. We send. What I was doing would megan delivers a guess. Work is down a dollar thirty cents since the start of the summer. Thinking usually the down inflation is in July. That is on not that that is, it is not his power. I'm may to see a relationship between stuff Joe Biden has done, and the easing of gas prices, because those are not relate he did not get additional gas out of opec. He did not increase the amount of supply in the united states is not really regulations. He really some from these strategic petroleum reserves him about actual china. Again. Lack of demand is largely what explains the decline in oil prices, so the federal reserve is responsible

For that, meanwhile, Joe Biden is still out there, pretending that he can cure cancer, mean the guy, can't even talk and he's saying he can cure cancer. It's amazing cancer does not discriminate. Red and blue. It doesn't care, very public at our democrat baby, Cancer is something we can do together and that's why, here today and he's been men's cancer, moon shopping aids, one of the great bugaboo whose of my political life is what how's. He should get up there and they say this problem that no one is able to solve, because it is one of the deepest and most difficult problems in science. We could all solved if we only have the sufficient will import enough money into its. Do. That's not a science works at all at all at all again, this is the person oh, have chosen to make the face of their party and they are going to have to deal with that and then secondarily the other face, their parties, Kamel Harris was also terrible. Does she's been spending last week out there talking about how who oppose her. Our extremists, trumpet cortical so called freedom when people use

so caught when lilies the phrase so called freedom to describe actual freedom. You should start I get a little bit frightened. The stakes could not be higher. you know, right now, extreme, as so called leaders are trumpeting the rhetoric of freedom while they risk strict and systematically attempt to take away freedoms. This is what you run. Ok, good luck! Then it did the p well, who didn't want to ask up the children in the morning all the kids to go back to school? Those are the people for the true threat to your freedom. Well again, his economic policy is going to be the one that is first and for that that is going to be front and center in the twenty twenty elections according to the wall street journal. That's a writing. A tentative recovery with the Essen p, five hundred up one point, one percent on monday, but whether they can keep it Madame hinges in part on how earning season plays out next month, analyse have now cut their estimates third quarter. Urged growth by five point. Five percentage points since june thirtieth accordingly john,

senor earnings analysed in fact that it is more than usual. The biggest cuts in the second quarter of twenty twenty, when the culminating pandemic and ensuing lockdown brought economic activity to a standstill, servicing the basically these companies or to stop making money. Companies have also been increasingly pessimistic lately a total of two forty companies in the s and p five hundred mentioned recession and their posts. Earnings conference calls for the last quarter. That is the most ever fact had stated going all the way back to twenty turn. The mark have been resilience, hoping that this gonna be out of a short and and shallow recession. But the simple fact is that if the earnings go down more than people expect that could turn really quickly investors. A markets have been able to hold their round lately in part, because companies are still expected report, modest earnings, growth through the rest of the year other data. Such as employment and consumer spending have continued to show strength in the economy, but many caution stocks recent gains with the vulnerable should they to take a turn for the worse. In the coming months, David Grushenka, managing director and investment strategy in research and ass parents, he says

God is really unpleasant. Combination of very high inflation and economy that sorry slowing down and a central bank. That's tightening policy rapidly. Valuations also remain elevated, said, MR gresham. This is one of the problems in the simple fact is that if the stock market is has already taken a pretty significant hit over the first half of the year, based on inflationary policy based on the fact that the earnings are not high enough, as the earnings report start to lower the sox are going to re just remember if the p ratios on stocks remain stable, but the earth Go down read the price earnings ratios, Earnings go down in the price racial remains stable. The price of the stock is also going to go down to you will see a stock decline. The esa p five it trades at seventeen times it's next twelve months, expecting earnings according to fats. It is below its five year average, but above where was at the end of the second quarter, due to the fact stop. Prices have risen while earnings estimates of fallen. Mr Grosch, and all things considered doesn't really feel a great time to be adding riskier. Yes,

Five hundred is already down fourteen percent for the year. Meanwhile, goldman sachs is cutting hundreds of jobs, which is a sign. Obviously, the markets are are ready to boom and being sarcastic. Goldman Sachs is preparing glove hundreds of staffers as soon as next week. According to the wall street journal, the job cuts are part of the bank's annual perform. from the that have been suspended during the pandemic. According to a person's familiar with matter, Goldman reinstated those reviews earlier this year, following a slump in wall street, deal making activity omen. Had forty seven thousand employees on staff at the end of june, up from forty one thousand a year earlier after record setting at twenty twenty when the industry wide slump in mergers and new ip owes has hit. Goldens bottom line is your second corporate investment banking revenue from forty one percent from a year ago. Gormans profit fell by nearly half in that same period. Oh, yes, the inflation gets too now the economy, a lot of that speculation goes way as well, and that means the gloaming get it so again and goldman sachs cutting jobs. That is not a wonderful sign for the economy. Meanwhile, I, u s room.

Well the strike is looming, so the Biden ministrations preferred policy of boosting unions is actually going to turn around the clock. It right in the face it turns out. When you give unions disproportionate power, they can hold up the united states economy is one of the least covered stories in the media. She's imposes good piece on it today, for I think the biggest investors on this president Biden only made calls the union leaders and rail companies on monday pressing for a deal to avert a national railroad strike that his days away from shutting down much of the country's transportation infrastructure. You, like supply chain bottlenecks, get ready for the freight trains to stop running Biden. Administration officials have also started preparing for potential shutdown. Warning astray could soon this leads me the united states economy, as well as her democrats in the upcoming bids from elections according to two people familiar matter. Oh you mean that dumb, the I gave her the your writing on her round started to eat you by demonstrations. Those unions were your friends, turns out that they want a chunk of you. Shocker maidens calls unsuccessful emergency meetings at the white house last week, which led by the

it has national economic council included labour secretary Marty, wash transportation secretary, PETE buddha judge the mode indispensable person in the administration and just when absent for several months, and no one noticed is also involved in trade brokered. The impasse said the two people gonna condition of anonymity speak freely about internal deliberations. The stalemate pits to abide his top priorities against each other. The present has been an adamant defender of union workers, but does not want a breakdown in the nations transportation infrastructure would disrupt commuter and passenger services. the administration has basically no time to act. The nation by rail shutdown is to go into effect after midnight on friday, labour women have been at an impasse over difficult issues like sick time and penalties from its work would be the first such striking about three decades. Amtrak is already warning. Passengers interruptions will begin tuesday, an international network The railroad said it's pulling trains on three long distance routes to avoid possible passenger instructions. Well on the routes, freight industry, strike would shut down thirty percent or thirty percent of the country's freight and home. Most people during an commuter rail services, afraid railroad transaction,

devastate amtrak operations according to the association that make it american railroads? Oh yeah, I'm shocked you mean that when you empowered all of these unions and they decided that dumb They wanted more from you that that's bad. No, no! It's just shocking by the way biggest news of the day. Biggest expectations of the news for the day is a worse than but an inflation reward less than two months away. From the mid terms, the consumer price index was expected to rise. Eight point: one percent: instead, sepia rose eight point three percent euro per year for august, so all that talk to Joe Biden was saying about how he had stabilized inflation. What that means that the federal reserve has been attempting to raise those interest rates and curt cut down on inflation, and they were trying to get to the sort of lukewarm state where they could gradually increase the inflation rates and prevent the economy from falling in recession. They're gonna have to slam on the brakes. Grocery prices keep going up going to kneel, or one was chief economically but the actual another is your points.

one percent rise in food at home of thirteen point five percent or less to thirteen point, five percent increase in the in the price of food over the course of one year it. These are bad bad number. The Democrats and what you're going to see right now is the stock market. Take us you're his time is the stock market basically price in the idea that the inflation was can be brought under, can all items. Re now, eight point: three percent food, eleven point: four percent. Eleven point: four percent year over year, inflation. Why it's almost as though, when you fire hose money into the economy. The way the divide administration as an you regulate and you are on the verge of a rail strike a maybe all this bad policy has consequences. Who would have thought so whose, by the way it's going to be all republicans have to do- is point okay, as I've been saying for a very long time, the entire republican campaign. This is true in two thousand and sixteen instruments, when he twentieth through ever all republicans have to do and democrats are in charge and govern this badly is point like donald sutherland at the at the end,

of invasion of the bodies natural. Just that's all they have to do. That's all edge pointed the Democrats, because migrant there is only one party. That's in control right here. There's one party: that's in control again the the inflation rate was supposed to. It quote: unquote slightly slowed because last month like eight point, five percent, but the expectation is that it was going to seriously slow to eight point. One percent eight point: three percent is a bad number in less make any bones about this as why everyone was awaiting the sepia. I coming out today, that c b I it but for the Democrats democrats gonna have to contend with going into the election while yoga these economic statistics from the by administration think man who said they're experts aren't always experts? Nowhere else, that's true. At the auto parts store every time you go that auto parts store get up to the front of the line and person at the front. Like I can tell you what you missing and then he looked it up I mine and then he orders it and then up charges you or you could just skip all that go directly to the experts over rock Otto some state.

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but I say you also many of you know. Candice owens was out on maternity leave. Her eight we gold already has a successful lemonade. Stand is planning a successful run for class president as well will now we heard the daily where we are unleashing the power of canada ones, I've days week in her new delaware plush our way for the name of it. It's it's called, can owens so, and I know it's more candidates So if you can get more of her you're, not gonna want to miss explosive first episode, premier yesterday new episode terms, but every day three pm eastern daily wire plus trust me. When I say this is big news watch and is only show on daily, where plus or was it not apple, podcast, spotify or wherever you listen to podcast? Okay, so, as I've been saying the mental to this watch and are very, very bad for the Democrats since you've seen a narrowing because republicans got distracted by the shiny trump object over here, but as the fundamentals return to center stage, things like inflation things like immigration Democrats are in real trouble. Bore continues to be a massive issue. How big is the border issue? The border issues so big at the washington she is now having to issue editorials, telling democratic mayors and if you're,

It sanctuary city fanatic, then you gotta own it because there is a way on the border? According to the washington post, the washington post says- and I quote the also has scarcely taken notice of the hundreds of eastbound buses that have arrived in the district since April and twice the pentagon brushed off the mayor of disease requests for national guard to help handle logistics arising from the arrival of what is rapidly approaching ten thousand migrants, the paper by debt. republican donors on the word you send. Illegal immigrants to washington DC has been politically effective to the extent that it has pose a growing dilemma for democratic officials provoking their peak Muriel bowser, the mayor of DC, had marriage to a lot of things, but not responsible for a broken immigration system says the what in post. That's not really right. In fact, state and local officials nationwide must accommodate, if If the migrants in schools sheltered the streets impelled to seek refuge in the united states by terrible conditions in their countries and the relative scarcity and availability of jobs in this one, Thousands emergency declaration enabling her to tap ten million thousands. Any funds will help funding

so migrant services to oversee meals, medical care and temporary housing for the new arrivals. She needs to formulate a long term plan that reflects the reality of migrants, increasing numbers, whether or not the federal government reimburse the city ass. She hopes and ass. It should do miss certain directly asked for this problem. Nonetheless, it is hers to solve or good luck to the Democrats seriously. Meanwhile commonly harris. It's just. I love this because the people who are now paying the price for this are democratic. Mayors are receiving incoming illegal immigrants come harris vice president of the united states spent hearst

in a explaining that the border is secure. In many many words, lots of words are spoken here. I will say that when, when it comes to lots of words spoken to provide very little of substance, commonly harris is just she is the master, then the mistress of that she's, just unbelievable. As here we go one of two million people cross the border for the first time ever, you're confident this border secure, we have a secure border.

that that is a priority for any nation, including ours and our administration. But there are still a lot of problems that we are trying to fix. Given the deterioration that happened over the last four years, we also have to put in place a a a a law and a plan for a pathway for citizenship, for the millions of people who are here and are prepared to do what is legally required to gain citizenship slay queen that and what it meant. My favorite part of this, whoever

I suggested that Kamel Harris is the human incarnation of a predictive text mechanism. That's exactly right. She is a bad algorithm and she she types in three words and then she waits for the next three words to pop up in the google search bar and then she says those three words. Then she waits like several seconds. She even speaks like that. She stops and then she adds a few words and then she wasted. He had happen. Next and she doesn't know which way she's going it's. It's really suspenseful to watch her and it's very different than watching Joe Biden. The suspension watching Joe Biden speak is whether he is went to emerge alive at the end of the speeches. But that's the suspense, really high stakes calmly. Harris is suspended, Does she know? What's gonna come out of her mouth next week? I, we enjoy the parts of that particular statement where she says where is secure in that is a priority for any nation. Have secure borders doesn't mean anything. What does that mean? That's like saying the nation is prosperous. in the sense that it is in the interests of any nation to be prosperous. Europe were not asking you what, Water is a priority, for you were asked me whether the border is secure, you're, saying yes,

you provide no evidence that it is because it isn't, and then you say that, halfway to citizenship, which of course, encourages more illegal immigration. If you get it, The border than you are sub It's the pathway to citizenship, so excellent job. Here guys, I mean I can see why you are going to get just clocked in at a the republicans, have an incredible ability to somehow steal, defeat from the jaws of victory, but even they are gonna have a tough time blowing this one. It because again, the economic data is going to continue at my faith in Joe Biden, stability to blow this thing is pure and unalloyed hey it is. It is just absolutely it it's like my faith in god, like my faith in turbines, ability you ruined things is as strong as it is possible for it to be like No doubt it. I came in doubting. The fate When Joe I was like how could anyone blow this he's? Gonna work? vaccine economies. Economy has been artificial coma, so that means expectations are low, has to do is just stand there and be dead, and that's the thing his best at there's no way you can blow this I'll say this Joe Biden made.

which man out of me, I am now I believe that this administration is capable of screwing up literally anything and what that means for election is that as much if, as I have and republican sucking at their job, they have even more faith the democratic way I could their jobs. So the continuing bleep show Well, I think spiral into democratic defeat in twenty twenty two in the election cycle. I think democrats know this by the way. I think panic is going to break out any second here. I keep coming back to the the the CPR report. Today. It is very they are going to have to slam on they're gonna have to slam the breaks, the federalist raise another. Seventy five basis points it is going to crater the economy against something you should be voting for an american. It just happens to be a reality when bad economic policy meets the road. This is what happens already as the rest of the show is continuing. Now you're not gonna, want to miss it. We're going to be getting into the new york times, pretty, obviously targeting anybody who says

her kids to a school that doesnt promote left wing values if you're, not a member click. The link in the description enjoy, as the,