i pad and paper alert so we're gonna give you our openings salvo on the two thousand and twenty presidential campaign now this is my eleventh campaign covering as a journalist eleven and the first one was nineteen seventy six whoa jimmy carter i talked to the governor of georgia at the time and i kicked it off and i have covered every presidential race since but nothing like this because of covert covert has changed politics in america and i'm going to get into that during the campaign and we will bring you information you get nowhere else which is why you're here i owe

they're gonna be a lot of changes ninety nine days from now so a ninety nine days we all go to the polls two votes of us will mail it in i'm ongoing in person not be allotted change so the polling you see today is really not relevant to anything it does give indicator of popularity or trends but it doesn't mean anything i can guarantee the next ninety nine days will be turbulent in this country major changes are gonna take place right before our eyes which is why i'm glad you're here and i can predict the outcome of the race probably by halloween member ass time hilary versus trump far five days out i predicted the winter when all the polls except for rasmussen had hilary went

new donald trump is gonna win i think i'll be able to give you that on halloween that's fitting right now let's start if donald trump much evaluate him where we are right now again this is going to change but is where we are right now so his strength is the economy he is a free market capitalist he has i knocked out a lot of government regulations put into place by barack obama who was not really a free market capitalist he was an income re distributor president obama trump his own interest in it not he wants a robust economy that brings as much money into the american family as possible on all

and he was successful alright to do that and the democrats will say oh it was set up by barack obama that's bull it was the tax cut for corporations that spurred on the trump economy for three years then covert hit and everything blew up that has made donald trump very angry and frustrated that this virus comes out of china and wipes out the u s economy however if you really step back and look the stock market is held and that is a very real powerful indicator all right but there are millions of americans out of work and the government is paying millions of dollars to prop up people so they don't go wonder and is all that now the perception of america in the world is also due to our trump so it's a factor in selection not a big factor the economy and covert there the two biggest

in the world donald trump is not hate it all right he's a much different guy in private negotiations than he as in public so you we saw that with the president mexico comes up here trump charmed them all trump has a good relationship or had a good relationship with the president of china now it's not good because a covert putin and trump you know putin you this trump trump wants to make a deal with putin i don't think it's ever gonna happen in the first interview that i did with donald trump after he was elected president i told them potent was a bad guy you know trump didn't believe me buddy is so i don't think he's ever going to get donald trump's ever going to get anything out of potent and putin will continue to put the screws to the usa but overall american perception abroad is fairly good despite

the press says the leaders understand that they have benefited from the american economy in afghanistan donald trump wants to pull the troops you know look if it were me i'd do the same thing how i would do twenty years in there twenty years the afghans going to take care of it ices goes goes back row qaeda then we'll drone no blown up in the air but we gotta get out of it so trips instincts there are right so all in all for me and i'm a historian i doubt did a lot better jobs overseas and brought obama kay reynines fear him ices has been crippled al qaeda has been cripple saw i'm ok with from foreign pulse demeanor now here is where donald trump gets crushed

those of us who know him no way why he does what he does you read the united states a trap i explain across the board but most people don't you the time they look at the present the united states as the leader and they want good things to happen good things are happening now because a covert from demeanor during the call it was first dismissal we'll get out it is not a big deal then optimistic and now its realistic but it took him from february too late july to get realistic that's a deficit there's a million excuses and again i probably would have sent me to stay mistake is you don't want to thank the stock market the economy i probably would have done the same thing and been optimistic about defeating cove the cold it is brutal

now we have to acknowledge the brutality of it i am so optimistic we'll get a vaccine a medicine to fight it i can't and this is just a hope but but i the people who are working on it and i will tell you some more specifics later on the programme now the demeanor of confrontation which is what donald trump is women this is the big problem for doubt dont trouble win that american men will vote for him more than by but women broke fifty four forty two four hilary could be sixty five thirty five this time around which would sink mr trot if women break beg for the democrats party is all so he's gotta get women back looking at him as an effective leader not can bees

many american women are fearful of the virus very afraid for their families her parents and all of that men are afraid to but they don't demonstrate as much as women on donald trump's strategy ass to be to explain to american women voters what's going to happen if your binds like to present and i will do that and animal so donald trump's running against donald trump not joe biden in many cases so there are a lot of people that don't like biden but i don't want trump he's got to change that and he could he could if the fear tempts down the main issues that donald trump will bring to the campaign trail we'll be look at this radical left disorder look at these people

if the black lives matter global foundation look what they're doing sewing division disrespecting the flag calling george washington and thomas jefferson terrible names that's big most americans unlike the second thing is how donald trump has rebuild them literary okay which is important obviously zagging to resonate i'm not sure and the third is energy states now is an export or advantage alright we make lots of money selling gas oil natural gas to countries abroad that is really help the economy and the job market democrats to destroy that whole thing nada ok so let's go to let some up let some up donald

demeanor problem now yeah and i know you're going to write me and god know i love his demeanor he has to confront his sentiment yes yes yes alright i know i know but people on the fence not pro trump hers alright they get put off a little bit so he's got to kind of be more pro what they call presidential that means more authoritative but he's got to show kindness can be a little softer yet that woman vote joe

he is a figurehead not an active candidate he turned down an interview with chris wallace wallace hammered him on his program over the weekend but you're buying is not going to put himself into any position where he's going to be challenged he doesn't have to democratic party thinks trump has alienated so many people has alienated so many people that biden doesn't have to even campaign alright but there will be three debates and of job gets pounded and will when the bates com will will tell you all about it binding is murmured in the debates are right trump wins but by can hold its own on occasion if remembered less the crowded bade bigamous there he was alert either when after a meal there's now joe

various inquiries but in the senate since nineteen seventy two action that nineteen seventy to forty eight years but you have to take the eight years eddie was vice president now but then in washington position ok twenty nine years old he was the fifth youngest senator in history selected from delaware in nineteen seventy two the year he was elected daughter and wife were killed in a car accident boy tough one so joe biden has had a life of ups and downs no doubt about it the thing that bothers me personally about ben is that he changes core beliefs whenever somebody does that i need an explanation so abortion for example i mean that's a pretty tough want to change

i saw when roe v wade was passed ninety seventy three joe biden as a senators said it had gone quote too far will be way too far but now alright joe biden is the big abortion guy he wants me to pay for abortions even on the roman catholic he wants to hide amendment to be rescinded that protects people of faith from paying for abortion didn't want any more at ease catholic so how do you go from robert wade was too far too you will riley to pay for voice i don't i get there i don't i get their crop seventy seven joe biden push for mandatory minimum sentences for for crimes so you do this you to get that you did you get that guy tough guy tough anti crime guy nineteen seventy seven now by another why cash bail what how do you go for a mandatory minimum sentences to don't want cash

how do you get there it's crazy guy china back then china was his friend nice on meant a lot of money from china so maybe that adds up to do it and i'm not being cynical or wise guy i don't know but i was gonna good guys are good eyes china gonna work with them now now quote we are in competition with china we to get tough with china they receive this challenge and every single step donald trump is taking only exacerbating the challenge gobbledygook but now a tough so you can go back i'll give you ten more if joe biden and any core values you know he's value is i want to win depressed i'll say what i have to say the problem with that is that by twenty five percent of its people

your radical left is one socialism i want to do away with the capitalist success and you're not going to control those people i mean look at bernie sanders kick him more radical and bernie since he would have us in the cuban system that's what we do but binding likes bernie i think the compromise that we came up with any sanders is excellent ok i express my gratitude towards for working together to unite our part bernie sanders says quote i think the compromise we came up with will make by the most progressive presidency after you part of the people write off so you can back the massive amount of change is in our capitalistic system i may give you specific bides gonna raise corporate tax the one thing

stimulated our economy he's gonna race he's gonna race tax on me and every other successful american he's gonna raising but gains tax to a vote a high level w it is going to wipe the stock market right out i'm not buying stocks why would i pay fifty percent on any gay i am in the stock market which is risky you dad i know what i was doing cyber bow ok corporations are gonna move assets that oversees member trump grey them said you gotta move back to america which many them did because they got attacks holiday we're doing it now to go back oversees within not to be taxed as much affluent people will leave the country nations like work way already tell animals come on down here you gotta

the grand you buy an apartment will give you citizenship and nobody will touch your money you gotta renounce u s citizenship or the ira gets it but a lot of people will particularly the wealth tax is proposal bernie sanders wants a well thanks that's confiscation of private property that's confiscating private property right that's what it is now it's on costs national and i think the supreme court would rule it that way but you're going to go through a big thing you get there but the most important thing is energy right so abide administration wipeout oil gas lacking natural gas or it's got all those jobs are lost because of the green new deal and we'll have windmills and solar panels let me give you said break this too china and india are important windmills so what we do then going to do it so what good is it we

straw our whole where energy industry here and that's exactly what will happen in a federal government will take ten trillion tax dollars and invested in windmills ten trillion which will then raise the debt to forty trillion which we can't pay back then the u s door dollar the currency of the world starts to go like this and all your savings or i raise all your retirement your college fund every that such a go like this can't all forty trillion dollars this is what's gonna happen if the democrats when the house the senate the presidency because they say it they say it deceiving us no way what we're gonna do ok now far as foreign policy is concerned goes back to the obama foreign policy where one

patient among many were not exceptional we don't lead we follow immigration open borders absolutely by we're not going to beef up the border not going to do it right people come at pouring even though you say well why were they poor and with high taxes do not the page i text is only people earning one seventy five cato paid a high tax but it below seventy five gaining banning tax ok sanctuary thirty five amnesty for all the illegal aliens here tat could be between fifteen and twenty million and fast tractable once twenty million new foreign nationals get the vote one party state public is never have a chance again that's the ultimate goal of the massive immigration

funded by george soros and the radical left ok by not withstand aware that no even though he was for the wall in its previous senatorial career wanted it not now get them all in given the right to vote then we will have a republican party just like in california and new york city so traditional america disappears off the plane never to be found against the things that made a strong right the things have made us nowhere doc race relations minority groups will get all kinds of government large s right they will be the favourite sons and daughters no doubt about it

black lives matter via their own cabinet position those marxist ladys will be all over the white house now you think i'm exaggerating i'm not i'm not because they say it i am not exaggerating at all so for the first time in my career that spans forty six years i can't keep an open mind about joe biden a democratic party i cannot vote for them i can't because i dont want traditional american advantage to be destroyed to be demolished and they'll do it and peoples have all when it when he gets like that he will be now he's not in charge he's not calling the shots he'll do

told so i'm being blatantly honest with you but i can cover fairly the campaign and i will not get a cheap shots joe biden i'm not going to spread rumour and innuendo about him they take things out of context i'll make fun of em but i wanna make fund a trump too what i do our avoid honestly every single day for the next ninety nine days what happens i will do that but you should know because i'm an honest guy that i could not possibly vote for any democrat this time around no one because that's the party that wants to destroy traditional in there that's it let's kick it off our election coverage is honest

can be and as fact based as i can be must bring in our pal mark penn he's coming to us from washington d c he is a president of the stag will group private firm that does marketing and analysis of politics mister penn how are you on the same which is tragic for everyone involved i i you you gave us a poll you are kind enough to give us a poll that hasn't been released yet or it or maybe seconds ago and i your participation in his poll was to gather the data is that what you did here mark well you know i'm chairman of the harris poll so a month for years cyclists three years we ve been conducting a monthly

harvard centre for american political studies and harris paul and a pretty much those through the american looks attitudes each month and has track them for years now ok so i want to go one by one what you found out they met biology is thirty seven percent democrat thirty two percent republican twenty eight percent independent let me just ask you one question when they say independent do you go if a right leaning do you do that kind of thing or is it just independent now i can't keep it they say independent let them lean democrat lean republican and but but i keep them i dont segment them out as independent in this twenty eight percent you have any idea how many lean republican and leaned democrat in this important that ok now because it changes that that's the whole nature of american policy our youngest you know you know me i'm a simple man and i have a very simple questions i saw them

first one i want to ask you about is the country on the right track or wrong track wrong track sixty five percent are right track twenty seven percent an all time low for the harvard harris pole now i assume this is covert base most of this yeah well as you can see although the the tree has believed that the country is on the wrong track for a long time now but but you can see there was a severe kind of jump up after you know even what's going on with the virus which which makes sense i mean the economy was great even when things were good most people still said that that they weren't sure about the direction of the country is opposed to the economy where in fact they have been it almost ecstatic am and i read

got some of the highest ratings of the economy until of course now where those nosedive no question about that i blame the media for a lot of the disenchantment in the country but i just make second question for verbal or unfavourable opinion of the police favourable sixty seven percent unfavourable twenty five percent now i'm not surprised that number you know i the military is about eighty one percent but was injured thing to me as last month we started to put that question and last month and it was sixty percent they wrote a book the police actually went up seven points i last month while black lives matter now again this is the slogan versus the organization you don't break that out you just put black lives matter favourable fifty one percent on favourable thirty eight percent i would have preferred with all

respect that you say black lives matter slogan or black lives matter organization although i understand that most people don't know the difference so favor oh black lives matter fifty one unfavourable thirty eight what does that tell you well also the months before it was the five percent favourable so they were actually down four but it tells me that and the american public supports black lives matter as it as a as you say not necessarily organization but they they do believe that there has been a lot of discrimination and second they also support the police in fact they support both black lives matter and the police war than they support the democrats and republicans or president trump ok that's easy to do the police

i believe the eighty thousand law enforcement officers in amerika are largely noble and black lives matter as i said earlier certainly is a phrase that we can all agree is noble ok next question if the election for president were held today who would you vote for biden fifty five trump forty five and that's pretty much the prevailing wisdom correct yes i think that dumb i think i praise the says it's the virus stupid pretty much cause the president's fifty one percent rating on the virus two or three months ago and that drop to forty one percent the virus we emerged and stop the briefings and that then really i think is almost exactly corresponding to how that horse races coming out so i do think that this all right now is hindering not surprised lay on all these other issues but it is if you

think about it everybody's life is affected by the virus literally been on the rise our analysis that women are are very very frightened about this and since trump lost women last time fifty four forty two he's behind even more but there's a vaccine next week or the week after or september tenth they re race changes in my opinion do you agree with that well yeah because because president was doing better much better two or three months ago and so it is here for voters to do what i call snapped back which is previously supported somebody if they and come back to the kind of performance supported i can snapped back so that's why i wouldn't say this race is over i would say that right now it seems to be correlated to satisfaction handling the virus and that could i agree i am again now

maxine announce what would be a major shot your arm the debates on the debates are gonna be begged this year particularly for joe by if he does not do well in those debates everything's gonna change as well in my opinion my uncle a pit ok next question in turn to argue that crime is increasing in american citys cities concerning seventy seven not concern twenty four obviously crime is shot up a once the protests the violent protests began as the criminals use the protests shield to commit carnage is that the way you see it well in in a follow up maybe going to read that next we asked people why do you think violence increase and and they gave the protests as answer number one followed by increased unemployment as answer number two so i don't know that i can draw up all of the statements made other than report to you that

as a follow up question why that is what they answered yes i mean i think it's a protest that really lit the fuse a final question who do you think will do a better job of curbing violence in cities biden or trump biden fifty four trump forty six now trop is a law and order guy biden has not said very much why's he ahead well remember by this getting fifty fives or anything when he gets below fifty five four is actually slight weakness compared to us right when you when you analyze pause member that necessarily the group that is most concerned the virus and by the way we did have a series of questions about whether prosecutors were prosecuting people and whether that they thought they should be prosecuted which people said they should be prosecuted if they tear down the statue but they're not being prosecuted so but the answer to your question is there

if it's below the horse race is actually not helping biden and i think in terms of a general notion though is that there are not looking just for strength they're looking for some combination of strength and conciliation between oh and election day a good ninety seven days you're going to have what every week you're going to have some surveys and a look at the nation every or every month we go back every we're gonna have we're gonna have with that's july we're gonna have august september october i mean that's how long it takes for a yak american opinion you joe i will i hope you will share your findings with us and we really appreciate more thanks very much let us go to a gallup poll now remember we started programme with a gallup poll it didn't mean anything because it was really a survey of thirty five thousand

well who called in or clicked in to gallup how they even knew i dunno but it wasn't you know scientific this one is all right so this one asks about whether your concern but of liberal or independent and it pulled let's see we have now we don't have any methodology here but this was done on telephone calls so that is that the elderly were involved and pick up the tab on you want to answer gobs questions get sought the latest quite it was what is your ideology this is made you conservative thirty six percent of americans moderate thirty six percent liberal twenty six percent but that is a four point rise for liberal and a four point drop for conservative since january february

then is that virus related i don't know but when you have a largely militants liberal media to see that the conservative still more than liberals by ten points so there's a noble gout called defender in sheep donald trump battles for presidential power ok this came out yesterday the other the book is john you you may remember him he is a currently a law prefer at the university of california berkeley the most radical college campus in the country previously serve as deputy assistant u s attorney general and the office of legal counsel under george w bush first of all when you saw a bar yesterday i mean you know the justice department as well as anybody professor what was your reaction to the way was treated by the democrats on the judiciary committee a third disgraceful

fact i reminded me sadly of these fake basis games were watching where they put cut out of the fans up the stance because the way i was treated they could it just how to cut out of eternity where they didn't really ask him any questions now that they wanted to hear answers to they were using him as a prop for camp pink commercials and set speeches i thought it was a terrible and i thought bar did a good job i saw america saw someone who is patient well prepared and thought gave good answers when he was allowed to speak at all you surprise this exposition i'm sure bar him i knew that he was gonna get in there and not learn the others we're going to try to embarrass some and i don't know if that's really what thousand representatives should be doing

i used to be a senate staff for myself and i was disappointed i was surprised i had seen the hearing that was that extreme before usually especially when set a cabinet officer when it's a tourney germany the united states you may ask tough questions you might give but a histrionics but you still the attorney general the chance to answer the questions that's the whole point of the hearing is not to give a full for people just to give campaign speeches its actually there so that you can learn some information about what's going on import land or the justice upon her and i mean there's a lot of things the justice department is involved with right now and information what the american people me people around donald trump have turned on him and a lot of reports begins like mitt romney and john k sick despise the present

but you have remained loyal to him where's your former boss i president bush younger he'd i haven't used for donald trump why have you remained a supporter of mr trot actually i would even say i've remained loyal i started out four years ago a little bit wary of donald trump because he's a populist and populous often want to escape their directions on their powers because they want to achieve their popular goals but what followed over the last three or four years is come more more study closer to the president's views because found and it's very much what you said about portland very much what you said about these hearings it's his chris ex was opponents who want to overthrow the constitution overthrow per kilo we'll traditions in the way we ve run the country for the law two centuries and i found that even those a populist trot became a unexpected defend

or of the constitution he's the one who sang of course we can sent federal law enforcement into our cities to protect federal property federal personnel after all that's what fort sumter and the civil wars outbreak we're about that's what president lincoln had said to and the are right now you are a minority mister you large dreamily successful right what do you think when you hear the black lives matter movement whatever that maybe i say this is a racist country that the americans are persecuted by authorities what do you think when you hear that i don't think i'm here there is a systematically racist country i think a country that worked harder than any other one i can think of to live up to the promise of the declaration of independence its she were six hundred thousand americans died in the civil war to redeem

the promise of the declaration of independence and to end slavery it's a country where four dec after decades tries to get better try to become perfect it no never can nothing human ever can become perfect we have constantly tried to do so and present tromp i think fortunately is attacked fairly on this score i think he is actually produce in economies you start out saying that it produced stork levels of employment amongst acts amongst the poor and amongst hispanics he gets no credit for that site that i reject this idea that the nation is systematically racist and structured in a way to destroy eight against minorities now you are in the belly of the beast in berkeley california teach law at the university of california you are certainly in a minority on your faculty are you sure do you have a problem out there on that campus

you believe that your freedoms speech expression are being violated out there i have to say i actually like the company of liberals maybe it's not good for me maybe hunter may molecular you bill i like to argue with people i bet you like being around liberals to but i do worry at what i see happening on our campuses i do the emergence of this kind of intellectual orthodoxy steadily cancelling beakers cancelling classes trying to drive out professors have conservative views are just on orthodoxies that's not the way universities work they only work if all ideas can get out their fight against each other and the best ideas when says what's made american colleges and universities the best ones in the world by worry if we keep at this in the same actually been going we're gonna behind our patterns and asia and europe

well we also gonna fall behind in our freedom capacities because now all of our freedoms or endanger with the cancelled culture final question for you and i'm sure you thought about this because you are a man of thought by the mystery is book defender and chief there very relevant study of what the constitution really says if you want to understand what our countries really about then this book is a modest defender and cheese do you know professor what is dry having this incredible hatred towards our country on the are the black lives matter movement the anarchists we're seeing in the cities what's driving that unfortunately i you could say this is a college camp it is now coming to the rest of the country he's ideas that have been

meant in our universities for the last twenty thirty forty years but people i don't think took them seriously because you never thought they will be put into practice and i think what's what's behind this is power is the idea that certain key people she just makes any arguments necessary to try to he's power doesn't mean any ones are as you said no one's approving of police brutality no one wants george floyd's or the world killed and there are systems and methods for forgetting and punishing those responsible think broader arguments to say that the police are all inherently racist that they govern it does unholy risen idle that's true so what's really behind it is just an effort by people or out of power to try to take over and i think it's as you point i think a lot of the inspiration from it comes from failed marxist ideas which have failed every time they ve been put into place look kind is where marxism took over ten

millions of people being killed by their own governments that's the last thing i think we want in the united states vessels really appreciate taking time good luck with the book again as defender in chief by john you we'll talk tomb and on the subject of the police here's a little pay back so hundred police agencies of tall the democratic national committee there help out at the dnc convention one hundred why do you think that is there is a final thought of the day five more weeks of some use as a kid because my in early september i hated my birthday because coincide going back to school on of course everyone to go back to school and august was a bad not because it was not before you had go back to school in new york so five always some and i friends you know they were going to go on trips and i gotta get out to california i gotta go

out there i dunno when i'm going to do that but i got so many things i gotta do in california and so what how do you make the most out of the five weeks first of all you gotta car gas achieved you look at a map around maybe two hundred three hundred miles where you are supposed to be a bit i sent people up to the adirondacks in new york state there need to help build up this time a year legs mounds i again good food you just rival i knew there are no covert any adirondacks i think it's allow governor como band or you go to northern doing ok the domain the maine coast i know there's a shark out there but you don't want what is too cold anyway the laggards anywhere around where you are right

you throaty urges in there you take your parents your old elderly parents or whatever you may do but do something get five weeks do something fun this is a time when you can get reservations you can do what you want but don't sit there and mom i saw there is a great seas taken advantage we get many ocean almost all the time and so short one of the title i'm ready i'm ready for them there's no sharks where i am because the water is so turbulent and gotta know what you're doing in area you're gonna wind up in portugal anyway my final vote of the day is i want you to enjoy the last five weeks sorry but you got a plan thank you for watching we'll see you soon