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Content:
- Congratulations, President Elect Biden
- Do I have cognitive dissonance?
- Whiteboard: Possibilities
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The post Episode 1180 Scott Adams: Let’s Explore the Depths of my Cognitive Dissonance and Congratulate President Elect Biden appeared first on Scott Adams' Blog.
This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Bobo bump bump bump on everybody glory. It is time for a very special afternoon. Bonus, coffee or no coffee was Scott Atoms, and that means you dont need to have a beverage. This time you could just joined in without any kind of a beverage. So scared,
Special thy way. Well, let me start by saying: congratulations, President Elect Biden according to the vote, I don't think the vote is the official vote. Will change?
much, but we're going to talk about what might happen, then my surprise you just maybe because I like a good, a good story and I'm gonna give you one.
You ready for it. So congratulations to President Biden and cobblers for hard fought battle,
courting to our system. You on, and I congratulate you for that, but is it over or is it over.
we're going to talk about because there might be something coming. They you don't see. You're gonna want to stick around for that. Oh yeah. He organ want to stick around that, but the big question is, and I ve been seeing people s social Media- am I experience
the cardinal dissidents- and I would like to explore there with you and you can be the judges, because the nature of cognitive dissonance, if I've told you anything, is that the person who suffers from it is the only person who can tell
that they had so the allegation is that I am suffering right now because of the election outcome from cognitive dissonance, and I just won't. Let go of president drums chances. So you
the jury. I would tell you that there are two ways you could spot this alleged cognitive dissonance at me and that it will be invisible to me by definition, because if I can see it myself that I wouldn't have it number one you
for a trigger the trigger would be something that I had experienced or observed that I knew to be true.
The violin my sense of myself or this, my sense of other worldly, should be. Did this happen.
Is there anything that has happened so far the violated my view of reality? The answer is no
even close, I thought Trump would win, but
any everytime. I thought.
I heard that it was an impossibility, the bite. It would get more votes
one way or another now so in my case
there's nothing that I have observed. That is different from my mental model. I did think that the polling was terribly you're wrong and sure enough, even though the result was slightly different
thought the poles were totally wrong. So that was accurate in terms of what I expected and, of course, everybody
so I don't believe I have a trigger people who got triggered by the trump couldn't believe he could possibly get elected in this country used to
or to imagine, but I don't have any feeling like that by didn't the most sort of ordinary politician in the world. It's not the biggest surprise in the world that the Democrats put up a big fight and that one of votes were cast
Now the other thing is: if so I would. I would argue that I do not have a trigger, because my worldview has not been violated, but is their evidence that I'm acting irrationally, which would be the other tell you got any both of them. You need there to be a trigger, something obviously violated somebody's sense of reality, but then also that their active irrationally, because of it so I'm going to enter into the arrest
park ready. Now those of you have been watching the longer the little better context for this
You know that under this for fun, but it could be right
and you know that when I think of the odds of things happening, I dont think in terms of this will happen, and this can happen.
Likely think in terms of the arts, I think it's ninety percent chance. This will happen. Fifty percent chance,
I'm gonna tell you a story of what I think will happen based on the arts. Ok,
so why you should be looking for is everywhere where I have estimated the odds irrational way, because it,
You agree with my estimate of the odds at each other things, I'm about to talk about you're, probably going to be pretty close to my opinion, but if ever you have, my estimates of the eyes are just way, often crazy. Well, that would suggest maybe I've got a little bit
information via little bit of cognitive dissonance going on and that sort of thing. Let me
What do you say as clearly as possible? It is not my opinion
that the only way the Joe Biden could have one is if the vote was fake.
that's not the only way you can have one
it could have also on its possible by giving more votes. So
I would say that if I, if I believe the only way he could win was just as one explanation, that would be a little cognitive dissonance e right yeah. Likewise, when
Democrats said the only way trumpeted one must have been russian interference or if you thought it was possible, you might be rational person if you thought it was the explanation and similar cognitive dissonance ie. But if you just thought there were some,
chance of Adobe Little, but definitely right here on the odds of things. According to me, let's see if you disagree with them.
Number one will anomalies be found in the vote,
when I say anomalies, I dont mean these little anecdotes of I saw somebody. You saw some fellows a balance or,
somebody throw something away, or there was something in the trunk of the the car of the EU of the postal service guy.
I'm not talking about the little one offs. Somebody saw something: if you add those altogether, they pro at up to much.
I'm not talking about even necessarily these stories of the big vanderpool pulls up with with all the by didn't votes, only cause. I suspect that you're going to find out that nearly all of those stories about true so do I sound craze
so far when I say that nearly if not every story that your hearing,
and in the media about fraud is
completely untrue or smallish does so crazy. So behold on this morning,
I swear now I would say: there's a hundred percent chance.
Normally it will be found now? Would they be scientifically.
proven in the long run or
Are they things that looked like an omelet used? By? Have your perfectly good answers? It doesn't matter for them for the point on going to make next,
Does it matter if the anomalies are alleged and no real or alleged and real because
point- I'm going to make is that it would be enough for political purposes for the before the Republicans to say: hey,
can we do in order? It lets say, and digital audit of the entire digital database software situation just to feel comfortable. The everything went away was supposed to know. What are the odds the Republicans will ask for it did
what it? What do you think, I think, there's always a ninety percent chance, because why would they wouldn't they? The Democrats ass for the Democrats asked will not for Digital on it, but Democrats several times, trudged reform the voting system Republican said no. I hear because together this is just an eye here, cause they didn't want trumps election to look like. Maybe there was something wrong with the voting system. It would make it less credible, but now that's not the situation, because the situation is that at least efficiently it looks. Like Biden has won the presidency. So would would the Democrats want to look into the voting system with a ought it if their person, one of course not
right. So you would expect the rules to reverse because its politics- and you would expect the Republicans and say, hey, let's auditors system, because it might change the result at the same time, you would expect Democrats would say
now? Let us not order fair system will maybe do so.
Reforms, but that's for later we
was not revisit, the Basque binds the present. That's what you expect now: here's the fun part suppose President Trump takes advantage of a gift that the Democrats gave to him that he never asked for, and here's the gift
He is the king of of creating an asset, nothing in this case. You just have to recognise that the route that Democrats accidentally created a gigantic negotiating asset,
for him. They, you didn't even try to get on his own, and it goes like this Democrats believe he might not want to leave peacefully right now, who
whether the asset, because he actually have something to negotiate with now Trump can say,
I will leave peacefully, but you gotta do this. One thing for me:.
now. I'm not tell you yet what that one thing is, but would you agree that the democratic
essentially brainwashed themselves into believing it's a real thing. The trump would not leave. The White House did Trump do that he didn't hurt it. He probably contributed to.
but I feel like the Democrats created there s another. They created the belief. That was a little bit crazy in my opinion, but they believe it
that you won't leave the White House now. What are the odds? The president Trump will not recognise
The US has been created and you can use it now. He's gonna recognize it that's what he does
he recognizes a free asset, that's a psychological conscript. If he sees it, here's what you could ask for and tell me if the sounds unreasonable,
hey. I know the republic really depends on the peaceful transfer of power. As a patriot, I believe in the past
will transfer of power, and I certainly want that to happen this time
but you know what else the republic requires to support their peaceful transfer power. It requires a credible election.
and I'm gonna ask you just for one thing: an audit of the digital part of the election. That's all.
And when I oughta comes back on issues that are lost or you
if it changes a little bit? I'm sure I'll still lose,
and then I will proceed with the peaceful transfer of power. Now is
anybody in the public. I'm talking to you. Voters is anybody who thinks it's not a good idea to audit
it'll system is ready opposed to that democratic. Raise your hands in unison,
No, we don't want to order the system. What's that, do that freeze the electoral college electorates to do whatever the hell they want, because if the route, if the Democrats dough agree to an audit of the system,
They are basically telling you it's not a credible system now they might have other reasons for it and people some people.
Believe those other reasons- and there might even be real
they were, they might have totally factual, reasonable reasons why you can't or shunned or at the election that just happened.
might what all requires is the republic legislatures to say? Wait a minute you're not going to comply with the most reasonable thing. Any American could ever ask for transparency,
election worthy. Tell me what is a higher, what
a higher principle light. My dogs make you strange noises of here. What is a higher principle
then transparency in the election. Is this
thing I'm asking for this all. I want
and then you get everything you want. You get a President Biden, a peaceful transfer power and my congratulations. So if the Democrats play
Hardball and say we're not going to allow an audit. It probably frees up the electoral college so that the those close states could say what we're going to have to do with the constitution was designed to take care of which is have are smart electors make a decision that could be independent of the official vote, because we kill certify that the vote was credited. So maybe we'll just go fifty fifty what would happen if the GEO P electors at the Electoral College said in just the just the ones that are close, they said. Look we honestly can't tell him one in our state because there's a little too much non transparency. We just
let them have provided Halford Trump where's that end up depending on which states, I suppose, if you go with the way now, let's say instead that the Democrats call his bluff.
And they say you know: let's do this on it. If it's the only way to get report
guns on board, and we want it will a unified and, if you're the
fire by then and you're. A centrist is pretty reasonable. Request is pretty reasonable request. All overtake is provided himself to say you now. I want to get past this and what my presidency to be as credible
and valor is possible. So yeah. I realise that a politician may say no to this, but I'm just going to be
regular jail, unjust, Gibbey,
go level with you, no more. If you
Wanna. Do an audit go ahead? What would happen suppose you want? It starts here's where we get into some other odds and see if you agree or disagree with the odds,
then put other stuff. So if you, if you ve, done any good,
or you spend time on Youtube. Looking at how our election system works, you will be amazed and appalled when you hear how the least the digital part of it is done.
you will learn that it has done not by our government but by contracted private companies. Private companies- you
learn that in several cases they are not american companies. What less right
non american companies are handling
important parts of our counting of votes and I'd leave, at least one of them, is in Spain, one of them's and one of them a canadian company, etc? Now that by itself, that's that's not the biggest problem in the world as it, because you would expect that they will be transparency, but those companies
proprietary systems, proprietary software, and so they have ever been audited because nobody else can see their stuff. This is my understanding anyway. So let me ask you this: what are the odds that these digital systems that support the vote? What are the odds that their hackle we'll talk about, whether they have been hacked separately, but just the question of? Is it possible to hack them such that the vote could be changed in a database or, as is happening with everybody knows,
how many of you think it's impossible raise your hands, let me tell you a little bit about hacking. I'm no expert, but sometimes it helps you ve got a little bit of skill. Stack,
that around it. So I've been around a lot of software development, including including my own companies, and
one thing I can tell you for sure is most systems heavenly some weakness. They could be act as generally true and probably these two,
but you don't even need to have a digital way. The hacker! That's not the way it's done for the big stuff for the big stuff, such as throbbing in election. You bribe insider or blackmail
How is it to bribe and insider to get a change it in any company turns out. It's really easy, and there is plenty of evidence that has happened in other big companies. They just find the person who's in charge,
there may be there earning two hundred thousand dollars ear. How would they like a million a lot of people will take a million dollars to flip of it. So if you say it can't be hacked, that would only be because you don't understand enough about the world either. The technology could be directly hacked in some cases, even if it's hard but remember the people who would be trying to hack. It would be governments we're not talking about a kid in the basement as good as a kid in the basement might be hacking we're talking about the best hackers who every
since the earth in each of the major countries. Probably every one of them took a run out right, so is it hackle I'd, say the US that one hundred percent is there? Anybody who disagrees with the estimate of the odds that, just as a general concept, it is a hundred percent Hannibal, even if the hack evolves, bribing unions
to do it we'll get then the second chances
what are the odds? There's somebody did succeed in having it exerts a
but I would say the opposite. Somebody will eventually hack it because it is hackle and the other. The upside gain of hacking is so gigantic. I'm in this billions or trillions of dollars, the people would keep hammering at it until they succeeded. So use presentable.
The intelligence services of each of the major countries would try to get the insider here or try to guess somebody close to the insiders or try to get their own person on that job or try to hack.
and they were just keep happened and hacking away, and eventually
I would say the odds of somebody hacking, whoever could be domestic- could be foreign
but if you wait long enough, the odds are a hundred percent because its hack a ball guaranteed. They have
the highest incentive in the world to hack it and they wouldn't stop trying. Nothing would stop them so eventually they'll get it. So the real question is as it happened yet because it comes down to that. Doesn't it
That's all it comes down to cause. There's two percent chance. It will happen. We just don't know what happened yet so, given what I have just explained, do you think that the electoral college electors would feel
complete confidence in the system. If it were not if it were not ordered, given what you just heard, do you think it audited and audit is pretty much
acquired. I do even if it doesn't change this election, don't you think they should plug those holes and ordered the account of that?
Even if it has nothing to do with Trump, nothing to do with binding, what's more important than this, were one elsie do in this important. So here's here's the the weird strange
ass. The trump still has and the summary of it is. If you can create enough doubt- and it doesn't look like that- would be hard to create that doubt. You could free the electoral, the Electoral college,
away. That's never happened before do remember when chucks humor said everything's under the table. Now everything on the table now well, this is on the table. If the Republicans decide to fight with the same no holds barred.
Chuck humor thing they can without violating any laws. The constitution gives them complete freedom to express as much detail as they want about the integrity of the election system. So for those of you just joining, let me leave framed this little bit. I'm not
not that the that japanese soldier who been on the island for forty five years and doesn't know the war is over. I know what the vote was
I know that the binding is gonna get more votes than this year, this the election, so
No that- and I accept that, according to our system, this is the time when it is perfectly appropriate to Congress
usually the winner and try to get personally bad feelings
There is none the less true that there is still a path for job, but I think you can also say our system did. When our system dead, we gotta results. We can probably live with it. If we have to do even if you didn't
somebody says no way, we don't think Biden even had the popular vote well
Wouldn't you like Evan on it now,
nor for retail, gets you what you want. I dont know
if I were going to do in order to here, is how I would do it, and this is just one example:
and somebody who knows more about debases than I do can answer this? Is each transaction or or change to the database logged in some way? Would it be possible to see the time at the amount in some kind of a log of everything that ever changed in the vote database they buy it now. Is that a thing because I can imagine it could be a thing I just out of its,
If it's architect and in a way we can retrieve that lets, say something. Let's say there is a log of every change to the database and it could be audited. Here's what I would look for look for situations in which and the exact amount of numbers was subtracted from one column and added to the other column and the same about at the same time.
because there's a good chance that, whoever, if somebody had that there would be a good chance that they would be done enough to do this, which simultaneously or maybe they have to be done.
But otherwise I saw you have to do, is find any times were. A big number is exactly the same as you us attraction and in addition, at the same time, not utterly enough, they should be subtractions. Maybe if you find any subtractions, I should tell you something to now other suggestive. That's exactly how you would find a problem of suggesting that if you put enough attention into it,
the odds of finding something there are pretty good now just say you know, I'm not crazy, and as my final defence for not having cognitive dissonance, is it not completely possible that if it got warranted, they would find that the only people who acted were Republicans, but they didn't have
love or your, because you cannot rule out the possibility that the system was rig by some Republican, who is just a good hacker or republican friendly, and they didn't have enough, and by didn't just legitimate
they got a lot of votes and was more than that care, although you right and if you're not really
to be able to say that as easily as I said. Well, you might be hidden cognitive, dissonance or denial, but don't be it only those things the country will be
fine, and if you worried about your taxes, they might go up, but probably not as much as by didn't wants to and here's why it goes like this ready, Jake Tapir. Doesn't why his taxes raised. I use Jake Tapirs my example of a media person,
who has a high income, who I'm guessing doesn't want to play a game sixty five or seventy percent of its carbon taxes? Probably doesn't so. I would think that the messaging on that from all of the-
rich media people will be a little less supportive of that tax increase the maybe what you thought when it was just a campaign, so maybe your taxes will go up under Biden as much as with the worst case scenario. I thus offer now and I'll talk to you tomorrow,
Transcript generated on 2020-11-07.