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Episode 1240 Scott Adams PART2: My Impression of Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler Negotiating, China Bad, Election Audit, More

2021-01-03 | 🔗

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Content:

  • Questions about the regular flu
  • Meaningful contact with China kills Americans
  • Ted Wheeler’s negotiation with anarchists
  • Ted Cruz pushes for election audit
  • Whiteboard: The Einstein Janitor’s View

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The post Episode 1240 Scott Adams PART2: My Impression of Portland Mayor Ted Wheeler Negotiating, China Bad, Election Audit, More appeared first on Scott Adams' Blog.

This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Debate via TED crews and his efforts and the other senators, that's a public service and here's the other thing that ten crews does that's so smart the only thing he s four is not to throw out the election, but there are ten day on it. Now. Here's the genius of TED groups This would be so easy to do wrong by it in the other four There were a hundred ways to do this wrong and he found the only way to do it right. That's pretty good, that's good politics, smile and what I mean by that is he set such a reason, the bull standard for what they are asking for. That have a? U turn that down, because Even the people who say it's over it's over the election was fair. They also want to convince the rest of us, don't they think it's useful.
No matter how they think it's gonna come out. Don't they think is useful to convince the rest of us so what TED Cruz is asked for is not here's the genus TED Cruz did not ask you to change your mind cuz. That would be hard. He didn't ask anybody to change their mind. All he did was ask for a better information in a in a very short and reasonable time frame so that can feel more secure about the outcome boom? How is that now perfect? Who argues against better information when that better information is critical to the operation of the United States is not like that. Information is just reform that information whatever would come out of such a hearing is so vital to the operation of the country. It is near the town. Of our priorities.
Oh, how reasonable is a test for more information. When is the top question in the whole country is amazingly reasonable and he's going to force the Democrats to vote against it. Pretty good. So he hasn't been a corner if they vote against something that reasonable they are wait for it. If they vote against something that reasonable and now Some genius of making us all reasonable it's completely reasonable, is one hundred percent reasonable. there is not even the like a little O Hara off at this all a little bit unreasonable, nope, nope one hundred percent solid arrest people know about our turns out right crews,
so they've been telling you. I could think it's going to turn out this way or I think it's going to turn out. That way, he's not even asking for that. You just once more confidence of the system. That's the way it's being set up brilliant. So I dont, I would join with jewel and saying I do anything, will change the outcome at this point, because it is too much emotion, but the country needs to now and that is not negotiable. In my opinion, the system is gonna, do with the system does but understanding. Why I don't feel less negotiable. We gotta know what happened, no matter what we do about. It is the second question have you noticed? I said by tweet the gap, I think probably fourteen thousand retreats, which so people like that. I have you those that the people who were insisting the election was complete
fair have stopped arguing on the details there only going after the people who were saying he knows I talked about this before, but here is an example of also twitter user, Emily Hokum reporting by twitter she's cheat waited. I just answered one of these. There is no evidence tweets with several, audio and video documented examples from my state of Georgia are responded, told me I should be arrested. The pattern is so clear now so here's. but he who said there is no evidence of election fraud, so somebody end but to send him a bunch of evidence from this there's, probably from the same set of data that I'm talking about the you can search now, but I guess she found it ad.
And the response to here's, the evidence you say doesn't exist was you should be arrested, there's not even the slightest pretence. That everybody wants to talk about whether the election was fair, not doesn't Feel to you, as if the Democrats guided now, don't you think that deep down, of course- and I can say in public- but don't you think, deep down private conversation whispers, nobody hears it. Don't you think the Democrats know this was stolen, feel as if they do I feel as if they do now. For those of you who are new to these lives dreams, if you believe that I am saying that democratic elections and Republicans don't know, I believe that wherever theft can happen and there's a big upside and you can get away with it and always happens so of course river.
I can certainly, if its being done by Democrats so is either not being done by anybody, because you just can't get away with that, which I think we now at this point. That's just not the case that the EU can get With it, we don't know how much was done by you can get away with it. If you didn't throw away so. That I feel like that's a tell so you ve got no two tells that if you are having a conversation with somebody accused of a crime, and you knew headed determine whose lying in whose not you would feel confirmed that even the Democrats believe the election was stolen. Why? Because, if they turned down a reasonable ten day, what it request is because they don't want the answer.
It's not because its unreasonable it's not because it would delay anything that what's gonna happen anyway, snob, because the price tag nobody's arguing is too expensive, even though its expensive, it's pretty much a confession of guilt. That sort of like a please stop you and they suspect, there's something bad in your trunk. What are they do if you refused to open the trunk of your car to show. Do they did the police say well he's not opening the trunk. Is calling me and ass all. So I guess there's nothing in the trunk. No, you would say if this person is giving belligerent, refusing to open the trunk their kind it confirmed.
There's something in that trunk. That's the way you see it if it were and the other situation, and so here the Democrats have this perfectly reasonable, open the trunk request just put the key again just open the junk there's nothing there go on my way. They won't put the key in the trunk. They won't open it. What's that value that tells you they don't want to show you what's of the trunk. Obviously, and of course the personal attacks tell you that they don't want to gauge on any of it The high to get in the social media, if that's what's happening, tell you the same thing. Every sign suggests that the Democrats, no the crime is there and it would be detected if he looked argued. That doesn't mean it is their right I could be, Giving these signals wrong, but I would say if this were any other situation, and you saw is signals. It's like this giant
Yeah glowing like this as guilty guilty, I'm so guilty, no, don't open the drug. Don't look in the drug. So here's something that just blows my mind when I see it happen. As various forms, so yesterday I tweeted a hypothetical question and, as you know, twitter does not handle hypothetical questions. Well, not the smartest people sometimes so that didn't go well in terms of the kind So here is my hypothetical questions. Luckily, all of you are smart enough to know that a hypothetical questions for curiosity I gotta think sport. the real world, and I say what would happen hypothetically this immortal constitutional question. I was just curious. so I say the election process,
goes forward and Biden is inaugurated, he takes office just hypothetically a month. After that evidence came out. They even Democrats would look adds a damn near the election. Stolen now I dont think is possible in twenty twenty to produce any kind of a fact with any kind of evidence like video eyewitnesses, there's, probably nothing you can do in twenty twenty, where the team that doesn't want it to be true will say: ok you got me there. He got me there. I was sure there wasn't anything there, but now I'm looking at your strong evidence and convince me that doesn't exist. We're not that world or in a world where you could show it to you, you can show it to him and what ever level of proof and would make no difference, it would be like they did it and see it as the world. You in
By pathetically, so this is why I ask me I pathetically because it can't be done in the real world, but suppose you could come up with proof that even convinced Democrats, that the election was stolen. What would be the constitutional process does bite instead, president. So I put that out there and of course I have tons of lawyers who follow me on Twitter. I dont know that says about me, but why lawyers on their one of them happen to be the senior legal adviser to the EU, the truck ephrata this Jenna Ellis and she answered that under the constitution. The only way to remove a sitting president is via the impeachment process. That sounds right. You know I assume that she's got the the right answer. There she's the right person to have that answer
I thought, can you, but can you impeach somebody just because they didn't when the election, but they thought they did? Is that actually unimpeachable, because I thought impeachment required certain standards that I don't think That would meet because Biden wouldn't be the one could bidding any kind of a foul. He would be just the one who was in a way he was a victim of the same crime. You dont punish the victim right. I mean it's weird. a victim. If the election was stolen, we're all victims, including Biden. He just happened to be the one who became president of theoretically so now much of the victim But here's the part, the blows me that I can. I can speculate on a question like this. That is important to the new cycle. and that the answer I get this from literally the senior
legal adviser on this very question to the president and the other, the most exact, perfect persons answer the question twitter is amazing, makes the world so frickin small, though you can watch television, see things happening like in the White House and then I can tweet and I get an answer from one of the main. players on the national stage, it's just mind, blowing every time it happens. Twitter just makes the whole world so small in a good way, makes it small. So here is my last point and I'm gonna call. I gotta go the whiteboard here and I've got theory. Here are now Syria, maybe it's just something I want to put a name on, don't take any of this to seriously, but.
This is what I deal with all day long and I'm gonna call it. I'm gonna give it a name. I'm going to color Einstein's janitor This Einstein's janitors view of the world, and it goes like this now here in my artificial exam- I'm assuming the iron Stein is smarter than his janitor. Now, if you seem goodwill hunting, you know that that's another safest option, sometimes the janitor is smarter than the physicists, but just for my example today, let us, except that the janitor is a normal person and Einstein is not, and the answer is smarter than the janitor just for example, but the gender issue can be smart. Ok, we're not dissing the janitor janitor work is important, and why me, if you didn't, have generators, you wouldn't need anything else
woody biomass. So yes late there a critical job noticing and janitors, but I say you looked at a normal distribution of intelligence in the country. You got your people were not so smart. You got your average people, s most, the world. You got your Einstein's over here. The problem is there from the perspective of the janitor, let's say he's not as smart as Einstein The janitor can recognize real, dumb stuff, Cassim smarter, the janitors, an average person, as he knows dumb when he sees it is obvious, but the problem is the janitor also thinks that smart looks dumb ass. He doesn't understand it and when this, when the dumb person looks at a smart person, was a einstein-
they think there dumb. Let me give you an example of this without Einstein and a janitor Aubrey it into your real world Now it doesn't require a genius and a janitor is just any difference in what you know about the world right. So it's not even iq. It could be well informed. You So let's just call that all intelligence- let's say political intelligence, because it's yours You will also have you paid attention and listen to the right, new sources, etc. whenever there is a difference in how much to people know the person, who knows the least can't tell if the person who knows the most is smart or stupid. They looked the same cattle are, you know, is that you ve got this opinion. You think, is pretty are smart. And all the average people agree with you look. I got
eighty million average people who are on the same pages may so. Can eighty million average people be wrong and the answer is pretty much every time these people over here who the janitor by think is dumb, but are actually the smaller ones, yeah they might no more than the average person. That's what makes them way for this. The hard concept, that's what makes them above average that there, above average, so this problem you'll see played out over and over on twitter people who don't know as much as you calling you stupid. It's the most frustrating thing and twitter. Now this this effect is accentuated by the the fake news, so that people, consume nothing, but fake news are pretty sure that their.
Over here on the smart side of things, but they ve eaten so much faint news. They don't know that, no matter what their natural I q is effectively there morons Right and there's nothing wrong with the people. The people are good, well, meaning people with high, I accuse, but because they consume fake news exclusively their effectively morons and they can't tell what somebody's not because it looks like there are even dumber than they are like. You come up with stuff I've never even heard of because you watch the wrong loose. That's why you ve never heard of it there's a reason.
So, anyway, I'm gonna call this the Einstein janitor effect. If you hear me referred to it, somebody says we are sport where small and our news is not fake. Well, I believe that this aid news is both left and right and if you know, sampling, bull size and independent people as well, you're you're, probably not even close to the truth, but the people only concerns the consume. The fake news on the left are definitely the worse off information wise. If you can do both, which is typical of the concern
the world at least you know what the argument is right. At least you have heard the other side, but if you're on the side, who has never heard the other argument, it's good look stupid when you do because you won't know the background to the context. That is my prepared comments for today, and if you have some comments, I will love be taking them over on Youtube in a moment. So periscope, I will be see you tomorrow and Youtube I'll, be with you for another few minutes here. I have many questions. Thank you it's over already, I don't know. What's over, you been the election, probably if any doesn't remember. I would like to hark back to the earth
days of post election were as soon as the network's called it for Biden. I did as well so assumes a network said billions. President elect I congratulated him. I dont believe there's much chance that we had a fair election. I dont know that will ever be demonstrated in a way that the public agrees, but, as I often say, the set up is such that there had to be fraud. It was too easy and was too valuable of courses will allow much refer change. The result it so I so, even though I congratulate Biden, I believe that the system would protect him so so safely that wouldn't matter if any fraud were detected or when it was detected, just would man. Why won't? I talk about Q?
I've thought about you in the past and it just what happens. If you talk about Q, all the queue supporters come out and it becomes a frenzy of its terms into this ugly thing. So I've said everything I need to say about it. I think that I think that this point, when Q is a bunch of predictions before we knew if they were happening, you could be excused for thinking that the predictions might be accurate. It was, crazy, yeah? Maybe that was a source etcetera, but at this point you don't have to wonder if the if the predictions were accurate cuz, you could just look and see what the what are they predicting have and I will leave that to you. If you, if you can find a source that says that you made good predictions, you should believe in Q. If you, google it and you find out a list of things that predicted that didn't happen. I would wreck modifying European what's going on with pence well
The biggest MIKE pants supporters world, even though I don't think he should be president. I don't agree with him on this. Some of his social views and Lgbtq stuff, I'm on the other team. For all of that, but pence is a good person. as far as I can tell or or you each other, a good person or is the best faker in the world is pulled it off for years by tend to think it's, probably just a solid person and while I can disagree with among the algae retake, you stuff in particular, I like his style just consistently. He'd just plays I'm an honorable public servant better than anybody has ever been an honorable public servants. You got to respect that and by the way, time proved him right right with his the pence rule, he wouldn't go to lunch with a.
Less his wife game it some kind of rule like that and when you first thirty like that's, that's gonna backwards, twenty twenty might pence maybe maybe men and women could just have lunch and and then you realise that the me to movement. Basically, he was right there. If you even put yourself in a position where you will be tempted to do something or somebody might claim you did. Something is just not good, so his risk manage approach of just never being in that situation, its a smarter than you think it is it's a lot smarter and it wasn't easy. I would imagine he would prefer to leave his life without restrictions, just like everybody else, but he put that restriction on himself. Time showed he was right. In my opinion,.
And by the way I would not have lunch with just a woman and myself, it was not my wife, I wouldn't do it either and I used to that used to didn't mean anything to any. Of course I would if it was just lunch and it was literally just business, but now I wouldn't even take a business meeting. If I knew it was just business like no, no doubt about it, just business won't do it. I won't have a private meeting with a woman over lunch or dinner, or anything like that. I would have, but I won't now did your: did your farmland lose all of its chestnuts? I don't know about that. But there's are some kind of chestnut virus from China is being indicated here in the comments, but I don't know
Barnes law twitter got hacked somebody saying o s bad, and I hope that didn't happen. So he says pencil state was the worst day for child trafficking, while now that that was as follows. How do you know what pence thinks I dont so anything I say about pensions is like inner inner. A character is based on external observation, and I think I said then I say directly. That is based just observation. I can't know what is How can you ignore Bitcoin, as it is the world? What is there to say about Bitcoin. Here's the thing I don't get. I do see a lot of people prognosticated about Bitcoin, but what is there to say
If people psychology remains that it has value that will go up in value, maybe forever, and if the psychology changes or there's an alternative to comes out this better or more secure as an extra features, then it will We'll be the thing the replaces Bitcoin, but what else is there to say right that basically, Bitcoin is not something that has been around a hundred years and therefore the next ten years were kind of predictable based on the prior? Ninety, it's not like that. What could happen with Bitcoin is anything just anything. It could literally
disappear tomorrow. It could also double tomorrow and anybody who says that they know which way is gonna. Go I mean I can get. I could give you my opinion of what I think is most likely, but I think you should put the smallest amount of value on that of anything. I've ever said there would be nothing I could say in the whole world. They should have less credibility or useful. This to you, then, to say what I think bitcoins gonna do. Ok, I just seems like they couldn't have any value at all and likewise what anyone says about Bitcoin, not too interested. Now I will tell you this: the smartest people I know hold Bitcoin and like it and think it's a good list for risk management is good to hold them
and when I say the smartest people, I know I mean literally the smartest people. I know if you, if you made a list of the smartest people, I know and then say alright, let's take the top ten scent of the smartest people, you know they're already really smart, but we'll take the top ten percent of the smartest than the smart. And then you would check through portfolio bitcoin. now. Does that mean the Bitcoin is good, because the smartest of the smart people own bit going now now, because even the smallest of the smart people can't know what's going to happen? Do you think that there are people can predict the future reliably? Really I mean I do the best I can, but you, I think if he gets sixty percent eager predictions right here
Nostradamus nobody's getting eighty percent right. Are they yeah? If you chat you do a lot of people would say that my track record on the political predictions is better than most. But what do you suppose? My actual percentage is sixty. Maybe if you actually made a list now there would be lots of subjectivity about. Did I really get us one right? The US for example, that Kamala Harris thing you know did. Did I get it right that she would really be the president or technically? This is not so I got it wrong, so you could argue about whether I got it right or wrong, but if you were to do your own, scoring and you just had a list of the things I predicted and list of what actually happened. What do you think would be my percentage? I don't know cuz, I haven't done it, I'm guessing sixty percent, but here's the second part. I doubt many people,
done better I'll betcha that the average is closer to forty percent, because I think most people are worse than a coin to us about predicting the future. And, if I'm a little bit better yeah, that would probably totally explain why have an audience just being a little. little bit better and I don't even know if I am because of disorder score is subjective, see. Somebody says that for the audit it would take me ten days to decide what woffice to use. Well, I don't know that you need an office, I think just the states can just say show up on Tuesday and recount these things they would find plenty of volunteers. I don't even know if it cost anything
open up the building inside. Alright, your volunteers go, go, the county is balanced or whatever they're doing. I don't know if it's just auditing ballots or if it's auditing, this software, which should be different, am I going to get the vaccine. My strategy for the vaccine is the one you should use as well, which is make a decision until it's available to you personally, because that last minute, when when now you have to make a decision, you may have more information, you might have experiences for multiple vaccinations. For example, you might find out that the maternal one has a certain set aside effects, maybe not confirmed possibly just you know observe, but not confirmed you might find out that the Pfizer one of the J J one has more or less of those symptoms, you might find out the one as a kind of symptom that the other doesn't.
So you didn't know more at the last minute always way for last minute. It would be no reason to make a decision now. But if what I hear is good enough of any US, so I'm leaning toward it let limit. Let me say this way so that less ambiguous I plan to get them. Exclamation unless, in the unlikely event, I think it's unlikely. I learned something between now and the time available to me, though I changed my mind. That's all due to the other thing, I wonder, is what my vitamin d levels are, because if I add a quick way, maybe I do if I had a quick way to measure my own vitamin d levels, I would do that would be a big driver to how eager I was to get the vaccination, because, if I've
good vitamin d levels and, of course, I've been supplementing and doing other stuff, but that doesn't mean I have enough. If I did I'd be way less worried, then if I'm just happened to be one of those people was not processing by vitamin d writer, whatever some he says, go to quest died Thanks you don't, I might look into that. If somebody as a source that could do a quick blood test on my vitamin d levels, because I don't think my health care provider does. That kind of thing. Subway surfer wife gets a vitamin d tests that must be related to a specific condition and appeared good things about green tea so drink. There. There's a forty dollars at home test. I look at I will tell you what I will google, that and looking vitamin d home test, and I will take that of test. It will say
that's all for now and I'll talk to you tomorrow.
Transcript generated on 2021-01-08.