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Episode 1485 Scott Adams: Let Me Tell You About All the Fake News and Propaganda You’re Watching Right Now

2021-08-31 | 🔗

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Content:

  • China’s harsh-system advantages
  • CNN Documentary: Fox and the Big Lie
  • Biden checks watch five times?
  • Is CNN done with President Biden?
  • Moderna doesn’t need booster like Pfizer?
  • CNN omits key info on “more frequent storms”

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The post Episode 1485 Scott Adams: Let Me Tell You About All the Fake News and Propaganda You’re Watching Right Now appeared first on Scott Adams' Blog.

This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Good morning and welcome to best part of your entire day. Yeah we're gonna do something here very special, something that I totally haven't done yet today. it's called the simultaneous up. If you like to join me, all you need is got. My mother was a tanker challengers die the captain general flask of vessel of any kind fill it with your favorite liquid and join me now for the on parallel pleasure the debate here today. You think call the simultaneous and it happens now go First, one of the day are, as you know, I must talk about something interesting for a change. I would you like that. It's it's a big change. I know.
But apparently China. I saw one report on this from the spectator index. Twitter account. This is a China will limit minors to play online games just three hours a week with This is limited to an hour each Friday, Saturday and Sunday. So if you're a kid in China, the total amount of video games you can play is one hour for each of the three weaken days now.
What is I suggest well suggests that might be boring, live in China if you're a teenager, but it makes me wonder about the whole chinese system versus the american system, because you know, I think President she of China has made the point that their system should be superior the future and they do have a few advantages. Let me list a few number one: they can block their teenagers from playing video games all day, That's good, I don't know, I really don't you know your. Your common sense tells you it's destroying brains, but wall, kids or play these video games. Is there very stimulated and they're doing hand? I coordination, they ve gotta, think in plan through competing they're out there
their headphones on their talking to other people through being social coordinating planning. I am not entirely sure that video games are bad for kids, especially the ones where they ve got the headphones on in there talking to their friends online at the same time playing stuff. I feel I feel like they might be wrong about this. I get why they're doing it. Probably every parent has the same impulse right, you're, you're impulse of your common sense. Is you don't want kids staring screen and playing with their thumbs eight hours a day for years. What else China can do that we can do they can get much better control of their drug addiction? Not only can the Chinese whither harsh system
The full surveillance legal: now only can they keep people from getting addicted, but they can make us addicted, so they can send us their sentinel and get their competitor addicted, dying of like crazy, while at the same time keeping their own public from having the same problem. How big problem is addiction to modern society if you were to rate addiction on a scale of one to ten for a bigger problem that is to society. It's like a nine out of ten is probably nuclear war, something, but it's like a nine.
And China will be in a much better shape for avoiding that nine sized problem here is another one I think in America. We can't cheat as much against our rivals now. This is sort of speculation, so I'm assuming this is true you I would take effect check on this for sure, but it seems to me Then an american company just blatantly break the law. In spite of the chinese company, you steal their ip without fairly large risk, but it looks like a chinese company can do anything they want to a foreign companies in their country or anywhere else does our government was supported so long as it's good. The competition of China, it's good job, so I feel as though our system wasn't Louis to cheat when were competing as much. I'm sure. There's some cheating go not everywhere. So
we'll how we might have more videogame addiction, but I don't know if that's a plus reminds what lessons we would have more drug addiction, We are more susceptible to achieving. This is things things. This is a big deal if you're trying to figure out which country is gonna dominate in the future and then here's another when this is really big city the ability to propaganda. Now, let's assume that both the United States and it will take time as our totalitarian example- Both of them are hugely successful, such susceptible to propaganda. And I would say completely right- I don't think, there's more propaganda in China than those in the United States. I probably wouldn't have said that always, but at the moment I I can say this with confidence. I don't think we have any less propaganda. Is your cup just comes from different sources?
in our case comes from the different teams. They just do the propaganda themselves, whereas in China the government does not. So we both have terrible propaganda, but there is a big difference in China. The propaganda is controlled by the government, which means that they can control in a way. That is good for the nation even if it's not good, for the people, whereas in the United States, has just a fight between two competing groups, just destroying the country. By tearing apart. so it seems to be that, although both China, I'd say, would be fully propaganda. Is China could do it in a more control old engineered way to get a specific outcome
nine stages is a free for all. We don't know who's. Gonna win the propaganda war. We don't know is going to be more persuasive in any given topic. I think, as a disadvantage, the it would be an advantage if we had a good news in, History, in that case, we would have accurate news. The chinese citizens would have inaccurate news, and maybe that would give us a lot of damage, but since we're both getting inaccurate news- and we can't all the difference. Then I would say the one who can engineer that inaccurate news, the best which would be China may have an advantage So what would be the advantage of our system. only one that I know of Only one advantage that are not now not talking about lifestyle is, there might be a number of lifestyle advantages of
freedom, but in terms of the strength of the toll country, I think our biggest advantages, creativity and risk taking, meaning that we allow it. We allow people to do crazy thing, and just destroy themselves, but every now, and then somebody is the Wright Brothers and they created a later than air a light and air, but they create a flying machine. So there's something about the permissiveness of our system that allows creativity to come out and so far that spend the difference, the biggest differences, creativity and senators capitalism. But I think I think there are a lot of that advantage in China as well. At the moment. Yes, I think invention and risk taking our only enduring advantages will see if that's enough.
Here's some prediction tracking now I've mentioned this before, but I like to keep reminding you. One of the ways that you can predict is by assuming the people act, the same all the time. Ok, you can't trust people to tell you the truth. In fact, I would say you shouldn't trust anybody or you shouldn't trust anything. They re says just automatic here's. What you can trust ready. This is like a really really important re so every now and then I'll make a little statement that can change change your life entirely. This is one of em, so just pay attention to this. Some of you. This will be life, changing it really. Well, you can't trust what anybody says
Let's start with that, I know you can save yourself why I can trust some people now move away from the refrain. You can't trust anything there. Anybody says is true. Just start with that to protect, you Now you have to make decisions right, you still have to live in the real world. You still have to decide what to do. And so far that decision making is figuring out will tell you the truth or not here's. what I would say instead of trusting what people say, which you should never just trust the people. It will be the same as they always have trust that the person who is giving you the information is the same person. They were yesterday that you can usually trust, not a hundred percent. Nothing is right, but Trust the people will be the same as the law.
Last time you dealt with them, some sort of that. My Angelou thank you with somebody shows you they are, I believe, the first time, because it's coming back right, you're, going to see them in the same way again. So if you don't believe it the first time, you're gonna be surprised. So here's here's how this works. if you, if you, if you go, look at the Arizona audit situation and you're trying to predict where it's gonna go, you. Can you say that everything that anything is anybody, son about it so far you should just now. serves people who said that the order has found nothing. Should you trust him now about the people who told you, others, definitely something their whole weight. wait till you see where we got. Should you just don't know now so the two things you should trust all its people say
they definitely have some stuff and I'll show tee later and peoples they defiling go, have a staff because there's nothing there. Don't trust them now use the refrain and trust trust. The people will act like people again so that you refrain people will act. The way people have acted before if you have a big complicated on it is full of people, and people are blabbers or people who have always been blabbers going to stop at being. Blabber suddenly know how you can trust the human beings will have an ex member of Blabbers people will talk about things are not supposed to talk about in any;
Europe. Every time you don't have to wonder if this large group of auditors entity labourers in it. Of course it did one hundred percent chance. There were blackbirds, where are the blabber is telling us that they have already found the stuff in my god. You won't believe it and here's the here's, the area in which this fraud has been found, no labourers no bladders. So by prediction is that because people are always the same, if it's the Ale Arizona had found stuff, there would be plenty of people knew bout it and some of those people, not all of them. Some of them would be bladders. You would know by now right some get it. I'm gonna take this as a prediction technique doesn't mean it predicted right this time. Right is everything is about the odds.
But the odds are there's something with this many people involved. below the same everywhere, all the time, they're the same as they were not save as each other. That are the same as that used to be, and they used to be bladders. Nothing changed that if you haven't heard anything, what are the odds that there's something there every day that goes by, and you don't hear about it with some specifics, the odds of anything being there go away. We them now does mean a right. It is a prediction technique, just track it and see. If there is new propaganda documentary, whose name I may or may not have written down something like Fox NEWS in the
lie? I think that's what scope and the idea is a documentary showing that a Fox news, according to the theme of the lucky military, was culpable in spreading what they call the big lie about the election. Now I haven't seen the documentary yet, but it's getting love attention on social media, but there was one part that I thought was quite interesting. Did you know that that universally bow was talking about Smart Matic, one of these what are the vendors that do voting machine technology? I don't have a camera, their software hardware, Smart Matic. They software hardware, doesn't matter to my fate but Did you know that when you were listening to all those allegations that smart Medic had some issues accordingly
This article on CNN, it says that that in twenty twenty, small Matic, only had a there was only one contract for doing anything in the United States. So the year twenty twenty there was only one county was a big one, was L a county but probably does matter to the overall outcome, that only a small matic was only operating in one county in the whole country. and the allegation is a Fox news left, let out because Your idea of how big the potential problem was is very different. The vendor is only operating in one county. So by years of age, when I read this, the way was really It was as if they were trying to mislead me. This was on CNN. It was written.
So here is the actual sentence. The company accused of orchestrating the Gnat nationwide election fraud had a single contract in the twenty twenty election to provide a new voting system in L, a county, That's an ambiguous sentences when we read it again so safe here how you interpret this one sentence, the company. So this is a talk about small matic. The company, the company accused of orchestrating nationwide election fraud had a single contract in the twenty twenty election too. Provide a new voting system in L, a county, so one way to read this? Is that some automatic, a trivial amount of involvement in the election. I feel like that's what they want me to get out of this sentence, but if you break it. Apart assumes overly specific. Do you oh, how do identify a liar they haven't.
Overly specific denial. Did you kill Bob on Tuesday no, I didn't kill Bob on Tuesday security. If you're, if you're denial, is to specific, it's usually an indication of what And the way this was written is that they had one contract and twenty twenty to provide a new voting system in L, a county was left out of this sentence, did they have any existing contracts? They had. they had only one new voting system contract. The word news there they had one new voting system contract in one is this telling us that they had lots of other existing contracts there, just not new? I don't know I can't tell
I don't know who is doing the propaganda here did Fox NEWS leave that out, which would be a propaganda like mistake, no better, with their intent was or is CNN Shit, the story in the way this just completely misleading. Yet not dominion is another story. Now. Let me let me emphasise that, to my knowledge, There is no evidence of either smart matic or dominion doing anything illegal or inappropriate. I want to say that clearly, so don't get banned from social media. To my knowledge, there is no credible evidence. That's been presented that I've ever seen that looks like either of them today That now, given line by larger philosophy, is that any kind of automated system can be corrupted.
And that, given the number of Intel agencies that would love to do it, it will happen. We just don't know if it's happened yet so corruption of automated systems for voting is largely guaranteed. You just don't know when it's gonna happen, support. I don't know: well they Afghanistan wars over or is it. It feels creepy end disgusting to say that this war is over everybody with me on this to say that the Afghanistan wars over is creepy and disgusting, Does this not over, for some people are drop their not over for our allies that we stranded it's not over for those service dogs we left at the airport. Allegedly, I don't know if that's true so, I wouldn't call it over, but at least the last soldiers have left allegedly. Who knows, if that's even true
Laura Laura Logan is reporting that getting that from senior your sources that stout. Executions have already started. and now we don't know who the executing, but we presume, was people who supported the United States or the afghan government baby. Other people, maybe maybe gaze, may be at least one folks. Singer was taken down shot NED because he sings. Let me say that again, a folk singer. Who was dragged out of his home and shot in the head, not because he was singing anti government or anti Taliban stuff, but because he sings, so they dragged him out and shot him in the head, because music, outside of a religious cut is forbidden by the Taliban, although the Taliban has been doing there There I'll act I'll call it of acting more progressive
they said. Well, we're not gonna make a big deal about the music, but it is Anti Islamic. They say so. The thinking The reporting is that maybe a couple doesnt have so much executions, but the places where there is less media and less fewer eyeballs that they might be executing people like crazy. So there's that. Here's here's your latest CNN propaganda by anecdote. I do do that. There will be exactly one anecdotal story, basically about somebody who didn't get the vaccination and then died. So it's going to be something about. People made the wrong choice according to CNN and they kill them so
they'll be one per day in here's, the one per day, Danny Wilkinson? A? U S. Army veteran died from a tradable illness after being unable. To find an ice. You bed in five different states is mother, tells blah blah. so here somebody you didn't have covered Is a? U S, army veteran, which of course means a little more do was today right. If you can do a story about something bad happened to a. U S. Army veteran today would be the dated. Do that. cuz we're all we're all feeling, unusually close to our military sets out a first statement, Wouldn't you say that as of today
that you as a citizen of the United States, let's say: don't you feel close to your military? You feel that I feel close to them, meaning connected like you were worse or of all in this together. That wasn't always case. Is it's a luxury in this country that Can let the military, glass and fight their wars, and you can think about other stuff and there s a gigantic luxury, but at the moment we do feel close and so on CNN does a story about an army veteran who died because the evil people this would be there there take. Not mine because evil people who didn't give vaccinations la all. The icy use an army veteran who we should be respecting and
showing our best died from it, died from now. This assuming the reporting is correct. This would be a huge tragedy, but it's not right because of the army veteran park. I hear an army veteran who like gives his wrist. His life to the largest, have gave his his living life to the country and what the country gave back to him was a big a few and I'll. I see you bad I guess you're just gonna die, so it's a horrible, anecdotal persuasion story, but it's burning. Good persuasion was so watch the technique, one once you see it, you can't on see it and the technique is s one headline per day on this topic on CNN, say every day every day until.
till I vaccinated stated we all die from going well. Apparently, when Biden was at the military ceremony for the returning deceased veterans He did check his watch about five times now. You go to honour the dead, especially military and their families. Are there please, have your aids take your watch away because you do not want to be seen, checking your watch and this situation, but Joe Biden was five separate times? Why does the present need to check his watch? Can somebody tell me why he would need to check is work? What exactly somebody says meds I feel like that might be it.
Like it might be, as methods could also be a nervous stick ass. I would say that if I don't have anything to do, I checked the time. There's really be. They think it just means moving to do so. I checked the timeline, so I'm not sure that this was you anything except an old man who wasn't thinking clearly because its president, the United States, I suppose that's a pretty big deal But, oh, my god, could he embarrass anymore. now even CNN, as you know, has turned against him. I haven't watch enough MSNBC to see if they have turned against Biden yet but see that has turned against him. I would say that, as a compliment to see, then sorry I know nobody here was here. Be compliments CNN, but I didn't know
They would be able to turn against them, no matter what he did, but boy did they and I'm gonna make a speculate here. You know big network like see, then there will be lots of voices people in charge and the honor talent has a certain amount of credibility and wait, etc. But there is one there's one voice on CNN: they think is stronger than the others. Who would you say that is if I told you there's one voice on CNN, this probably stronger than the others I imagine it's just speculating here, but I imagine that wouldn't we're not watching their
somebody there was stronger than the other players is funny. I'm watching over locals everybody's guessing at stake tapir. So I think it is, I think, Jake Tapir just guessing. I think he has larger- was a just a little bit more weight their partly because we show its popularity does a good job. He knows what he's talking about, but, as you know, I've worked with Jake in the past. We did some fundraising for veterans now. If you watched Jake up a you know that his is concerned,
and interest for veterans has been consistent and ten out of ten right say what you will about the reporting and about how you say what you are, but Jake, tapirs, consistent respect for veterans has been unquestionable. Would he give you that? Would you give me that then Jake tapirs respect for veterans as Ben whatever the ten consistent over the years is really going on that topic? And I've worked with a mother? So I think, maybe he's their biggest influence. Because I can't imagine there, given you Jake tapirs affection for the military, etc that he could.
the CM and give give Biden Pass. I dont think Jake Tapir could ever give Biden the pass for what he did. Meth Kenaston, and I think that that basically forces See ovens hand, does you couldn't have one of your main people saying by is screwing everything up, while the other opinion be people were saying the opposite end of the day. They can't anything it on the same page. So I'm just speculate. I think he's probably the strongest voice there behind the scenes just to get based on what I know of him and his capabilities. And I'll bet that once he flipped on binding that the resolution condemning follows it just a guess, pure speculation. as you know, the Afghans,
withdraw over with call that the big but the big bunch. And and even their Stephan Collinson over at sea and then is writing an opinion peace saying that binding completely screw the boots on that? So once you ve got the main into tramper, writing Anti Biden opinion pieces which he did today. I think it's not the first one think he's done a few. That's pretty serious CNN is done with button. What does that mean? I feel like that's a big deal, because not only see CNN done with Biden, I think they're done with Democrats, because who also they promoting Not come LAR Harris Right,
you don't see them praising Nancy blows it even though I think she's pretty credible person for her tea. I don't know I feel like something's happening here. I think Biden just destroy The narrative that the Democrats had a better plan, this looks like, has been destroyed did you see the video of a helicopter? Looked like a black hawk helicopter, say people who know what helicopters look like? and it was in Kabul and it looks like the Taliban somehow was flying helicopter and hanging somebody from the bottom of the helicopter. Looks like they used a helicopter to dangle. Suddenly they hung from a rope and their flying around. Did you see that I'm gonna call that fake news.
I saw a social media and it was reported. It was reported that it was a hang other two things I doubt number one. One I thought I saw hands moving, it wasn't sure but if his hands were moving, obviously wasn't they hung. So that's my first question would dressy his hands. Moving to they may Elsie looked like his hands were free number, two, We don't know who it was or why now the place your brain goes to is that it was probably some american ally or folksy terrorism. So your hand, your your mind immediately goes to its whatever's them.
worst case scenario of revenge killing and remind them that might have been exactly that which would be horrible, but it could have been just a criminal. It could have been a member of the town. Then, who did something that the Taliban than like? Remember? They hang people for all kinds of reasons they kill. People are all kinds of reasons, One of the reasons that they might want to kill. Somebody publicly is to gain further control over a city. That's maybe are to control on the same issue, but the more brutal you are probably the more control you get over the population, so is boss. that it could have been just a criminal, it could have been Taliban, who is a traitor automatic? So here's the thing. It looked like the worst thing I've ever seen, and maybe it was, it could have been exactly what you think it was a revenge killing that they didn't public from one of our helicopters, horrible but there is a real good chance. It wasn't that it all I just don't want it was so
call, fake news and that only Is there so much farther war that we don't even know if got or or was rely. What are some good news? This is just about the best. news, I've ever heard, but we don't know if it's gonna go to completion yet so representative Maria Elvira Salazar doesn't really, Look at lawmakers Launching this plan, there would allow some kind of a wireless communications for any place that didn't have. It must stay. There is a natural disaster and they needed to put quick communications up, so they would have some Canada, either helium balloons or satellites, or some kind of I think it's somewhat undefined so far, but there would they would fund the development of some kind of an emergency.
the internet that would be used not only where there is a natural disaster which could make a huge deal, but Also, if there's a rogue regime that does shuts down the internet access now. Your me. Do I now understand that you learn musk is putting in place and has put in place a lot of satellites. They would give everybody everybody cellphone and alternate network this there. All the time and my wrong that you musk starling, could do this I don't know if you want to, but I don't know what the capacity is and all that- and I also don't know if your phone would necessarily just automatically use this network, but
Are we write at the verge where Elon Musk can do with the government can do, which is provide emergency internet to any place on earth by pushing a button? Is he building that and you know, how important that would be because, like I said for China to have an advantage of the United States, they need to control the propaganda and the information weapons if they can't do that anymore. What happens if anybody can just slip a switch? Leslie? You know they're on these starling network, a manner as possible, but I don't know I've got a feeling that. Just as active were seriously thinking about. to give internet to people who have been cut off of imminent. Seems like a civilization, changing idea, So let me give a shout out again to representative Maria Salazar.
You are doing good work and that We put you in the one percent of Congress. Has Congress has largely completely worthless? I'm not sure this is the details of the bill are exactly what it used to be, but you're doing the right stuff. So can gradual Asians elected Representative Salazar from Florida always Laura Slaughter taxes is doing exactly the raised I'm going to now mentioned some vaccination stuff without trying to make you feel like I'm talking you into it. Okay, can we agree on that? I don't know exactly how to talk about stuff without making. You think that I'm persuading you, but I don't want to do that- just want to mention some in new things number one. A new study says the Madonna vaccination has twice as many antibodies is fighting so
But you know how you haven't heard about the Madonna and eating booster, you sort of assumed it was coming, but its conspicuously absence from the news right when you think that would be in the news everything, today the Pfizer requires a booster and the other one is the Madonna and then what nothing the Madonna doesn't need a nobody said. now I'm guessing. The EU still will need a booster or at least to be recommended why am I saying that? Even though the Medina has twice? since many anti bodies as the fires are shut. Why do I predict that maternal will need a boost or too? Is it because of my great scientific understanding that even the banana could wear off overtime? No, all the money, even when the money shouldn't be predictive. Why is it always is and should be
I think that it would be science alone that will determine whether you didn't booster for the Madonna. But as long as the economics say you do need one. Is there any chance of what will happen it feels like is just guaranteed by the fact that they make more money and there they control the data. If you control the data, you would make billions of dollars if you show the data one way, verses, maybe another way. What's gonna happen, I think the data is Google. Coincidentally, look the way that makes your billions of dollars I know that's super cynical and the world doesn't always work that way. Now Does I'm saying that if you made predictions as if the world always work that way, you would be astonished how often you are right and you won't know why little fool you like you leave me surprise, like I'm surprised.
work Joe Rogan, was to be pretty angry, that he is old, a bunch of tickets to Madison Square Garden for his upcoming show in October, but from the time they he announced, the show New York City required vaccinations for anybody going to public events and so now Joe Rogan has old bunch of tickets and people already bought the ticket and after they bought the ticket they find out. They can't go unless I get a vaccination. so Joe Rogan to his credit is saying they can get their money back. Cuz he's not going to. He doesn't want to be part of forcing people to get vaccinations, so you can get your money back from a job.
Shell and damage Joe Rogan. That just makes me want to go to your show. What do you do that makes me want to fly across the country and just go to the show, just because you said that you will put up with this forced vaccination stuff, so he continues to make popular and smart decisions. So, little commercial, Virgil, Robin Hood only totally earned here's the more a fake news and how to recognize it. So CNN is reporting that, although this IDA didn't reached the worst case scenario is pretty bad million people without power. A lot of flooding to death so far, so as bad could have been a lot worse but see it as reporting that climate change is making storms more frequent hurricanes are more frequent.
Because of climate change, I suppose that's all I told you, see and is reporting that climate change makes a storms more frequent. How do you know it's fake news? Tell me how you know: that's fake news, just from that one sentence, CNN reports and they show studies, I must say, they they refer to science and not just making up right the referring to science. They said The storms are more frequent and that climate change is being used as these exploration. No source is another: do our sources, they have sources So what are you know say booze, I'm gonna be real disappointed. If you get this. Come on? I'm looking at all your comments here near
Maybe I missed it. Somebody's gonna say it come on ok, you're close complex systems, single variable, yeah you're close- are you get me again close the dogma marking is what they didn't say So here's what they did say Storms are more frequent, more frequent, what's left out strength of the storm. Yes, these strengthens the storm is left out. Why do you say that the strength of the storm is the same? Maybe not right. There could be more of them, the less. How about? what period of time, are you measuring this storms be more frequent. Do you know that is it is hundreds of years of storm reporting. No,
We have only been tracking hurricanes in a Slow way since the seventies so what we say there are more storms were really talking about this. Eighty title, little sliver of history between them. seven, these and now you're in geological terms. Its is just a blink of an eye. So could you say the climate change is the cause when you ll hear such sliver of time feels, like anything, can happen in the sliver just by chance. So that's one thing and then here's the other thing this being left out come on. Tell me another gigantic thing gigantic for understanding. The topic thus left out of the statement that the storms are more frequent
what is being left out besides the severity of the storm in the strength, something else has been left out. Thank you desk out. Exactly our ability to mitigate against danger is really really good now, compared to what it used to be the number of people who were killed by hurricanes in modern times, it's still tragic, but you're talking about a handful. You talk about a handful of people dying from a hurricane in twenty in modern times. Where is hurricane? Could I going to wipe down to city after two years ago? if you're looking at what is the problem? Well, the problem isn't exactly the term more frequent storms. Yet you have to be asked to put in all the other variables, or else is obvious. We find this so called fake news because they leave out the obvious things you put in and then the same story that they like do as their source further claim,
They show and animation of what Charleston the City of Charleston would look like under a number of scenarios of rising sea levels, And the rising sea level that they estimate for Charleston and these urgent, these not predictions. These are just what, if what, if So they show you a graphic of what. If. The sea level around Charleston would up one foot and then shows that areas would be flooded.
This is what does it goes up. Two feet to feed is of sea level rise, Charleston, much more problems, but one of its four feet, four feet of arise. Johnson's largely underwater now was missing from that analysis. What are the odds that the sea levels going go up? A foot? Is anybody predicting the sea level will go up of what I thought, then predictions were more like inches like two inches is gonna, be a problem in the EU if its forages is a big problem, but who who's talking about four feet of sea, reliable rise and then just seems like complete prob, again the bullshit me? I don't even know if anybody's talking about that. I hope that our aid is long, covert, real or not.
Believe it or not, that's a question now I think I think everybody agrees is real. We don't know if it's smallish or biggest that's the bigger problem So, professor of Francois Ballou, this said that there is a proper and study. Do you not think about pre print studies? Everybody if I say, there's a preference study. How much credibility? Do you give a pre printed study, love so the correct answer is low, so this is a low. Credibility doesn't mean is wrong. Low credibility just means you can't necessarily of its true- and this says that when they measure they studied bunch, people in the UK and found out that almost nobody like a tiny, tiny percentage might have something that you who called long covert now remember the estimates of Venice.
As twenty five percent now is long overdue, is affecting twenty five percent. That's a big party or decision making process. But if it's, weigh less than one percent, maybe not so much so it's a big deal. Whether long covid is a is twenty five percent of the public or way less than one percent. But there is also a sketchiness in the coding and the data collection software. Lee everybody everybody, but doctors code different things differently, so they don't necessarily coda as long covered, because they may not know is long overdue. They might just think it's a SEC. Problem. A lot of people probably don't bother going to the doktor, they just feel shitty four months. They don't know why. I just figured something else. So
We doubt that the data on long covert is even close to accurate, but to be fair, I've told you that the numbers show it could be as high as twenty five percent and I've told you that it can be as low as less. The one percent. So I'm just trying to give you the range of what it might be and, if that changes your calculation about decisionmaking may be shared. Maybe you should, I would say that is starting to affect mine the longer we go without really solid evidence of long covert being a big problem the longer we go without that the less. I think it might be right it's sort of the same. Strategy,
they want, you say well, maybe maybe not, but the longer you wait without confirmation, the less likely you'll get confirmation. So I don't know about that. You know the United States is being coy about what we're going to do to rescue the rest of the Americans and our allies. There are trapped in Afghanistan, but do you fault them for not telling you what we're gonna do do about it or being about about it or general? Do you fault the administration for not being specific about how we plan to get more Americans out of there? I don't I think that would be the wrong thing to be specific, because probably we're gonna have to do some things that even the Taliban has to be flexible about. Maybe we might have some secret threats with the Taliban would not even have a secret deal,
as possible. We have a secret deal with the Taliban, were, will release their funding if all the Americans get out or something like that, so I would support the administrations not being straight with us on this topic. I do think that for national security, sometimes you're. A military leaders have to lie to the public. What everybody agrees that that's an acceptable lie if the military genuinely believes that they can protect the country better with a temper? Why do you favorite? I do, but I can respect an argument. The says you don't so tony blank blinkin and by I'm not gonna, get give them a hard time for acting as though we don't have a plan, or speaking only generically about it like some kind of weak plan,
because I imagine a real plan would look like this. Tell the Americans to get to this specific place where the Taliban doesn't have any surveillance or air coverage. will drop some helicopters and there and we'll take you so seems to me like they would have to keep secret from the Taliban and the rest of the world. Some other plans to some that is gonna be stuff. The Taliban does nowhere do right and other stuff might be stuff to tell them. Working with Us- and we can't exactly say that, because we might be bribing there might be, blackmail could be any damn thing. So it's concerning that we do not have a stated plan for getting everybody out, but I dont know that you'd want it the other way, and that is what it is every day and I have to go and has been to reflect see. You
Transcript generated on 2021-09-03.