But a bump bump bump bump bump bump Bumpo Bhamo Mobile, hey they're, a KGB ensued. Hooray, everybody come on in here. It looks like the summer of love does not include Russia, really, is not being loved not sure they ve earned it there are certainly in the crosshairs lately. Let's talk about several topics in no particular order. when the president suggested having a military parade, Number saying to myself. oh, that's, a bad look and

but then I said a little leave. You know open my final judgment on that. so I'm not going to have a final judgment on the military bread. Until I see How goes no one. great things about the military bread it may be. The only grey thing is You can tested and then see how it goes if it turns out the population loves it and they won't be. They were more of it and it cost a million dollars, then I say twelve million dollars to boost patriotism seems like maybe a good investment now part of the problem, is that a military bread sounds like a dictator, a kind of thing to do, even though the whole point of this has nothing to do with being addicted, is literally

honouring the military and veterans and stuff. But it's going to feel like that to the anti choppers, that's bad, the the report. Is that there's a bad contrast here now the president, to discontinue the training missions on the south Syrian border, as part of the north korean your conversation to get to a better place. I was gonna cost around twelve million dollars. Now it's a complete coincidence that there were two things who's that involve military. They cost about twelve thousand dollars, but it's a bad coincidence because it allows closely anti I to say following ridiculous thing. They say hey what was wrong with those military, does that war games with South Korea.

You know, if you said they were so expensive. We save one money where using the same amount of money for the sprayed. Well, the logical reason is the one of those things was unnecessary. And the other one is not necessary, but it might be useful, so comparing the expense of something You shouldn't be doing and they would be counter productive, which is the war aims I'm going to save money by not doing something that I shall be doing anyway. That's how you really save money, Why not doing something didn't wanna. Do the ultimate way to save money, Extra comparing that something that he doesn't want to do and has at least the potential for some positive patriotic feelings. I get criticized quite often for what people imagine

then it's just imagination is not real. That I never criticise the president's decision In this case, the military brain to me just feels like a clean mistake, but it's also possible. I can Wrong, and we will have to wait that long to find out. So, given that the point of it is to change our people feel and maybe focus on the good things and patriotism, there was a good things that can certainly see the I can see The purpose of that, but is the benefit enough when you have and then press which is gonna be framing? This thing is first thing in the world from day one? If you asked me this, a persuasion mistake, So when you, those of you who are my critics, if you are tempted in the future, to say why do you,

reflexively agree where the president, or something so why am I not something? That's a good question. That's really good question, because I have my coffee. I had my vessel. I have my container of beverage, my choices, coffee. You should have yours by now too, and it's time for the simultaneous up. Oh sure, you don't like me making your way for it, but on the other hand, it makes a sweeter when I do

here, the following things, which I do and have criticized the president on health care haven't done enough. Immigration moving, I think, in a good direction in the sense that we need good border control. We ve got to spend the money to do it, but were not successful, so immigration isn't working out the statues, the confederate statues. My opinion is that their offensive decorations and they histories in the history books.

that's a good place for it, so I don't agree and statues. I could probably think of several more things that Hungary, O races, Miss race relations. I still give him an f for race relations. I was tempt. I raised its like a d minus when he was doing some some things that look good, but not at the moment- and seeing anything that looks like a serious effort. The Russia stuff is hard to this one's hard to grade, because the Russia stuff is such a big body of work at this boy that's several times Exeter all conflated into one and part of the problem is that we have so many connections with with Russia. There is hard

it's hard for our small minds to even grasp the complexity of all the different Russia stuff going on? But here's what I would suggest. I would suggest that we don't. We dont often have situations where the two movies are rubbing simultaneously in in really completed form. I mean really complete movies that are just opposites and they predict completely different outcomes. So it's time to make your predictions people, The the movie that CNN is watching is that, in their pundits are all over the city, Apparently they ve gotten the memo that these strongest antitrust thing they can say is my God, the only reason he could be so he continues to be so soft on Russia in their opinion, of course, there's plenty of counterfactual.

Evidence that is not being soft at all, but their world, their movie says he's being sought. And the only reason the only reason is that they must have some compromising information about him. Now that movie predicts. Going forward, Russia will get what it wants. But we will not get what we want right: Would you agree that that would be a fair prediction? based on the see you then movie those running and all their heads and their their promoting it would prevent. It would say that Russia will do well, maybe they just get all the stuff. They want a. We doubt the. Ternata Valley and the one that I'm watching is that President Trump, is a negotiator. Is is willing to make friends with

bad people in order to get something done? We sought with North Korea? We of he probably had to deal with a lot of say every people when he was in his private life, just if you're a builder in New York City are or a man, and you get a deal with some bad people. So in my movie he's a person who deals with bad people and figures out how to make it a productive and he's good at it. He is actually comfortable with bad people more comfortable than the average person, and so my movie, he is very tension lily and publicly going soft on Russia, in other words, he's not pushing them hard and its intentional and its public He's doing right in front of you so in other words, he's not he's not hiding at least in words, he's being is being kind to Putin in terms of you.

the things he could be saying and doing verses what he is saying and doing now, of course, there are still sanctions, but you could argue that more about Congress right. You can say that I am that's more congress. He has armed the Ukraine, but it's not clear that Russia was gonna, keep pushing into Ukraine. Maybe they would have. I suppose if it was easy they wanted, and so you can. You can make a story that Trump as being very good with them. Now, if you saw my whiteboard talk from, you know that the the chess Board has been set up with everything from North Korea requiring Russia to help for the security guarantees. The Middle EAST. Russia has to be productive. in order for Syria ran Israel. Palestinians for all that to work out Russia's gotta, be a productive player.

so in my movie, president Tromp has offered Putin a virtual pardon, a virtual pardon meeting. He just doesn't focus on the bad things It has that their food either has done or is alleged to have done? This probably combination, Do you imagine that of all the things that route that Putin has been accused of probable, Most of them are true or true wish, but they're, probably something's, he's been accused of their just ridiculous. That would be true of any leader of his statute, but If the things that are true and has been accused of either there are enough to have a negative opinion about what might happen when dealing with him. So my movie predicts that, following my movie predicts that both Russia and the United States will get

various things that they want it. We might not be delighted about the things that Russia gets. But we might be delighted by the things that happen, so, for example, if a ran those the right direction. If North Korea goes right direction, it will be, probably I think you can argue if President Trump and the next twelve months gotten Russia to be a credible partner in working It is these problem areas and bringing them to a good place. You'd have to say that was one of the greatest diplomatic moves of all time

That doesn't mean it will happen, it just means could be, and that were right on the brink of making this happen. If, if food- and here is the biggest in once, you fact check me on this because I feel like I might have some little too much by us in this opinion. But fact check me this. If Putin is a rational player, he will take the opportunity to play well and he will at least in terms of the elections Bacco off in terms of the cyber stuff. Now we have a controversy, from yesterday, in which the president may or may not have said that Russia is still attacking us with a cyber stuff,

but did you notice the two topics got conflated there. One topic we'll. Russia interfere with the election again, which is a special kind of cyber hijacks right, because that the cyber attacks or a big category, and then the special category is, will Russia go out elections again, it's probably unrealistic to ask any of the major powers to stop messing with these cyber yo. Cyber defenses of the other countries, probably Israel, is doing things to its allies. Probably England is doing cyber things with its allies. Probably Russia's doing things will definitely definitely we're doing things

cyber wires with Russia, but if the president said look here's a bright red line, if you screw with our elections, it's all off everything's. If you screw with our election, all bets are off now I d, I haven't heard a claim with evidence that there are still there still attempting to mess with our democratic process, specifically hasn't by her. That do little fact, Jackie on me, is there a claim in the public debt. from coats or anybody intelligence services that Russia right now and I dont know They will do right now is the election is little way off is raising

in so doing right now, like literally today, that is election related so or is it just general cyber attacks of which every country is doing against every other country, allies and enemies? Like yeah Code said Russia is red hot, but Against are election specifically or is it a general thing? Were testing each other's cyber defences in trying to get tryin to get entry into their critical systems just all the time so. So I wonder about that. I wonder if it's possible that when the president said here, he seemed indicate that that Russia, cyber attacks, are under control.

What's he talking about just the election part of that, because that might be something that you could get a good result in. It seems. me: you can never get a good result with any country. For example. Imagine us imagine we went to England, we went to the UK and said look. Have you tried to penetrate our systems? We ve tried to penetrate yours. You tried to mess with our elections. Maybe we ve tried to do things with you, why don't we just not do it anymore, because where we have a special relationship and were the best of allies of the UK, and U S should never be spying on each other. With that work,

I contend that it would not so the thing that people would want trumpet to do with russia- probably can't even be done with the UK. Do you get that? If we want to the UK and said, look let's make a deal, we have a special relationship. You will never never spy on us under. Any conditions we will never never spy on you under any conditions, we'll never penetrate you're defences- our cyber anything under any conditions of talk about the UK and the: U S having accommodation. Could we make that deal, I don't think so. I think that Both sides would walk out of the room and then intelligence agents, agencies would say here, but we're gonna still newer right. I think we'd still do it. I think you can do so

Wouldn't it keeps us in context? Are we asking Russia to stop doing something that even our allies won't stop doing? I think we are now if we said to the UK look, I know it's impossible were that we're gonna stops spying on each other, but could we just limit the things that we agreed not to do they don't mess with our elections, like that's a big red line and even you, United Kingdom, Even you, France, Germany, even you Israel are best friends. If you with our elections, that's a red wine. though we might be able to say that to our allies, and maybe we have it's possible that we ve said look the election is It's too far, but in the real world everybody's gonna be trying to penetrate everybody else.

could we get a Russia? Could we get Russia to agree to this? Same Deal Our allies are best friends, agree to which the air? We got some cyber stuff govern in every direction, but let's just leave the elections out of it. Maybe maybe but even then I doubt it so you gotta keep. Mind. There were asking Russia to do something that even our best friends one do. How likely are we going to be a hundred percent successful and that not likely? But that said, can you get to appoint of mutually assured destruction? Let me ask you this: if Russia had compromising information on any president, any president, so could

president. Rob could be any of our past presidents, not question number one. Don't you believe Russia did have did in fact have compromising information on all of our presidency. In the past fifty years Let me ask you this question: don't you believe the Russia did have compromising information on every one of our presence, as well as probably our major leaders, not Kennedy except garter about that now? Part of that part of the problem is, the Russia can make up compromising information. What would Russia have to do to take down was a Jimmy Carter. If Russia wanted to take down Jimmy Carter with compromising information, all

I have to say, as you know, we had some conversations with Carter and he said he'd be play with us if we just view if we just do this or that Russia can make up a claim of compromising information about anybody and ask yourself if Russia came up a claim about political leader somewhere else. Would anybody believe it, and the answer is of course wait till I get to the point before you say: you're stupid, ass, all the people up just go on to say you're stupid before I finish my point away for the point again, just wait for the point. So here's the point: why is it that we don't ask

isolate Putin? Why don't we assassinated? Haven't we had lots of opportunities to assassinate he was just in public, How hard can it be to assess the Putin, probably breezy, right, Howard, would be for Russia to assassinate any of our president's. If they really really wanted to probably easy, I would think pretty easily. Why is it that the major powers Pretty much stay away from assassinating each other. there's a reason that we don't assassinate leaders we're not even trying to assassinate the Ayatollah were probably not trying to assassinate Kim Jong Moon. Although we are one imagines, we have plans for decapitation strikes. Or probably we're gonna do it. Why is it is because

once you cross, allied your fair game too, the same reason we don't arrest their diplomats is because article was to get arrested. That's why right So there's a mutually assured destruction, innocent dating a leader of another country. No matter how much they had a common Don't you open the box or gets out once assassinations on the table it's on the table? What would happen. If the Soviet Union decided to take out a president by revealing some embarrassing information about their president. Unless say Let's say that information was real. It doesn't matter if Israel, if people believe it, the USA was real. brought down the president. What would we

Do in the United States, if another country brought down a precedent with compromising information, we would take him out. we would take out that country. Now we might not it militarily. We would do it now that would be the beginning of the end of that government, because If the United States says work, it was real. Before, and we certainly want to try to overthrow the government of Russia but They tell you doesn't matter which side IRAN if Russia takes out our government by releasing any kind of compromising information. I am in favour of attacking Russia. Cyber perhaps or baby I'm CIA, maybe it's all hidden stuff.

But I would be in favour of overthrowing the government of Russia if they over through our government through any form of compromising information. So it seems to me that the risk of cup, Rising information feels bigger than it is in its real good story for the the Anti jumpers. Do you know why it's the greatest attack, so the Anti choppers have a strong game. The other they're not opponents. Why is claiming that President Trump is compromised by secret information that Russia has? Why is that claim such a good one in political, political terms? What makes us so good I will await your answers. Can't prove a negative. You can prove it now,

What is the other thing that makes a political accusations sticky? What makes what makes that claim so sticky? What would make confirmation bias swarm toward that Latin like claim like Mars to a flame? vague? It's got going for it, but here's the thing in the normal course of working with Russia and with we stated that They want to work with them on a number of topics around the world. The normal course of working with them? How many times will would we have to give them something when they give us something, in other words, in other words, be nice to them in order for them to be nice to us.

In a variety of different ways. The only way president Trump can succeed is by walking into the confirmation by US trap. In other words, the anti troubles have creed. in a situation where the only way we can get to DE nuclear, rising North Korea the only way we can get to a good solution with ran his by getting rid of president. because an order for him to get good things on those topics he needs do it is Russia to do good things in order for them to do good things. Russia we ve be nice to them, probably in a variety of ways to get the best result. If we are nice to Russia in any way- and you saw what happened at the press conferences after this- if, if the present, even in words alone forget about actions.

but if only in words alone, the president is diplomatic with Russia. It will look exactly like what the anti were claiming that is there it is he's being nice with Russia will it help that programmers will say yeah he's being nice with Russia is being diplomatic because we're getting this other stuff. This way more important than that Would that argument ever win the day, never so being

logical, big right being on the right side, won't help a bit, because the entire jumpers have set a trap with this with this claim of, he must be compromised because there's no other reason you would ever be diplomatic with Russia. It's a good draft. Now, if you ask me, how do you get out of this trap? I would say it's pretty hard. It's pretty hard so Russia, if your listing and I'm pretty sure you are Russia. You have one way out of this trap, because this is your trap to keep in mind that the trap that the Anti trappers and the entire left r,

adding for tromp. Is that, if he's nice in any way to Putin, then it must be compromising material in the seal explanation that trap is bad for Russia too, because it creates a situation where the president cannot be nice to them and also get reelected also have a good result in the mid terms. Yeah maybe get impeached if he's too nice, so the presence got a big problem, but Russia has just as bigger problem with bigger. Russia has a big problem in that the United States cannot be nice to them. in public because we will lose our president. If we do know what should what is the only way out of this trap, because it's an excellent trap, Again, I remind people who or new to this when people say to me I always a president trump to so great persuade her. But you know

we always say easier, leaving persuaded here. I am saying that the Anti choppers have have the better play at the moment and it's a very trompe and play because what Trump does is it creates a frame. This gonna track confirmation by us when you low energy job made? You certainly look at job in a different way than no matter what job daddy, Seti? Well, that's more low energy stuff there, so they just that the same play with Trump, which is they ve got this vague, unpaid. The ball and unforeseeable claim that he that Russia has some information about him and, of course there will be situations where we have to be the least diplomatic with. So what is the one and only way out of this Russia, if you listening you're gonna, have to step up really step up, meaning that

Putin is gonna have to do something that is so. unambiguously good for America Other vigorously, like really make a big difference in North Korea, really make a big difference with ran. if he'd, if he can do those things and by the way those easily within his power. When you say, wouldn't you say, would be fairly easy thing for Russia to step up and say yet our strong only security guarantees we wanna do nuclear eyes, the screen and really get on board and in a random concrete things they do now.

But the only way out so there's nothing there trumpet, can do to get out of this trap. The antechambers have created a trap that trumpet cannot get out of on his own. Only Putin can help trump out of this trap by doing something big, releasing these taxes would be the worst idea in the world. It would just be a whole bunch anew. Targets created for people who don't understand how taxes business works. Releasing these taxes worst idea the world should never do that. So, one of that one of the weird things about having Russia in the Middle EAST is that their somewhat atheist, not completely, of course, but there they don't seem to have as a religious side. So I think that makes it you them to deal with Israel?

Was the Americans the Christians deal with the Muslims? The Russians are a weird situation, whether yeah that I realised that they ever religions, but they're not really branded that way, Muslims in the least will still hate anybody who isn't his loving, but I think the Russians are closer to the some kind of a neutral place than other countries would be, and so they could be productive. Now. When I say to you only Russia can help Trump and of his problem. I don't mean that in a collusion kind of way I mean that's just the situation. If Russia doesnt step up and then up strong and then it will step up right away and there are probably evolves some flexibility in eastern new cream and maybe other places, but if they don't do

that imagine, for example, that they could say. Look we promise that we will be poisoning dissidents. Now they never do that. That will never happen. because it's always useful, free or dissidents to think they might give poison. So so Russia never going to claim they won't poisoner dissonance. You can forget about that. So there's a situation. the only way potent can help himself and he's a tight spot is by helping President Trump certainly way. Russia can only help itself by helping present trump, and we don't believe the Putin is insane. Nobody has claimed that poorness crazy right. So, let's, good news as long as he is in control and he's rational, there is one path, that's good,

then there's a whole bunch of powers that are just totally terrible. So, let's see if he picture I want now, is vindictive of love, certainly their personal feelings or part of the part of the question. If two people only have one way to a good result and they're, both small and capable, they should be able to find it so I think there is a bit of a waving because it still take little bed for Russia to do anything productive. I would say- and let's see if here, let's see, if you're with me on this, the United States has has given Russia

some space to to become productive, so they give them this, but the political space to do that and the presidency has taken all the heat for that What would you feel most of you are trump supporters? How would you feel if the President gave Putin Space and then Russia just absolutely turned it around and screwed us and let's say that they absolutely do interfere with the election, that meant turbans, maybe twenty twenty. What would you say to that? What we should be the United States response to that we go hard at them. Sanctions deal with them. You have course you deal with it in yet its amortize, so Russia needs to know that their

Their improved brand, the least among Republicans, is highly conditional. We do not have unconditional love for Russia. Nobody has that it is condition. Above them doing things which are good for this country period, so if they give the mess with our elections, if they are not, the North Korea, in the Middle EAST, as they try to invade another country, it's time to turn off the spigot The first thing I would do is I would stop the german pipeline as the first thing I do you say to yourself: oh the United States can't really stop the german pipeline right. So we get yes, we get. The United States can absolutely stop the german pipeline. If you don't,

We can do that. You're not pay attention pipelines will blow up a few times. look like other people, did it If the United States wants to stop the german pipeline, it's done we just have to want to do it. Member out of time The difference between wanting and deciding. So far, President Trump decided a wish a what hey Germany I wish. I was that you would not build this pipeline casus seems like a conflict. If the way we have NATO, if you're, building a pipeline and becoming dependent on it We're trying to protect you against, so he has a wish and what, if, if MRS began, if Russia screws, our president,

All of you recognize is the truth, and that might take some take some convincing right, but if they do something that we recognise as the truth. The United States is gonna. Stop that pipeline. That's just the beginning. There's gonna be a lot more painful rush after that, but the pipelines done right because then it would become a decision. That decision has been made. The United States has not decided to stop the pipeline. but would be expensive for us to do that. In other words, would Germany be pissed at us for a generation? Maybe maybe that's the difference between deciding to do something and wanting to do it? If you want to do something, you say to yourself, you know we don't want to piss off Germany. That would be like a horrible thing to do, but if you ve decided you ve already decided to take all the consequences,

I think we should decide that if, if Russia screws us after being given this opening, we stop the pipeline now. Have you stop? It probably waterways, it is probably more than one way. And some of them are: some of them were spiced off, Furthermore, military some of them. Economic sanctions or we can just close down Germany, if we wanted the not literally but you could put pressure on Germany to the point where the the pipeline doesn't make any sense anymore. You could if you can't Germany other NATO, because or at least you could, you can have hearings on kicking Germany and of NATO I probably wouldn't happened, but imagine calling for a hearing the king, Germany other little now this is

we only situation that pollutants cruises still awaiting say right, but I think Russia cannot underestimate how completely pierced the right. We'll be, is one thing to piss off the left right surrender. Russia is pissed off. The left does not very dangerous. Would you agree with me on that passing off the left in this country, It's not terribly dangerous Not really but every part of the country right. Right now. He has a little bit of good will, which is decreasing rapidly with the right, but if he screws the right this time. All bets are off and I would be in favour of just shutting out to Russia.

from any kind of international commerce forever to shut off this here's the thing, You save yourself while a nuclear power gotta play well without no, we don't know we don't. I would shut down their economy and for some of their nuclear weapons might might be released and out. Yet will deal with it, so there s a difference between deciding and wanting. So if we decide and the rights can decide if we get screwed this time, the rights can decide to shut down russian one way or another so Russia, if you listening, doesn't matter what you heard from? they have our leaders, because the leaders work for us us collectively

right. We will vote them out if you screw us and they doubt if they don't act aggressively to shut you down completely and forever we're gonna vote out those assholes sorry didn't mean to sweep. We will vote out Trump will vote. Our pants will a burly we'll photo anybody. You reckon need to give a note. Russia, if you screw us, we're carbon, for I am not talking about the public, because the public owns the Thee ain't that wasn't always the case, but with our social media. Social media reality Social media does move the government and moves are pretty directly and pretty quickly. So you don't want the left and the right to be on the same side right now, Russia, you ve, got a good situation.

you, get the left and the right sort of a little bit least in some areas at odds with each other when it comes to Russia stuff, but you wouldn't much it wouldn t do much for the left, the right to unite, and you don't want to see that. Am I wrong by the way Am I wrong that of Russia's cruisers? Now, what We have given them this opening. It's gonna, be The worst problem Russia's ever had somebody says. That's a little naive Scott Whoever tells me comes onto this complicated topic and says. You're, a woman, you ve got your alone the naive, thank you for completely worthless. Thank you first. your time to make a comment

There's no value to anybody. Why do you do that? Did you feel good. due to say and public order, Stop your Dave. You know that if you give me a reason, I will do The reason I might agree or disagree unwilling to look look. Look at a better time. I'm actually willing to say well, I always think the odds of this are better. Maybe think the odds of another thing you're better, and I will recognise that. But you Stop the things you don't know you were: let's allege that none of us are are frickin Russia, experts. None of us are Russia. Experts. were certainly not international geopolitical experts, were basically beginners, Swift, I got somethin wrong. I would

you just tell me. Maybe I can fix it, but I don't know, what's going through your head to just come up here and Herland Insult How much I know about the topic when I would tell you. I don't know that much about the topic, but you know who else does know about this topic. Whoever said your now, you ve got about bad. This will somebody's coming after me, about how unproductive it is. That's what makes me that you're, you ve seen me be the subject of untold attacks, trolls Nazis and everything else, so you see I've seen me, your will stand immense barrages of attacks and there really bother me like. I will take them personally. But when somebody's so unproductive, even for themselves like who benefited by that re, it off.

one other things we are having here So let me summarised by saying that you ve got to competing moving. in one movie- present- we'll just do whatever Russia words until he gets impeached again, and the other movie Russia will either quickly and visibly The things that we need them to do together a good site and keeps the progress going or there will screw us and the president with the backing of the people, will shut them down hard, just take out their accounts in the pipeline goes first, do we have an agreement? What's agree that the pipeline us stops? If, if Russia's cruisers, because if, if Russia's With this, its NATO all the way you it's done,.

there are no NATO right here, the pipelines done if this grows. It would have to be something that you could demonstrably feel comfortable here that there really happened. Somebody says disagree. I saw one disagree. I would be interested in this in this context. Just saying disagree within reason is fine, because I asked you yes or no but if you're Sunday as a reason for the, why the pipeline should be the first. That would be interesting that, like here.

Russia is nearly broke are thing. You know I've, never I'm never confident that we can tell whose really broke, because right now, if you believe that North Korea is crumbling, IRAN's economy is currently in Russia is crumbling their economy, but they still stay in power. It feels like it feels like. The crumbling economy is not as important as it should be, where it says that we set up not possible to take out the pipeline because Germany would you would disagree, I don't think we have protested, how much pressure we can put on Germany. On that question, I thank you for your feedback. I will talk to you all tomorrow.