New polling shows republicans jumping into the lead on the congressional generic ballot, and we examined all the close senate races state by state adventurers. French show keep going, you can do it rest with a nutritious sandwich. Me too, sara Lee delightful bread and healthy bread. That's forty five calories per slice and doesn't compromise on taste. It's the perfect way to end your workout. Thoroughly delightful healthy can be delicious. Today. Show sponsor bags If the vpn thousands of my listeners have already secured their network data, join them express, vpn, dot com, slash mentally to all the news in just one moment. First, the labor department's consumer price index, which catalogs the cost of goods services food rent, rose zero point. Four percent over the month this double what many economists had anticipated, perhaps worse, core inflation and excludes food and gas prices so the highest increase last month. It seems

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thirty days risk free. Switching to pure talk. It's only going to take you ten minutes. It is a no brainer. Now is your chance to show corporate america. You are done funding leftist ideologies go to pure talk, dot com enter code, Shapiro said fifty percent off your very first month. That is super easy. The coverage is great, got the same tower network is one of the big guys could appear, talk dot com, promo code shapiro for fifty percent off your very first month of coverage. That is appeared I come from a college appear to get started. Well, there's a brand new new york times pull out and what it shows is that republicans have no jumped into a four point led. The crossed paths are significantly worse, for the Democrats can have a significant effect on the. U s: Senate map in particular right now, real core politics suggests the republicans are probably going to net a couple of seats. We should put them in the majority. Essentially the races right now that are hot and set a boil down to nevada, arizona. Georgia, wisconsin Pennsylvania me New Hampshire, maybe colorado, but those are the big ones

go through these state by state, but to understand what exactly is happening here? You have to understand that the chief issue is absolutely economy, and this is what this new york times. Sienna poll shows what it shows that sixty four percent of likely voters believed the country is moving in the wrong direction, which means do for the party in power, especially if it's a unified party in power controlling the house, the senate and the presidency. This poll shows that just thirty nine percent somewhat or strongly approve of Joe Biden, I suppose you fifty eight percent who say they somewhat disapprove or strongly disapprove of Joe Biden. Other terrible numbers for the press and of the united states. In fact they are lower numbers than president trumpet currently has from chrome. As a forty three percent approval rating, fifty three percent unfavourable It is worth noting here when it comes to the exact issues. Supposedly on the radar of voters likely voters. Twenty six percent, say the economies, their number one issue, eighteen percent say: later. The cost of living is the number one issue

no other issue here, with the exception of just the state of democracy ranks above eight percent savings. Forty four percent of voters say that their top issues are issues the cut in favour of republicans. Forty four percent against abortion is a five percent issue. Immigration is a I have percent issue. Crime is a three percent issue in terms of what is your top issue, the state of democracy is in eight percentage. We as we will see. However, the state of democracy is too vague, because when you actually look at the partisan breakdown in terms of what people think they are talking about when they say the stairs Maxie very wide discrepancy bill. What between republicans believe they're talking about and what Democrats believe they are talking about and again, these numbers are fairly consisted in terms of the economy across party idea. So thirty, five percent of republicans say the economy is there but only twenty six percent of independent states, their top issue. Seventeen percent of Democrats say it is their top issue: inflation, the cost of living, twenty three percent of public,

say top issue independence. Fourteen percent democrats, seventeen percent, eight percent. Democrats, abortion, seven per cent of independent, say abortion. Twelve percent of people, immigration, so it's really can of for Republicans there. Their second issue is immigration for democrats. Their second issue is abortion and then go down to the state of democracy. What you see is that eleven percent of Democrats who say that this is their their main issue, meaning slightly above abortion. Ashes of abortion comes in number three. Nine percent of democrats and nine percent of independents and four percent of republicans now what's really fascinating about this poll, is what it shows actually fairly broad spectrum agreement on a fair number of of issues that demonstrate the difference between the online reality in the real world and is important because candidates who tend to cater to the online reality are going to suffer in the polls to see this window state by state the candidate.

be very online are the ones who are doing worse. The ones you tend to be out. There have not been with the actual voters in trying to cater to actual human beings. Those are the ones who are doing better. The reason I say this is because if you look at this bold ass, some interesting questions is thinking about people, you meet, you think other people's political views tell you learn a lot about whether someone is good person alive about whether someone is good person or don't tell you. Anything about whether someone is good person and what they found is only Fourteen percent of people said that some political views to a lot about whether someone's good person, thirty five percent said it all. a little and thirty nine percent said it didn't tell you anything at all, and those numbers are really really consistent between republicans and democrats. Actually, nineteen percent of Democrats say that politics tells you a lot. Whether somebody's good person, only nineteen percent, less than one five democrats- fifteen percent I eight percent of independent They need tells you a lot about a person what their politics out, whether they are good person, or not. Only twenty percent of likely voters say they ve had disagreements recently with family or friends over political issues that hurt the relationship and

these numbers are fairly consistent. That's twenty three percent of Democrats. Sixteen percent of republicans twenty percent of independents. The vast majority of americans are happy to have conversations with their family and friends, even if they differ on politics. There's also broad spectrum agreement that the government mainly works to benefit powerful, at least now. One of the things that shocking here actually is actually a shocking question. When you look at the party breakdown, seventy five per cent of republicans believe the government is there to benefit powerful elites? Sixty nine percent of independent said the same thing, only fifty percent of democratic, great, so democrats or non line with with independence here and when it comes to what the president should following in rules there is actually a fairly consistent level of agreement publicans and democrats. The presentation just violate the law willy nilly. So if you have I'm I'm president, whose just willing to say relief student loans at without any further caution about the legality of that that action

is not something that can be wildly popular with any element of the political spectrum. As far as the question that the media really pumped up about whether America's political system is on the verge of bankruptcy, whether whether wide scale violence going to break out apparently about forty six percent, likely but say that the american political system can still address the nations problems. Forty eight percent it's too divided politically to solve its problems now. The reality is that most of it His problems are not solvable politically. Most of them are gonna have to happen socially in your community. In her family, but again very consistent numbers. Here. Forty six percent of Democrats forty six percent of republican forty seven percent of independence- believed that the government can still address the nations problems. As opposed to forty five percent of Democrats, forty nine percent of applicants fifty one percent of it and who believe that we are now to divide a politically to solve america's problems. As far as whether american democracy is currently under threat, again very consistent numbers. Most americans believe that

Democracy is currently under threat. They just believe that, based on varying sources of the threat democrats here say, presumably donald trump is the biggest threat. Republicans aid. The biggest threat is Democrats, so not a giant shock right there, but what is really shows is that when you get beyond president from thirst, she's fairly broad scale grimly that the government is not suppose you over step its boundaries that the the company is not capable of solving all the problems that the major it's a democracy are basically about our inability to get along beverly. Fifty four percent of independents believe that the media is a major threat to our democracy. Eighty five percent of republicans agree only thirty. Four percent of Democrats think the same. I will say that even among Democrats sixty seven percent The mainstream media is either a major reminder, threats, democracy, which is kind of astonishing. So what does

This means what will what what it really means when it comes down to the election, is that the economy is everything the reason the economy is everything right now is because the economy's that's gone recession. If it's now already in recession, according to Bloomberg processions effectively certain in the next twelve months in new blue, berger economic model projections a blow to president turbines economic messaging of the november bedrooms. the latest recession. Probability, models that bloomberg economist anna along analyzed, winger winner forecasting hierarchy. Improbability across all time frames with the twelve month estimate of the downturn by october, twenty three hitting one hundred percent. That is up sixty five from sixty five percent for the comparable period in the previous one. State the model is more certain of a recession than other forecasts. A separate bloomberg survey of forty two economists predicts the probability of recession over the next twelve months is now sixty percent up from fifty percent. To my thoroughly now remember a couple of months ago, a majority of the we're saying are: probably there will be a messing up. There definitely is gonna be recession. Now the models are beginning to matter. Selling it out. According to the wall street journal, is forecast to enter recession in the coming twelve months as the federalist

that is to bring down persistently high inflation, the economy, contracts in employers, cut jobs and response. According to the wall street journal latest surveyed. Economists, on average income, has put the point billy of recession in the next twelve months at sixty three percent, therefore forecast for toys twenty three are increasingly gloomy. Economist now expect gross domestic product to contract in the first quarter of the year, a downward from last quarterly survey where they pencilled in growth. On average, the economists now protected gdp will contract at zero point. present, the annual rate in the first quarter of two thousand and twenty three and shrink zero point, one percent in the second quarter in July survey, they expected a zero point: eight percent growth. In the first quarter and one percent growth rate in the second, so that is a wild debt, and that I mean that that is a significant shift. You're talking about a can a shift of a full percentage point here in both of the in, in both the growth rate in the first quarter.

growth rate in the second quarter. Those are big numbers. Employers are expected to respond to lower growth and weaker profits by cutting jobs in the second and third course, economists believe nonfarm payrolls will decline. Eighty four thousand a month on average in the second quarter. Thirty eight thousand in the third quarter since last over. They expect employers to add about sixty five thousand jobs a month in those two quarters can the inability here of the errors or if we achieve a soft landing for jacking up. The amount of money in the economy by injecting seven trillion dollars into the economy and placing the interest rates at zero. Now that you have to ramp up those interest rates spectacularly will be a shock if there weren't some sort of crash right here. Also, I gotta tell you I'm up a lot at night. Lately, puppy have three kids: all of them are under the age of ten,

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it's the best offer yet hurry on over to hugely dot com, slash ben with helix? Better sleep starts right now. Meanwhile, Joe Biden is trying to happy talk his way through this with a mouthful of ice cream. Here is the president over the last couple of days. I'm not sure the republicans could cut a better ad and Joe Biden with his mouth full of ice cream mumbling to people. Our economy is strong as Helen his words in the. The not concern about concerned about yes these relations worldwide, or so

is like other countries, worldwide, inflation, much consequences, who knows you know pretended he see somebody, or does he, No one knows so them is eating ice cream and not telling you about how the economy is great, that it's almost literally and let them take moment there from Joe Biden. Let them eat rocky road, says Joe Biden so strong stuff. From the president of the united states. I wonder why democrats are sinking into pulls newer, green, jean Pierre, while the announcer press secretary, she says she's ass, well, inflation reduction like we were promised that it was going to reduce it, At some point in your, I got any plans for it to do that at all. Yours green jump years, response Can you give us a timeline you've out eloquently with presents been doing Taiwan thorn americans can start feelings. You cannot obtain so in regard to them

reduction act early next year. They will see some of the some of the pieces of that when he thought think about an energy costs me think about the medicare kind of if it's from that will see some movement on that early next year. Are you convinced? Do you feel convinced by creating jean pierre writer, She seems well in control of her talking points about the strength of the american economy. No wonder while democrats are slightly favourite to win the? U S, senate in five, thirty, eight those odds are dropping fairly dramatically. Just a couple of weeks ago, those numbers were closer to eighty percent. The Democrats are going to take the senate. Now there are about sixty four percents take the senate. Those numbers is only keep coming down in the region. Are going to keep coming down, is because again voters are now in a late stage, is shifting towards the economy, which is always what happened very few. Just before every election there seems to be a tightening, as people get strapped in abortion was going to be the major issue, and then it turns out that people start going back to their pocket books right before

election and they blame the party in power when the economy looks bad according to common. douglas shane and andrew stein for the wall street journal. The republican party is on the cusp of a substantial midterm election victory that could rival their wins in nineteen. Ninety four and two thousand and ten there's been a three point: swinger in the generic pat ballot pulling in just last month. According to the real clear politics average democrats led by as much as one point, three points in september. As Monday, republicans rub one point: eight, a late september, Amy news, Washington postpone found the republican advantage. Concentrated words need most, the geo be had a five point, led him likely voters nationwide, but a twenty one point margin in competitive congressional districts. So that means is that again, overall Democrats are showing up to vote in democratic districts, but in swing districts republicans are doing really really well. Other battleground, just repose from CBS news economy- you got on cnn, showed the gnp a much narrower lead, but a consistent one. So what does that mean for seats that has current breakdown is to twenty two twelve in favor of the Democrats, there are three vacancies. A former george. the majority of full house is to eighteen. As of sunday real politics. Reach george

we won sieges, leaning, likely or securely republican up to you hundred seventy six. For the Democrats, there are thirty eight other sites that are toss out if there are no upset and either side and its toss are evenly split. Republican still twenty eighties republican sweep of the possible This would expand majority two to fifty nine one. Seventy six. vanishingly unlikely, but so is the democratic sweep of the top ups, which would still if the gnp with seven seat majority. So in other words, if things sort of go as people expect, republicans should pick up. Some are closed. It thirty seats, if we go slightly better republicans, could pick up thirty five to forty seat. That would not be a shock in any way shape or form and it shouldn't be. Democrats have wildly underperformed. All they had to do was stand aside and allow things to go back to normal after president trump left office. Instead, they decided that they were going to embrace the world breaking politics. The way they are defending against their incipient failure here. Is just they screaming at the skies of joy red who is her name is, is not it. It's not belied her attitude. She says it's terrible

How many americans will choose literal fascism, female serfdom, climate collapsing reversal of everything from social security and medical student loans relief because they think giving republicans the power to investigate hundred Biden will bring down gas prices now again. This is where I go back to the idea that the online is not the real world in the real world people care about the fact that they are paying ten percent more for their goods than they were last year and a lot more. They were two years ago in the real old people care about the fact that it may lose their job next year in the real world, businesses are looking at their future profits and their shuddering in the real world People are looking at Joe Biden spending policy and realising its really really bad, or that it would mean turbines foreign policy in realising that's a particularly good, either enjoy real world. We are on the verge of a literal fascism, we're on the verge of women being reduced to the state of surf like we're going to make them work in the fields and give a percentage of their earnings to the ward in there. They did The republicans are going to use the right of drawing to senor there that there

If you go back to it to prime and doctor like what what what in the world is she talking about, but this is for people who are wildly connected from reality, and it turns out that elections are not wildly disconnected from reality. They tend to be very much connected to reality, so Does that mean on a case by case basis? So where do we go true some of these states are going get which races our close, which ones are closed? It should not be called and which ones are are basically lost, causes for democrats, which, more or less in just one moment, first current rates are rising even faster than inflation, sometimes by as much as double one of these ways to save money is by comparison shopping for home, an auto insurance. The problem is: how exactly do you do that most people shot for insurance by word of mouth policy genius, gives you a smarter way to find in by the right coverage without paying a cent more than you have to policy genius a bill to modernize the insurance industry. Their technology makes it easy to compare home and auto insurance quotes from top companies the lowest price, whether your current ensuring is up for renewal or you need coverage for a new home or ride house. The genius,

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point lead in the realclearpolitics polling average against TIM ryan. Tim Ryan is a congressperson from ohio. He ran for president last time around and there is no poll with vance outside of about a four point lead there. There are very few polls with ryan with a lead, but vance is not ahead by a tremendous number he's, not at fifty percent. In any poll in the last couple months. The reason for that is because, even though ohio is very red state now remember donald trump one. Ohio by significant presentable by about ten percentage points in the last election cycle. Jane events has as run up. If we grace and the reason the jetty dances run. A bit of a weak race is because, frankly, I think he's been a little bit to online key events been responding to a lot of the accusation. by democrats that that he is a racist by by responding in almost too. the invasion in some ways. He has been talking a lot about trade policy he's not even talking about things that people care about twitter a little bit more than than the stuff that he actually used to write about when he's ready Hillbilly ology, if you been

candidates, hillbilly algae up ten radio? Instead, he seems to be the candidates have sort of populist online. Now he can still pull out that race in ohio, because ohio is a very heavy red state. He should win that race by assume a more significant percentage than currently leading that race in ohio. However, so the other night JD vance had a debate with TIM ryan, and it is so obvious that the that the, advantage ensure licence gaiety dance because against him, ryan is allied with a party that is completely fail and disappoint. The jetty vans made over, in over and over again as for TIM ryan, his entire shtick is. I need to tie JD vance to Donald trump's leg for those who believe the donald a boon to republicans in these elections cycles. He has not. He just as now he's been led point of attack and if you look at any time so again what you see is that among in and to actually believe that there is a global threat to democracy and by nine percent of independence. Do they predominantly rude democrats that donald trump is the chief threat?

So what that means that the more as I said before, the more people are talking about trump going into them in terms the worse, it is for a public the more people are talking about the incompetence of democrats going into the midterms the better. It is for a publicans, and you can see this on a case by case bay It does mean that events is gonna, lose I dont think is going to lose I'd, be shocked if you lost, it is it should be a runaway raised for virginity dance right now. So take tim, ryan's debate, tactics you're, so his debate tactic here, taxicabs you try to tidy once you donald trump here's to marine slamming great events. I say many kiss Donald trump ass. Let me just a first say that this is obviously a clip. The J, these running the try to misrepresent people. I ran against Nancy Pelosi, J d for leadership and you have to have.

Courage to take on your own leaders. These leaders in d c also vote. Will they will they will eat you up like a chew toy right I mean you were calling trump america's hitler. Then he kissed his ass off for a distro, and then you kissed his ass, and then he endorsed you and you said, is the greatest president of all time. So that's the offered him right now, the Virginia events is the tim ryan represents a party that is completely fail. So Jane events as listen you're, accusing me of sucking up to drop you set up to now I see Pelosi and she's the one in charge of the congress right now. His entire campaign is based on sucking up to the national democratic establishment and, of course they support your tim because you support their policies, one hundred percent. Now here's what happened. He says he challenged nancy post pelosi for leadership, but then he goes on national tv,

and says that he loves her. Is that the price of challenging Nancy? Politically? Can I get five like us demand day right before you fail? Will congress, like you, ve done with everything you ve tried to give me? This was a big thank you, Mr Van, so that's the ngos jade events now TIM ryan made, I think, a big blunder in this debate. He he tried to attack jade events is a racist enjoyed. Vance responded in pretty harsh fashion, as you should saying: listen, you don't be racist races to believe that there ought to be a border and call me races. You seem to be ignoring the fact that I have several by racial children, but we have a hold on J d start this. This discussing I'd like to get yours exactly what happens when the media and people like TIM Ryan, accused me of engaging the race for great replacement theory of years battling it I'll. Tell you exactly what happens to him. What happens is that my children might by racial children get attacked by scumbag

online it in person, because you are so desperate for political power that you'll excuse me, the father of three beautiful by racial babies of aging and racism. We are sick of it. You can believe a border without being a racist. You can believe in the country without being a racist, and this is shows how desperate this guy is for poland willpower. I know you've been in office for twenty years TIM and I know it's a sweet gig but you're so desperate not to have a real job that you'll slander me and slave. My family, it's disgraceful and he's shown more of that from JD dance, read that from JD vance he is really spectacular and shady then tell us in two minds had a chance to mine is done as you ve been there for a long time. He has an accomplished anything that he set out to accomplish her. My simple argument is: is this the TIM ryan's how to chance he's been in office for twenty years, he's past five pieces of legislation, three of those letters, pieces of legislation or renaming post offices in the young area, whatever

appear in the mahoning valley, I'm constantly approach by people who tell me the TIM ryan has failed. In teheran has failed to do his job. Ok, this is it like the again jade events in this debate, I think, did a great job of re. Framing legislation. in two weeks until they watch. I think you're gonna start to see jade events polo her, especially because TIM ryan has to tie himself to the Democrats. So here for example, the inflation reduction act, suggesting it's gonna, lower inflation, that ain't gonna,

we're big in ohio. This is an opportunity for us one to reduce inflation, one of the big drivers and let me first say- and I know how much pain people are in at the pump with food- it's rough and if you're driving anywhere of your home healthcare worker, if you're a construction worker, it's been brutal, and I understand that and that's why I've been calling for a tax cut in the short term to put money in people's pockets. Jd said that that was a gimmick, but it's actually an opportunity for us to put more money in people's pockets. The inflation reduction act also drives down our deficit by three hundred billion dollars, which will help pull some money out of the economy. Meanwhile, speaking of candidates who are doing well over in georgia, brain camp is just a laughing stock The abrams I mean these numbers are brutal for stacy abrams right now, I'm looking at the latest.

georgia gubernatorial and what they show is it that brain camp is up on average about five and a half point trafalgar hazmat nine inside our advantage, has camp seven. The hill emerson has come about five. These are bad bad numbers for stacy abrams, again. The reason for that is because Branca has one on stuff that georgians actually care about the more you run away from twitter right. You don't cater to twitter. You don't worry about what twitter has to say, you're, not, mainly concerned with the blue tracks on twitter and what they're saying on either side when you do that run successful races. If you can somehow the sweet spot, where you're getting both like RON de santis and in forty become a national figure, but if you're, just looking to winner gubernatorial seat in georgia, Brian Kemp was able to damn pressure from donald trump and the hatred, Donald trump and he able to defeat. Stacy abrams beloved of black left me a very durable candidacy, and that is because, when you watch brand camp,

he just as common sense things in a common sense way. So, for example, he was talking about the electoral strategies in in georgia and how voting laws in georgia are not just enfranchising peoples. Listen it's easier. But here it is hard to eat them asylum, that's gonna do a lot of attack in my record denied because she doesn't want to try about her own record? In two thousand and eighteen in the governors rice, we had the largest african american turn out in the country. She said Then it bill to our to our recent elections. Integrity at what we pass two years ago would be suppressed in Jim crow to point out this this some may and our primaries. We again had record turn out in the republic in primary and the democratic primary in george, it's easy to both in hard to cheat by the way Gabriel sterling who has come under serious fire because he is the year he is the secretary of state in georgia. A donald trump attacked him a lot. He pointed out that, as of yesterday, they'd seen over one hundred thousand georgians cast their votes early, which blew away the previous

it's from first day record of approximately seventy two thousand. So much for the idea of massive voter suppression me well frank and points out dissociate rooms. You got no sheriffs endorsing you but I'm I'm the guy, the police, actually care. If you care about crime, he oughta vote for me. Well, I would just tell people that look our support, safety and justice. The miss abrams refused to answer the question so I'll. Let you know that the answer is zero. No sheriffs are endorsed in her state. Why? Because of her stances on wanting to defund the police, night cash bail and serve on the boards of organizations like the Margaret casey foundation that support and gives grants to organs nations that are promoting the defined the policeman o Brien can also pointed out that he kept the state open for business, and this is why brand camp is going to destroy. State abrams. They beloved of the media, means the power they made her, the presidents of the universe and star trek well. I would remind georgia's, at the first part of my plan, was keeping our state open for business and allowing all business

people who work in jordan, stork, stacy abrams was criticised and make for doing that so push to get our kids back in the classroom when again, Stacey abrams was criticizing me for doing that a lot of georgians, including african americans and other minorities, cannot go to work at their kids are not in the classroom. This all good stuff. Brian camp, obviously, meanwhile, is raise going on in georgian. That is raised between walker and warnock, for Raphael, worn out but you never would have won if Donald trump hadn't intervene in the georgia centres in january, twenty twenty one so rough, warnock, right now in the real or politics pulling average, is about three percentage points, but the last you poles, This thing well with a margin of error, one plus two warnock, plus one they hadn't debate. The other night did Raphael, warnock and herschel walker, herschel walker. I thought did a fairly these job. I thought that he, he really attempted to refocus the debate on warnock. The big problem with Hershel walker is because of all his baggage. A lot of the focus has been on. Hershel walker is possible that if he refocuses

However, we can just keep saying the same things over and over that higgins were dragged himself to victory, based on the fact that the brain camp also, what will provide a tail when for him there will be less ballot splitting? Perhaps then there are the rise would be in this debate, for example, herschel walker capital. repeatedly that he's running because rough I want I can show by not saying it is very clear that my report would rather be running against anybody except me, by the iranian there. Only two people are going to we're gonna sit in the sea either me or my opponent, and I think this raises about whose ready to represent the people of georgia and I'm thinking about them. Every single but he kept saying, carve ninety six percent of the time I'm running he and Joe Biden, because that is a handicap iterating rough Raphael warnock. He said one: did he stood up to Joe Biden on something and were and herschel workers are being projected ya know you you laid down for Joe Biden, will, first of all on I am glad that we are standing up to Putin's aggression and

have to continue to stand up. which is why I stood up to the by the administration when it suggested that we to close the savanna combat readiness, training centre. I told the present That was the exact wrong thing to do at the exact wrong time. Well, sin, and why not say he stood up he's not stood up to buy the if used, in that we will aboard with ninety six percent of the time which gave us an oprah gave us our open border, which gave us high inflation, which gave us crime in the streets, and you talking about standing up. He didn't stand up. He had laid down every time. They came around you notice and Emily again the big issue for herschel walker is just the fact that herschel walkers, really volatile candidate, for example, these stories about abortion. They are going to dog or herschel. What are they going to decide the election noble? Would this election be a lot easier for sure? Walker did not have the stories of course here, as well for denying the abortion

allegations paying for an abortion some ten to fifteen years ago. He neither allegations on the stage for the vote watching tonight. Can you explain the circumstances surrounding these claims? You have sixty set whereas I say that's a lie and, well, most thing output put it in a book one day, about my life, is I've been very transparent, not light. Descended to these things but at the same time I say that's a lie and one abortion. You I'm a christian, I believe in life, and I tell people this. Georgia is a state, respects life and I'll, be a to protect life. And then, of course, there is the the moment in which herschel walk attempting to ripen Raphael. Warn us relations over the police pulls his police badgers, but that look like one thing I have not done: I've never pretended to be these officer and and I've never never threatened A shoot out with the police.

and I have found their way up. We're moving on responded it. You know. What's so funny what we mean So here is the bottom line. Candid equality matters brand It's going to run away with the governor's race in georgia in the same race. It can be a dog fight between herschel walker and Rafael lorna. Now, if you're asking what things you know anything. I actually think the walkers interpol. I went out it's very close right now, I think on, they have. You can get very, very high republican turnout. You can you get a little bit depressed, democratic turnout or that says to me is that Raphael Warnock may exit the senate, even though hershel walker is not particularly the candidate. Now. Meanwhile, again, as I say, one of the things that is it's. Noticeable is candid equality. Instead, after states of nevada nevada estate, These Democrat about is a purple to blue state and in the current nevada centre, raise right now. Adam lack salt has a slight lead over catherine courts. His master in that particular race out of the last six per

let's all leads five of them. He has, but one point: seven percent advantage on cortez master quarter master is, is trailing so badly that, when she's hamstrung bad run of it that she still running introduction to herself adds at this late stage in the campaign and ever she's the incumbent, you shouldn't run, hey remember me adds, at the last stage of the campaign, to that's exactly what she has to do because lacks out his good done. The job sort of pinning her down here is course his master Ziad. Some of my favorite memories are from around the table. Ants cousins, oliver sharing dinners at my grandmother's hearing stories about how so many came to this country worked hard and raise our family. Everything I am is thanks to them. It's what drives me to stand up for hard work in november to lower costs and to put families first, I'm catherine cortez, master and I'll. Never forget where I come from.

Why, through this message again, she is running asmara notice, how far away she running from sort of the typical democratic rhetoric care, I'm here to lower costs and I'm here to make sure that families have food to keep on the tape. Again. This is all very road kind of such meanwhile Adam lacks, halt their public and is running and he's running adds that are going straight to the heart of what voters want to hear here is Adam lack salt. I'm not I'm lacks out, and I approve this message. Catherine cortez master pretends to support law enforcement voted to rubber stamp radical officials, including activist who refuse to prosecute drug dealers and supported de funding. Police Hortense master called police races and when a local officer was shot in the head during riots, she encourage she didn't say a word. We retract our endorsement. We retract our endorsement, we retract or endorsed of catherine quartet master catherine quarter master, is dangerous and dangerous form of that

yeah. It's pretty hard hitting add there from the Republicans and, of course, lack salt has made courts his master the issue in that particular race. So again, another on these rules here, candid quality matters. Also, if you have the candidate their capable of shifting the focus the person on the other side of the aisle and that's actually what is happening right now in wisconsin as well, who gets more on this in just a second first, we are celebrating a huge win this month in the fight against transit. The children venerable hospital has now agreed to pause all gender transition surgeries on minors, but the fight is far from over there's still so much. We can do to protect our kids from this evil leftist indoctrination or protect your kids generally. When one great way to protect your kid for the future, you ought to write a will. Many parents don't realize how important it is to have a will in place. The sad truth is, if you I do moral without a will. The fate of your children would be left up to the state and about you. I don't really trust the state when it comes to deciding pretty much anything for my family. Luckily, my partners over at epic will make early estate plan. incredibly easy and affordable. Though bundle your last, Well living will health care power of attorney. Hipaa release

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position for details and to apply visit daily. Word comes lifespan, click on careers at stake, where the comet slash and burn already so other states that are up grabs right now that wisconsin constant centre race between RON Johnson was the incumbent mandela Barnes, the current lieutenant governor of wisconsin. Now one is also those but Johnson seems to now be opening a very significant gap in the latest. Marquette pole johnson is up six CBS news. You, god has Johnson up one fox news has Johnson up five again. This was a race. The Democrats thought that they have walked out just a few months ago, when Barnes was up five to seven point in this particular race as they are. it has gotten closer people have begun to refocus their minds a little bit on what actually matters to them, and you can see the difference between mandela, Barnes and RON Johnson. What their focus is in the way that they went after each other in their later senate debate. So here's mandela barnes. Here's his closing statement at the debate really appreciate. It's opportunity and while the senator wants to lie and distract and hide from his own record and while he subscribes to the politics of division,

and what he doesn't realize that each and every one of us in all seventy two counties in this state has so much more in common with each other than we'll ever have with self serve and out of touch politicians. Now, unfortunately, for the last twelve years, we've experienced the failures of his leadership and his representation women's lives and women's health, our own lie war veterans, maybe victims of birth. Is you don't want a senator who's, no play politics with the alive. for retirees. We all want a person who is going to take your retirement away from you. What you've worked hard for your entire life working people live with the constant threat of their jobs being shipped out of state or overseas. Our democracy hangs in the balance what you heard there for mandela, barnes, joy, reed scare mongering right, yet the abortion you got he's and take your medicare wasting your medicate away all the rest of this kind of stuff. Meanwhile, wrong John any slamming Joe Biden on spending, which again is in an idea thing is over a lot better with voters of wisconsin than mandela Barnes talking about, for example, aboard

ten or january sixth, to understand what caused these a forty year. High inflation rates is controlled deficit spending. I vote against most of it, but unfortunately, president Biden, we can office put forward another one point: nine trillion dollar quarterly package when we had a trillion and a quarter left unspent from the previous quarterly fact I was worried about stagflation early in two thousand twenty one Some solution is: stop the deaf suspend stop worrying our debt, but understand it ever a dollar you start. The binding ministries is now worth only eighty eight point three, since its creation everyone, but two we crushing seniors on a fixed income in here the real contracting johnson and bars when it comes to policing. So Johnson's main focus is mandela. You helped incite riots in Canosa and mandela. Our response is well january: sexual generous ex ain't going cut as much ice. As you know, they burn down entire city in wisconsin, while lieutenant,

during governor did very little about it does also telling them Look around johnson's, add against manzella, Barnes unseen topic breaking news in Dallas texas, where at least five police officers were killed when they were ambushed. This was the deadliest day for u s: law enforcement. Since nine eleven just days after this horrific crime, Mandela Barnes appeared on flat Amir Putin's propaganda news outlets and rationalized violence against american police officers. Police officers are over exercising their bad. It's this probably wasn't retaliatory. Is you want mandela barnes representing you in the senate senate ron johnson johnson? This message that policing he's going to be effective. That is why RON Johnson is starting to pull away in that raise me up in europe, you're starting to see the same sort of fact. You're seeing in georgia and the governors raise a candidate is due better and in senatorial race. A candidate is doing worse. One carry lake in

His owner is better because it turns out that she is actually very talented on the campaign frail in a way that blake masters may not be in that pulling right now carry lake is a just slightly in this race and she's tied in seed. Yes, you gov pole with katy hobbs she's up three in the ohio predicted insights pole, Andy any fox ten inside our advantage pushes up three points as well. That is because again carry lake even her opponents, We acknowledge that she's excellent on tv and she knows how, with room just work. A camera there's a very bizarre article from the atlantic trend rip into carefully Even though the author of the article Elaine Godfrey, seems need to smoke Whenever writing this thing, I she hears she describes fowl. Around lakes campaign she's as well. We're like has emanated from rhetoric is obvious, because I followed her in the months since something else it become clear, she's much better. At this from southern simulators. They make sense, given her first we're in front of the camera, cultivating trust thousand. Among thousands of miracle but county viewers, but there's more, imitation. Lake has made a mega her own she's,

Now, as politician away that other a high profile from indoors candidates are not she's more likeable than scented hopefuls, like masters or janey dance in neck and neck in her race in arizona. She arguably has a better chance than any other famous trump endorser this cycle. She really is the the candidate that trump picked, who is doing the best and most clearly doing the best. Again, jet events may, when you see no higher buddies, underperforming the republican general percentage for the electorate in ohio herschel lockers mechanistic in a race that really should be easy for applicants to win in georgia. brass ring very neck and neck racing. Pennsylvania's. We get you in just one moment, but carry lake happens to be again you're. One candidates like this. Can inequality matters she's, uniquely talented, was into how this atlantic author describes career like lake stood so close, I could see the different shades of brown in her irises, sweat, dripped dripped down my back. I have read your work. She said there is a seductive power, two legs voice, deep, but feminine from even severe but smooth like black tea, with a little honey

what? What but but again either terry lake is an excellent counter. This lady's got a screw loose, but bottom line here is that Katie hobbs is running against this, bringing her lake She also made a huge boo boo here, because she actually ducked a debate and then got fact checked on it, and she said that that lake had ducked an interview, and she got fact checked on it by Dana bash of cnn, like carrie lake has made it clear time and time again that she's not interested in having substantive in depth seychelles about the issues that matter to arizona, and she only once a scenario where she can control the dialogue and she's refuse to sit down in a one on one lengthy conversation to really clarify with arizona ends where she is on the issues she's, the one who is afraid of of talking to voters, where

she's at, and we are doing everything we can to take to make our case directly to the voters of arizona and she just came and sat down with me and answered my questions for for a lot of minutes and yeah. A lot of Democrats are questioning your decision and they're saying you know it's the wrong decision, president Biden's former twenty twenty co chair said I would debate, and I would want the people of arizona to know what my platform is, if you think she's as dangerous as you're saying to democracy, is it your responsibility as a candidate who it's to run, arizona to show and explain who they are. Alternative is yeah. I mean that's Dana bash, basically fact checking katie hop, so carry league has benefiting from the fact that she's very good in tv she's also benefiting from the fact that, obviously, her opponent is very terrible on t v. We haven't barely talked about the Democrats in these races, but Katie hobbs is a particularly awful candidate. Meanwhile, in the area

Senate race, mark kelly is up on blake masters that lead has been fairly consistent overtime. It was a lot bigger, I would say, mid september, mid september. Kelly was up bout. Six points on black masters today he's about four and a half points on blake masters masters seems to be closing the gap. A little bit is not quite close enough, yet the polls would have to be significantly oftener for masters to claim that seat right now he did have a good debate with martelli the other day and in that debate he went after mark kelly, for his record here was blake masters he's the fiftieth vote in the: u s: Senate Joe Biden needed his vote mark Kelly a year ago, could have dug its heels in its at miss. President, I'm not supporting a single thing. Not a single spending will not a single piece of your agenda unless and until we get border security Biden would have had to secure the border mark kelly. If he's, if this is the result of Senator Kelly being focused on the border, my gosh he's the most ineffective in worse. Senator of all time now again did this is the right message for blake master.

be promoting the problem is that the ads that he has been promoting up till now have been issue as that, actually don't cut in his favor. So, for example, I'm not sure why he thought that this was, for example, a very good ad two hundred and fifty thousand illegal cross border every month. This is invasion we know what to do. We need to finish trust what we need five times more border patrol and we need technology to walk this border down. We don't do these things right now, we're not going to have a country, I'm blake, Nevertheless, MR president, open doors me because he knows that I'm in a secure this board now again down from today. win. Arizona I mean it is worth noting here than the last elections are confronted with arizona his approval headings in arizona or not ridiculously high, so, like masters citing donald trump, he's in an out about immigration and then adding the hero music, I like I understand it's cool looking at. It looks like the trail of reform, but it really

not an add that is going to get those suburban housewives to vote for blake masters me well marked kelly's ads are indirectly those people remark kelly's ross, often and twinkly, like you're, going to cut an ad about yourself, the general rule, if you're in a purple state he's got soft ads by yourself in really hardcore ads bag, your opponent you'll cut hardcore ads about yourself and and then Not much about your opponent, a most areas actually shouldn't feature you. They should feature your opponent, but here's. Here's an ad like look. This is good by Mr Kelly, because again it completely obscures who he is a guy who votes with Joe Biden. Ninety six percent of John I'm the mayor of mason and a republican last few years have been tough on our local businesses and our community needed help. That's when I heard from our kelly, we may be from different political parties, but that doesn't matter from our for him were all on team arizona, that's who markets he secured critter, If funding to help save our small businesses marked, doesn't look for ways to blame

the crowds republicans. He looks for a way forward, a mark kelly and approve this message: Again that add obscures whom are kelly is, but it basically may chemical republican. All these republicans, where endorsing him by partisan now the rest and then in the debate. This was cows angle. I masters whereas it is anglo masters masters. The masters is kind of an extremist upstart that that's got to be edge in our kelly's running you'd, better campaign, that is being given credit for in arizona we're, really, he should be losing end here is Kelly. I think we all know guys like this. You know guys that think they know better than everyone about ever thing. You know you think you know better than women and doctors about abortion. You even think you know better than seniors about sources, clarity, and you think you know better than veterans about how to win a war folks. We all

guys like this, and we can't be letting them make decisions about us, because it's just dangerous arcade, severe ballpark, this race, even though listen I like blake masters. Personally, I like a lot of his ideas with that said. like masters, one of the weaker candidates, humdrum public inside of the isle, this time so in uganda, and republicans have essentially forty seven senate seats that are very likely to be winners, including shady dance. That means the republicans you take or of the following seats. Then you take for from these arizona, georgia, new hampshire, north carolina, nevada, pennsylvania wisconsin, I believe it will take north carolina. That's one! I believe that they're going to take wisconsin, it's two. I believe it gonna take nevada, that's three k so that leads they need when one of the following three george arizona or pennsylvania. I georgie arizona pennsylvania if they are capable of taking george up than all the rest of this becomes a wash, but that one is

is he arizona is looking increasingly dicey. It looks like mark kelly is in better position when that he, which brings us to pennsylvania, as, of course, is highly watched, mainly because here we have a a high profile republican sent a candidate in doktor oz leaning against a guy who had a full on stroke in the middle of this campaign and cannot be cleared. I'm a campaign, trail yells, to be an ordinary radical, now all the focus the beginning this campaign was on doctor. It seems as though the warm has turned and all the focus now and John betterment, which is why I believe that doctor, as he's going to win the seat, I think that an and the people of pennsylvania, then you are going to move away from fishermen simply because fishermen does not seem like you can hold it together. Plus you actually happens to be pretty radical right now. The the latest poles, including one from daily, where my sight, trafficker show it is up to us to the margin of error is two point: nine there's a poor from the hill emerson betterment up to margin of error three. So this thing is basically a dead heat at this

and there's a reason for that again: fetterman happens to be a radical candidate, but most of the criticism of fetterman has been of the fact that he may not be mentally able at this point again meant it John fetterman. He refuses to put out any of his doctor's notes on his current status. Now, if those notes were good, you think you'd be waiting for more than five seconds put those out. They can't be good. Here's a a bit of what John fetterman is, like over the past few weeks in june is anti american. What is wrong with demanding for An easy, safe kind of their income, a path to a safe place for them to win The director work. Please understand the stakes in this race. Send me She didn t see this, and so I can work

senator casey, and I champion. The union way of life in jersey, he's really DC. Who would have thought that we would never think of me. The normal, the normal one in the razor applicant. I gave away the lieutenant governor governor in pennsylvania, the only lieutenant governor in the history to do that, and you can count on us to eliminate the filibuster and let let's get some stuff done for america. If you're come out in step with us, we will be able to stay and with the in DC. In fact, it so bad that John pyramids wife actually came out over the last couple of days and called for NBC to apologize. You John pheromone. Why? Because NBC nooses dash burns conduct an interview with fishermen and said quote during

of those conversations before the closed captioning was run. It was rolling, it wasn't clear he could undressed What we are saying so veterans, wife, I said, I'd, love to see an apology towards the disabled community from her and from her network for the damage they cause, a weight is john fetterman part of the disabled community He suddenly find that everything is totally hunky dory at this point, so that, just as medical condition, then you and by the way how bad is sediments, medical condition as an issue. It so Add that one of his new adds he bit leads off the air by saying that he has a stroke, and that's why he knows the people need more time at home, I'm not kidding. That's it that's a brand new ad. After my stroke, I was just grateful to see and our kids across Pennsylvania I keeps

in families that don't have enough time to focus on each other, they're struggling left behind we've got to make it easier for people to spend time with those they love politician spent so much time fighting about the things that don't matter I'll always be focused on with direct access to healthcare and lower costs, good jobs more time with those we love. I'm John fetterman- and I approve this message- doktor OZ is doing again. What a typical candid would do in a purple state he's running it too. The middle to hear his doctor odds doctrine ass, his latest talking about moderation versus extremism. I've been thinking along about family next generation, for these kids are safe in our communities. Inflation is making it harder to buy a house to start a family guys, like John ferryman, take everything to the east why we letting murderers out wisest solution, always tax and spent

extremism on both sides makes things worse. We need balance less extremism, wash it I'm running percentage improve people's lives as what doctors do. I'm doctor oz. I approve this message gay so again you're seeing the doctor, as do the things he needs to do to when he's moving towards the center in the last couple of weeks of the election, and all the focus is on fetterman. This is why I think the republicans are going to take pennsylvania. Okay. Now there are still a couple of wild cards out there, so you have new Hampshire, new Hampshire's possible wild right now the pulling in new Hampshire is not remarkably close. I thought this space can be closer and it is going to be right now by the polling, and that is probably because of the nomination of don baldock, who is a veteran but has a chequered pass in terms of saying, rather wild things about donald trump intellection, twenty twenty maggie hassan right now, who is very vulnerable and definitely could have lost erased use running well about fifty percent in the latest paul from four breeze. And alone she's up seven by averages she's up about six points that are not great numbers if you're going into the electrodes

We are meanwhile in colorado, their public and for putting a lot of faith in the age of the Joe o day was going to some heavy. It will take on Michael bennett and four brief moment in time. peered that there was a narrowing in this particular raise, but that mom time seems to have passed better right now is up in the latest. Pulling data. Six, nine and sex he's up seven point: seven percent all over georgia? Now it does not help at all the talent from decided to vini in that race, he's mad, because Joe day is saying that he is not a trompe guy and so trump put out a full statement about how Joe days a terrible person- and he hopes he loses- which of course is wildly helpful- and we ve already seen at least to georgia sentence eads go down to flaming debate because of a donald trump in twenty twenty. So intervening in the colorado. As he's, I can be the reason that Josie elusive gioia loses, but certainly not helping. You don't want the farmer, if the united states so concerned with what a random seneca in colorado, is saying about him is now having see back to Michael abiding by the way, I'm not sure that microbiology legs donald from enjoy data, although he's probably no more donald trump and Joe data

While there is one other sea that is now in apparently how water possibly for violence. That, of course, is the seat in you. So this is one that really should not be closed right MIKE Lee won. His last election would like seventy percent of the vote Right now, the polling seems to be drawing a lot closer. I dont think that this is going to fall out of republicans favour in favour of Evan muffin by dumb. But Democrats it's an independence, are apparently placing their hopes on admit. Muffin, you remember him. He tried to run against trump in twenty. Sixteen fell dramatically according to aquino's make moment challenging in common sen, senator Lee they do have a debate. Macmillan is an anti. from so called conservative, but he's gonna clock caucus with democratic, challenging tenderly Who is an uncommon centrally? Is it- constitutional conservative he he votes in extraordinarily limited government ways. The big problem in this particular race

is that Lee has not been endorsed by met. Romney's from IRAN has been sitting out there doing his holier than thou routine. With regard to make me, nobody really understands why nobody really understands why exactly mitt romney won't ever met muffin too to be in that coaxing with the Democrats, possibly having control of the senate over to the Democrats. There is a desert news, hinkley institute of politics Paul released last week. It found that forty one percent registered voters have it cast a ballot for Lee thirty seven percent said they would vote for Evan mcmullin mcmullin tries to suggest, of course, that that lie was sort of in in league, with donald trump to overthrow the election results. Utah Democrats have now voted to back mcmullin over their own during the primary to increase their chances of defeating likely. That's because new todd's utensil will not like democrats to the united states Senate The centre raise come six years after make mullins try to run for president twenty sixteen. He did get twenty one point: five percent of votes in utah, which the high support for an independent.

potential candidates since nineteen. Ninety two and ross perot was running lisa the driver's seat pretty. Obviously, but the simple fact that mitt romney refuses again to endorse lee is really extraordinary again I have defended romney from time to time, and I think that he's doing stuff based on principle, I dont understand the principle of you: support the guy who's going to support the Democrats. I dont get it at all romney. Apparently he made it clear from us he would say neutral in leaves one for a third term against macmillan who's, not sway where is the washington post by stage yogi chairman Carson Jorgensen, who said he pressed at least cases romeo earlier this year and again at last week with rami staff republican candidature putting the republican colleagues as others to a Jorgensen, said in an interview now the national television, is urged rami to reconsider. In the final weeks of forty eight of my republican colleagues on board with me. It's not too late mid,

If you stalemate over romney's endorsement appears unchanged. This is madness, and meanwhile romney. His team is now leaking to the washington post, romney aides, irked by lee plea for support, highlighting glbt. Why exactly should he be irked? Why doesn't he just support him? What exactly is supposed to be the the big complaint about MIKE Lee k so supposedly the complaint is that Michael? was texting with people inside the trump administration. He voted to certified trumps loss. Last year. He told me those states and not given lawmakers legal grounds subject in that they need the constitution on our side barely I wasn't enough or either mitt romney or for ever in mid muffin and so make muffin tried. You basically lie and suggested that Lee had betrayed the constitution- harassment, molin debate, but for you to talk about the importance of the law. the electoral college, I think, is rich, I think you, you know exactly how important it is, and I think you knew how important it was

When you sought to urge the white house lost in election defined fake electors to overturn the will of the people centrally. That was the most agreed just between. All of our nations constitution in its history by a u s tender. I believe- and it will be your legacy hey, so he did well in aid. But again, macmillan, apparently is some is attempting to push this. This position anyway: Levin responded by saying, basically you both from a moment in voting for the Democrats, which of course, is true. You have sought for actively courted and obtained the endorsement of the democratic party you ve raised millions of dollars from act blew the database on which far left progressive, socialist democratic donors can be found, and then you have, in the last quarter alone, spent one point: six million dollars, feeding the democratic industrial complex.

So it's not surprising to me that you would come here today in spelt. Not only lies, but lies that are specific to the leftist caused loss. Lies that are specific to the democratic party and lies that certainly are not applicable to me so bottom line is: do I think Michael is going to lose that seat I'll, be very doubtful that michaeli loses at that seat? The fact that it has come down to this at all is is kind of a ridiculous situation given how red utah is and given the fact that mitt romney solve all of this simply by moving along here, but they rami, apparently won't once again that these are holier than thou here is, is rather astonishing, because meekly did vote in favour of the certification of the election already reached. The end of today's we'll be back with much much more tomorrow. This is the bench Barroso