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well I'll, tell you my my system for checking the sound without the trolls interfering is working perfectly. And I know Paul always says don't. Thank me. It hurts the, but thank you Paul, because you fixed my flow Here is a story Rasmussen and a poll and said that as people, if Biden's policies, increased inflation. I'm sixty four percent of respondents likely voters. There said yes, that Biden's policies, increased inflation. can you guess what percentage of the public? What percentage of the public answered that Biden's policies did not increase inflation. Can you wow

oh, you are a good guessers. Almost every person got this one right, and Whoever guess twenty four percent, let me call of you. so I have to call out does shall do for guessing twenty four percent. You knew that the answer was twenty five percent, And but you are smart enough to know, I was probably rounding and if you got it right, it would look impressive because it was pretty clever. I guess, but if you got it wrong, everybody would forget immediately. So in terms of in terms of how to play this, isn't the comment game? Your comment game? is very strong shadow. The answer is, unfortunately, exactly twenty five percent. Twenty four, well preserved gas was excellent strategy, good game theory. There.

and eighty seven percent of people said that inflation in the Rasmussen poll. Southern flagrant- will be important in congressional elections, do you know what it means. When eighty seven percent say inflation will be important and also that Biden has increased inflation. If you put those together, what does it mean? What will it mean somebody as the red wave Republicans? sweep into office sad. Except. There is one other phenomenon which we will fight against, that it goes like this people like their own representatives, like the commons, so I all year as usual, all the incumbents will get reelected. So

it's more to do with how many empty you know how many vacancies for my understanding is it'll, be far more vacant democrat seats. Is that still the case, the prediction is still for far more vacant. Democrats he's right. I think that was the latest I read, but that could change at anytime now the other factor, the other factor is shit happens. If there's one thing that you can guarantee, is it between them, and the and the midterm elections will be some shit, and you know it could be anything from recording of Biden, saying he'll. He likes to grab women by the who knows what Could be something in Ukraine that could be anything.

There's so many things that could happen between now and election day. That I feel as if making a congressional prediction is just kind of I see, but I'm going to do it anyway. So in this case I agree with the majority. So I agree with the pundits that I think the Republicans will take control of both houses and I believe in two thousand and twenty four they'll take control of the presidency. Most likely, I would say, I'm a little more confident of the congressional apart just cause, it's closer and less confident of the presidency part because Trump is such a wild card. You you throw Trump into any situation,

I know that anything could happen, but if he ends up being the candidate, if he wins the primaries, then I would say because it's Trump, the other side could unleash any kind of attack and then my work. So, for example, you know the Russia collusion thing kind of almost worked right, the you know the hunters, a laptop story, the press may that go away just at the right time. So we do know that the press can create a narrative that the public will believe so does even wouldn't even matter. If Trump did something you alter a provocative I mean everything he does, but if he did something like little extra extra provocative, if that's even possible He doesn't even need to do that because the press will concoct something a narrative that all you're fit. The Democrats

player and the public will believe it. So it's pretty hard to predict how much narrative they could create about what, between now and twenty twenty four and somebody saying Trump as president with dissenters, as vice president. That would be a package. Wouldn't you now. I had actually I'd never consider that as like a realistic possibility, untold literally just just this moment, I must think that role. Have you heard anybody speculate about that package? I think I think I I really considered it because I both of them as as the presidential candidate, which is kind of ideal,

what's the one thing you're worried about with Trump is age right, so where Biden tried to solve his age problem with Kamel Harris that was literally the worst decision anybody ever made, maybe help them get elected. I dunno, maybe maybe she checked enough boxes that the demographics of it work but by you really don't look it by then say to yourself who is were a good shape if the number one has to check out early. But imagine trump President Trump saying something that only Trump can say, I'm in perfect shape at the moment But I totally understand that. A certain age you want wanna backup, laugh, I'm going to give you the best backup plan. Anybody ever gave anybody and he could actually make that sell because

can't would be the best backup plan. because he also might be the best president. Honestly, we don't know play smart enough to know that another another run of Trump would necessarily be better or worse than a first run of the centres. There's no way to know that, but he but Trump could definitely sell that Where to position is so solid that you don't have to worry about it. now, if trumpet, even what we wanted to go further- and I don't know this would be compatible with his personality, but it would be a great strategy You can say, for example, tell you what a guarantee that I'll have a public cognitive test; in other words, it be made public after the fact once every six months or once a year.

Or or on request by my the White House physician, let's say on request- maybe that's smarter as long as people, trust the White House, physician or or how about this? How about the he he hires a Democrat as the White House physician. Why not right? Why not the judge. Just imagine it I mean we'll just work through it. I know this doesn't seem likely to me, so I'm not going to predict it or anything like that, but just imagine it imagine Trump, so here's my proposition dissenters says my number two. Why? How physician? I gotta pick a Democrat and the democratic. And me anytime anytime. They want, because I acknowledge that as a certain at a certain age, this is just a good system. So what trump could sell is a better system it wouldn't

we personally, so he doesn't even have to make it about himself. He guessed You know, wouldn't you be happier if the system were in place right now, wouldn't you like biting to have a republican doctor who is doing it I test whenever that republican doctor deems it necessary and then makes it public and and if it's a negative, thought there might be some double testing requirement, but If the test hold out Vice president is worth somewhat automatically assumed to step up one now it again. Everything has to be a personality fit and I'm not sure that that would fit Trump's personality. The I don't think he'd like to even suggest any weakness in his future. So I don't know the thirty would be the best strategy, but its strategy and

it would be very disarming. Wouldn't it because your people went through the Biden experience. Even the Democrats are saying, I'm a little worried that age is having an impact. Am I right I think that most not most but Democrats were paying attention or at least concerned about their own, their own candidates. Age It would be really clever for trumped up just a suggest, a system that I it could be than during system over a certain age. Make sure that away house doctors, the other party, no hypothesis ass, can you

Greg, Guff held about sending me a signed photo of himself Greg. We ve got a request here from no hypothesis gives me no contact information whatsoever, but I know Greg you're good at guessing, so he does have an address and he does have a real name. We don't know what it is, but I think is reasonable for you to take it. so you can address pick a name. It might get lucky There's a new technology, I saw a Mashable tweet what you get a little, the earbud. That's a near instant, universal translator! Why, now, of course, this sort of thing has been working on for a long time, but apparently the how like a Babel fish.

But apparently the claimed technology, so I'll just say claimed, is that it can translate forty different languages with a half second delay. Do you believe that did do you think the technology is there yet forty different languages? the whole bunch of different accents within each and a half second delay, so that you could ever real time conversation with somebody in a language that you don't speak. I feel like it's inevitable: it will exist. Yeah, inevitable it will exist. I don't if we're there yet I mean there might be a little hyperbole here. Well and rooms are noisy and you've got lots of ambient noise problems etc, but we're getting there speaking

that here's a little lesson for success This will be the fastest little lesson for success is an example of a talents. That is the simplest example I could think of and give you the example to show how to talents which Fairly approachable yo said an ordinary person can learn, When you add it to another talent, if you pick the right two talents, they make you unique, and that makes your market value higher. And then you can get jobs and there's a job that I wasn't terribly aware of. Until recently, a medical translator so somebody who sort of on call for a hospital essay or a doctor to come in on contract the insurance probably pays for.

And to be the translator in the room. As let's say, somebody who only speak spanish or only speaks Chinese is getting service. Now I guess I haven't looked into it. Maybe one of you can tell me right now, while we're on some somebody all will know the answer to this: a translator in that medical context or or sign language, some says A translator in that context probably gets paid pretty. Well, don't they when you say they probably get paid pretty? Well. So wouldn't you imagine, I the following skills. You listen. You already learned Spanish on top of your normal language, English or vice versa. So you can be a translator, but on time,

that you've also made a study of the medical words most commonly used wherever you're going to be translating so that you can translate like obscure medical, because even the regular translator couldn't do that because they have never heard those terms. And then I heard a lesser, you can buy that whither, you sign language, so you could work with a death as well. how hard would it be to learn Let's say you would already learn spanish a little bit if you already in spanish and English how hard would it be to add medical terminology, and sign language. magic going in for the job as a medical translator and you bring that package is pre yeah I've been a big, might take you here's to get up to speed now. This assumes that you're already pretty good in spanish and English.

but the only reason I mentioned this is not to suggest that any of you enter this field is is Swords are really clean example of how to make an exceptional life and of ordinary talents. You just have the ordinaries that work together well to make you unique everybody get that if If you want to explain to someone else how to succeed and you want to give them the most base case. Simple thing use that example. Because artist part of that explaining a talent stack is that when you, when you talk about it, generically people can't quite connect to it But that example is so clean. If you remember it didn't really help me explain it to other people, So then you can become the the people who make other people successful. how many of you have made other people successful by

bring them something you learn from me as a habit. I'm actually curious about that. I also suggest looking at the commas, a lot of people are say. Yes, a lot of people say yes, all the ship, so apparently, and apparently this content travel That's good news. I didn't know that. Actually you know I I I'd never really thought of it that much, but it seems that people who can explain the comb, the content, some aspects of the content. Well enough that it travels I'll, be damned. I teach systems over those all the time, wow. How weird is it.

is that it seems, it seems highly likely at this point that the the thing I'll be remembered for is not dilbert. Do that weird? That is then, if you, if you fast forward to one hundred and twenty or whatever some people still remember Dilbert but I'll, be far more famous for the talents tax stuff in the sea. It was over goals, not even close, because the systems over goals and the talents that stuff are like civilization, transformable concepts- I mean they always existed, but just articulating them allows people to pick them up better. So I mean is the articulating that I did. I guess.

Wow, it's kind of blowing me away. Looking at the comments now on Youtube, you can see the subscribers over locals, but I'd say you're, just a continuous stream of people who have taught other people those concepts with success, meaning that the other people will actually visibly succeeded All right, have I told you before: how life fishes, Lee mirrors movies, and I'm not sure if it's because we think in movie terms, so we just apply that filter to things or, if or something fundamental, such as We are living in a simulation in which our plots are being given to us and then then somebody's observing how we operate and It just seems to me that the simulation if we live in a simulation is about.

Month away from presenting the following star. Storyline now knock at a predict this. Just saying that if we live in a simulated reality that mirrors what movies do we're about thirty days away from the following thing happening wishes. that the pandemic started at a ukrainian laboratory funded by Hunter Biden and the formula for the antidote is in one of his many still lost laptop You could almost see the movie forming in your head gacha and and the searches and there's going to be a part of the movie, where seven or somebody just called in, and it's Wayne to this happened. This happened. Hunter Biden was funding these labs by the way, if you're joining late. None of this is real. Just talk about it, Actual block the Hunter Biden funded these ukrainian Bio labs and

at some point. Another character will say and the antidote is on that lost laptop and the person explaining, it will say, laptops and the then double o seven will say. Alright, two laptops you know do we know where both of the laptops might be, and then the boss says. Not too he had a real problem, losing laptops. We believe there, seven and then the plot that the whole planet to try to find all seven of the missing laptops sort of like. So or like furnaces three rings or gemstones or the shots. and they'd have to like figure out a Hunter Biden's like depraved activities, and go to all the worst places in the world through

if the laptops have to be going into like the darkest brothels in the end. And the most dangerous parts of the world yeah are Are you telling me this would be a great freaking movie, are you learning about what Hunter did, but by going into the places where his laptops can be found, so you so you have to eat. To each of these environments,. now, while how wild it was an has never there. So I can see- movie, never shows him does the aftermath, or or or others I he caused or the the village he burned down her soft yeah. It's a little like the hangover, a movie, all good movies borrow from other movies. Well, the pandemics no laughing matter, except when it is So have you been curious about whether was true or not, that for

generals have been for right. russian generals had been killed by the Ukrainians, which would be like a surprisingly large number well general Petraeus thinks his true at least three of them were solidly confirmed and- here's, how he explained it. If you didn't see this on CNN, by the way. I see it as do the real good job, since I criticise them, often I'll give them or give them credit. Where credit I do and I think, they're doing a real good job, but having generals on explaining what's happening there the year with standing next to the map and point to stuff, it's actually really good. I'm kind of impressed Try us, especially, is doing a good job, and so he says here's what's going on that these long convoys and there are command and control breaks down, because the Ukrainians can jam or turn off. All other

communications, so it turns out that ukrainians are dominating the electronic warfare. Didn't see that coming Didier. I did I mean indirectly, I did because my prediction was that Russia would not have an easy time because Ukraine, should have access to basically the best NATO or american technology so somehow they're they're jamming enough part of it? Is the Russians, don't have good protected communications, somehow that that got taken and stealing cell phones from the locals just to communicate with back home and with their own units. I guess which again makes them targets so I guess at some point because the Russians don't have good. They also don't have initially. is that when the convoy stops the problem of whatever stopped it doesn't get fixed,

until the general who, somewhere back in the convoy, goes up to the front, to figure out what's the trouble and make some decisions that he can't do it by phone, because they've cut off his communications, so that NL personally asked a move from wherever is more protected position to the front of the convoy. Indeed notes waiting for him at the front of the convoy sniper so they makes it all they have to do is stop the convoy and turn off communications. So if you stop the convoy and turn off communications within the convoy itself,. The general is going to have to reveal himself because they don't have good. They don't have good lower management within the ranks, It could lower management you'd, have some officers up front, making local decisions and solving the problems much in the way that maybe the general would have.

But they won't move without the general in the russian Army according to Petraeus. Is that true, I don't know seems like you know. I mean it seems like you know, but I trust anything these days and do you believe that the Ukrainians have these talented snipers? Maybe I mean, I suppose, they've been training for a long time, so can confirm anything that Petraeus says about anything. but it would be interesting to know that that was the strategy and they're further suggests that ukrainians are just operating on. A higher strategic level does not seem to be consistently true. There are enticed neighbours, neighbours, somebody says not correct, but I don't know which what their document yes hard to get a lot of, train snipers.

I didn't know you could create too many snipers, but then again, how many do you need right? If you had six good snipers, you'd, probably get four generals by now. If that is that technique, I described actually produces You think the generals would learn to wear. the outfit of a private when they're visiting the front of the lions, do. You think the generals actually dress as a general when they get out of their truck I'll bet. They do. Unless there's some kind of facial recognition thing going on. Apparently, Clearview is operating over there, at least for the ukrainian side. So by the way, that's an interesting story. I haven't seen anywhere clear of you, the controversial. We recognition company is apparently going big or at least they're participating some substantial way in Ukraine.

and I think it's because the Ukrainians are going to need to have facial recognition to figure out who's russian who's ukrainian. At some point, so young wars change things and war may have made a big difference to their business model. Alright, I saw a jack prosodic tweet, about a poll of Canadians and I talked to vaccinated and unvaccinated people and ask them a question that had nothing to do with either those things it had to do with russian sanctions. and they were trying to find out. If vaccinated people at a different opinion about Russia and sanctions, the non vaccinated, now. I don't know why, but the conclusion is that the people who are unvaccinated, Don't want to go hard on Russia, or probably just don't even want to be involved in any way, including sanctions

whereas the people were vaccinated. are strong on russian sanctions. They really want those russian sanctions, economic sanctions. Now do you think you think this correlation is real? First law Do you think that, because the correlation was super strong, I don't have the exact numbers, because I stronger like eighty, two twenty, I mean real big difference. So there are two ways to at least two ways to interpret it: I don't which one's true so one I would be that the people who don't want vaccinations, don't trust the government to do anything so wouldn't matter what two topics you were talking about, you'd say: would you like a government to know now stop? I do not want the government too.

I don't want the government to force me to get a vaccination. I don't trust and when they say, they're safe. I don't want to to attack another country, because I dont think that'll do a good job that list probably no reason whatsoever, I don't want them thanks. I sank in Russia sanction Russia because Cuz, I don't want them to do anything everything, It was wrong just stop doing everything. So? Is that irrational world to it's, not my worldview. So I don't share that world you, but I definitely respect it. Do do you have opinions like that, where you're you're clearly disagree with somebody's opinion on any topic. But when you hear that other opinion, you say you know, that's not my opinion. definitely respect it? There must be all the people who are in favor of abortion,

when they hear the other topic, the other side about new site today of life and stuff no, These are a lot of people say you know Personally, I might be in favor of abortion, but I gotta admit I do respect the other opinion. It's unusual, isn't it usually we don't respect either the pin the people who have the opinion or the opinion itself, but there are a few cases where you can. You can respect the other opinion, and this is one of them the people who say just don't give the government any power, they'll just abuse and do everything wrong? There are at least partly right at the very least, There are very right, ish years or more right and wrong is just the other exceptions that are worth looking into, and I yes, but as it has a worldview as a starting point, if you

starting point is: don't give them any power, but somebody can make a convincing enough argument. Let's say national defense in which you should anyway, and that's kind of a healthy situation. right, you want people who are totally resistant to the government getting any power there. Very productive citizens live what does Would you want to live in a world in which at least twenty percent of the public wasn't automatically? still the government getting any power was. However, I can The like living in the world, you know I don't want to use the word heroes to cavalierly, but the people who say the Gov, is bad all the time and you gotta watch every single thing. They do don't trust anything, don't give them a dime, don't let them make any decisions,

Those people are very, very productive citizens. Sorry Josh too many varies. So is the same thing. I say about the conservative worldview in general. Somebody asked me about it recently because I prefer Spending time with people who have a certain worldview. we're leaving when I disagree with the sometimes weirdly right, so you most of you know that on social stuff, I'm way left Bernie. But if you ask me, do you all have like a good world view that works that creates younger children and make society work, while of course you do? You got a great you gotta grey thing going. If, if, if I could do it, I will be ruined,

Just because I observe is a really good system. I just for whatever reason my brain is wired to to be a believer. But if it were, I think I'd be happier. because the people who are wired that way seem to be plenty happy. I mean relative to other people. I think science says it. I think obsolete and bears them as well what does that have to do with Biden in Venezuela? Well, nothing, but is Where to you that find. The newest ration is looking to buy oil from Venezuela. Who is as you know, not exactly the most trustworthy country in not exactly And worse, yet, if you didn't know this Venezuelan, Crude oil is due,

heavy. Your dirty was the right word, but it's worse for the environment then is most of the royal that were used as having so some may say. Heaviness re word: hi and sulphur, I'm being told. So the point is the Biden I do allow, or at least encourage more domestic oil production and we would create and fairly, let's say, more benign, nothing's benign, let's say safer are it produces safer energy than Venezuela and we would make the money and then we'd, have this robust industry But, rather than making the United States more wealthy and the environment safer to things that the present in this vote to do-

he has decided to make Venezuela richer and to make the environment worse. And none of those things are an interpretation. Am I right? I mean this. I give opinions here, but that's not Indians he's literally saying my dollars will go to Venezuela. Instead of the United States, is literally choosing the most polluting option when there's a perfect substitute available now to be fair to be fair, lots of times people like me ignore that time, has any element or variable in this lovely not do that it could be that if we're talking about the next year sixty days there, we ve got to do

I'm kind of out of the box things just to keep the lights off, and it may be that if we talking about sixty days, we just need to get any oil. We can anywhere we can, but if you're talking about what's it look like in a year, then you'd think that domestic production would be the obvious way to go, but here's the political calculation. I think. Momentum matters, so if Biden is trying to go green in the long run and the river stolen, that it going to be harder harder again to reverse the reversal, so he may want to say my you may say, is easier to turn off them as well. Then it is to turn off american oil production again you're yard. He got enough trouble for doing once. He doesn't want to wrap it up daft rapid down again when things return to normal.

So it could be that the Venezuela option makes sense for the the short term. It is easier to just turn it off as he don't care, and so it might not be crazy, but I haven't heard the argument, so your. The thing if you haven't heard the argument for it: you must assume the worst yet can I establish the standard for politics? is the standard for which I thought, Obama should have been I'll. Take you back Many years to Obama, administration. he got into office by saying he was open minded about weed and he wasn't going to go after we weed stuff, but as president, he reversed it and started to go hard after dispensaries in California, There were legal in California, but not under federal law. So,

exactly the opposite of what he said he would do without explaining it. It's the without explaining a part that I say should it should have been in peaches bowl. I mean I don't know if that's YO, Nuclear mutual, but in terms of what what is the right thing to do, change your policy or even, if you create a new policy and you refuse to explain why you should be fired. if you, if you do something I don't like and it doesn't turn out well, I might not think you deserve to get fired. Because I do understand that all of our leaders, Trump included, there are going to make mistakes, that's just sort of bacon, if you like to look at the one mistake unless it's so egregious, but typically you have to look at the whole package because they make some mistakes and they do some good stuff. If you don't look at it all you're, just being ridiculous

The fact that binding has not explain to us why he would pursue the venezuelan oil is a real problem, but might be that the policy itself actually makes sense, and I don't think it's too strong the standard to say that. Your administration won't give you their argument. They should be fired. Does anybody disagree with that? If you are an employee who- I didn't tell you why he was do itself to fire. Grass right away it wouldn't matter if they did a good job right? You just say: okay, that doesn't work Jane of Command so everybody's waiting for some kind of breakthrough in the Ukraine situation to get a peace deal and I think the peace deals rather easy, rather easy

Here's ears, all you have to do and by the way, if you didn't know this, if you want a major breakthroughs in international thorny situations, you should talk to cartoonists who do live streams because man do we have a good track record international events by here's, what it looks like an easy situation. So let me just explain the situation. Then you can see why so easy. The only thing we need to end the war in Ukraine rights. This is the only thing you did. We just keep it simple. You don't need all the details. This is all it would take them, or in Ukraine are you need, is a some kind of a totally on the forcible peace deal between the two least trustworthy entities on the planet, both of whom apparently believe are winning.

And for whom losing means death, how hard could it be under that situation for the? this involved to come up with a deal well, it might be hard. But I'm going to explain to you how Trump might make it work, or at least would make a better attempt at it. Nobody knows what would work It's like this, and I this will be my new segment called W w T d. What would trump do? What would trump do Well, the first thing trump will done is he would be unpredictable, I'm alright, And I am seeing smart pundits say that when it didn't said: we're definitely not going to put any troops against Russia there.

she knew exactly what the the worst case scenario was, and it wasn't bad enough to stop them from invading. So is basically permission now number one would trump have been printed. The ball and said under no situation, will we act militarily, don't know. But we do know that his signature persuasion, which he said out loud and often, was to be, so it seems unlikely that who go against his know, primary method, which he, about all the time. So I think, first of all he will be unpredictable. That would be good, but the The thing that would be champions is a carrot and stick approach. and here I'll give you an example and then we'll generalize it to Ukraine. I told you about a co I used to work with who

not only yell at people if they didn't help her. So if somebody, if she didn't help from somebody else in in the and they were not as responsive as she wanted, she will go right boss and just trash them like crazy? I mean really really trash and she would do it instantly the minute you give her what she wanted, and everybody knew. That She added she had a mutually assured destruction thing that was really. Powerful, but that was only half of the technique, and this is what Trump gets right. The other half of the technique was, if you gave her what she wanted. She would go to your boss and say you did a promotion and raise reliably should go to your boss, same man working with this person has been such a joy. Do you understand what

employee you have. I mean you should really retained this person, I'd hate for this person if you really want to think to think about a promotion, then and now stuff really does have an effect on the boss. Doesn't does she was They can Vinci incredible in room in her own right issues very effective. So here's the technique is not good enough to threaten. You have to paint a picture of what the worst cases versus the alternative and make sure that people know that it could be very bad, but here's, the Ciampi in part it doesn't have to just go back, normal? It's not that it's not a question of between be normal and being really bad? It's a choice. really bad or why not really good what? What? What would stop you from being getting everything you want A trompe and offer would look like North Korea. Hey. Not only do we have no reason to me.

It is, but let me show you a little slideshow about how we can invest in. And how we could be in the future economically bound to each other in a mutually beneficial. We did that now. What does that do to your brain? european jargon it broke the frame, that's the technique, breaking the frame, somebody's locked in a frame of you're, my You really can't get out of that. I mean you can't solve it within the frame cuz. You can't make a deal with an enemy. So he he changed. The frame to enemy hell all invest in you. nobody investors runaway. So the fact he had put some work into looking at what an investment would look like, and he was somebody you do could do business with anybody. I mean that's one of Trump's advantage is right. He can.

Business with anybody, Saudi Arabia, let so he was credible before us out, but he was credible as a business person who can make a deal basically so listing but back to the Ukraine situation? So far what Putin has been offered see if I'm wrong, So far what Putin has been offered is: humiliating defeat, conquering a country and having so much trouble, holding it and being sanctioned forever, I mean basically too bad choices.

And world were wanting him to do something that we want him to do by giving him too bad choices have as our as our here's. What a trompe in and again I'm not gonna, say Trump would do this. I just use them as a handy reference point right reference point of somebody who would make a creative, a creative negotiating deal. The first thing put Trump would do shake the box, just change the variable. Somehow somehow I mean the Ukrainians changed a variable by holding on as long as I did but one of the things you can do is put more things into the offer. Surrender. or were saying you, Ukraine, Russia, sanctions, the sort of the whole package, there, probably some positive things you could put in there. You could probably paint a picture of an upside.

Imagine you said: let's just take this as an example, and I'm not saying this would work we're just talking through the concept: Suppose, as the pundits are saying that one of the things Russia wants, is this land bridge so that Russia itself is connected all the way to the I see, and you can see why they would want that now. How much does anybody else care and the other country If Russia has a good economic path to the Black Sea,. is that really something we care about or if everybody have a good, a good transportation system like what? Why are we afraid of their transportation system? I feel like that's a little unconfident on our parts. Now I get that if they're an evil empire

You don't want their economy to get bigger, but if you wanted a negotiating point that understands everybody's going to have to give up something, here's. What a deal would look like. Okay, Russia tell us what your economic interests are and that's the deal will tell us where your economic interests are. and that's the deal with you also in return for this stuff, you probably going to have to figure out how to protect Ukraine without putting military in there, that's probably going to have to eat part of the day. So how hard would it be for us to promise that Ukraine will be a so called neutral country and not a data country? I think we could promise that you know why, because we can always change remind right. Why would we hold back on a promise

We would get something for it would be enormous and we wouldn't give up anything, because we could just change your mind and the future if the situation changed. So I think that that the NATO Art is the most vulnerable part. You just say: you'll do it and if a events change and you need to change your mind, you need to make him NATO than you do it. But I like this concept of creating neutral countries. Is it the whole idea of an industrialized military power invading a neighbor that really has to stop with this, that really this needs to be the last one of those which is kind of why I think you gain is doing the world a big favor by making it so impractical to attack your neighbour with tanks. I think they may stop future wars-

mainly a prevail, so I would love to see the United States, the first law produce to GDP predictions one. If Putin stays in power which pursues sanction, stand and one if he doesn't And so we should be able to show to the russian people to graphs Putin in power. You all make money I'm sorry the power you you lose money, tunes Anna Power, you're up, eight percent or whatever it is, and I think that there should a sweetener to the offer, so it'd be something like alright will. We'll make a serious effort to make Ukraine neutral whatever? That means, but there's probably a way to protect them in a neutral context. But what happens if Russia

yeah, we'll keep her hands off him. are doing their bribery and cyber attacks and the other underhand itself. Well then, you say: okay, if you do that stuff, then the NATO questions back on the table. say just say to Russia absolutely will totally promise. Ukraine will never go into, NATO as long as they're not actively under attack, and that includes cyber right now I don't think, there's anything that would stop Russia from cyber attacks, but you can at least you could at least tell them that that gives you a trigger to to change your mind about NATO, see you always have the out cuz they're he's gonna be cyberattack. Eu you can always say they were you. You have the easiest out of that promise. Anybody ever had and then I think you should promise and a land bridge, but not

SARA Lee through an. if you're willing to make Ukraine neutral? Why do you need to own the land bridge right neutrality by definition means the Russians can drive there with just show their passport and say I'm taking this truck across the land bridge to. The black sea. So it seems to me that neutrality, if somebody could define one that could work something you can work with but I think you want promise the upside too, so they might need the land bridge. They might need the demilitarization. They definitely need Putin to look like you one now, here's the thing the times it moves, I don't know if the United States wants

he's scenario that allows Putin to stay in power. What do you think this is. I like we know who'd replace them seem pretty if he I think we would rather contain him than replace him. Is that right, What do you think I mean we don't have an explicit stated policy about that because we wouldn't say that allowed. what do you say you say, contain him or replacing them? What is the? What is the? U S secret goal, not what they can say in public contain replace. We're all over the board here are: your opinions are all over the board. meaning, I don't I'm not even sure what the american plan is, but I'm not so sure we're not better off trying to squash him. By the way, all the people who say the economic sanctions don't work here is my argument to you.

Everything doesn't work until it does human flight in an airplane didn't work until dead. Fusion has never worked. But it looks like you might so there are lots of things that never work until they did as because the technology usually is changes to the point where the impossible becomes possible. Electric cars flying flying cars. That's all going to be possible. You just have to wait and all Driving and my contribution to this is that we never been so economically connected

we've never had so much ability to communicate because of the internet. So at this point we may have reached a point where, for the first time, economic sanctions could be a kill shot in a way that they never could have been before or or. it might be in the future, but we're not there yet. So this is an interesting test, because if this takes Putin out, it would be the first time an economic sanction. Sanctions took out a leader Am I right? Hey? Is there? Are there any historians here who can answer that question as

He is a leader been taken out through economic sanctions alone, meaning that their own people took him out because they couldn't stand it. Car sharing. South Africa. Would you say South Africa as an example, but after twenty years or thirty, I dunno I dunno my south african history yeah. I guess I guess South Africa would be a case. The czars of Russia. Somebody says. I guess I don't know enough about my history, but it would be an interesting turning point in civilization if economic sanctions. now here's the other possibility possibility? Is that China and Russia. Saudi Arabia get together and they start trading in the wan instead of the dollar.

and then suddenly there's like two separate economic systems, a dollar based one than the one and here's what I say isn't anyway that going has happen. It does it because China's just going to be too big for anybody to say no to their currency and let me ask this question, isn't the only thing that makes currency valuable is if there's somebody who will take it. Am I right there's nothing else. One thing that makes any currency or any crypto valuable is that you have some assurance that somebody will take it. Now doesn't the size of China itself guarantee that there's always a market for the one or doesn't work that way?

yeah you can have a degree in economics and still be totally lost if you're a little bit outside your you're, a channel, it seems to me that there is no. To avoid at least a second currency, the one so I don't know if I don't know if it makes any difference cuz it was going to happen anyway. Maybe maybe at the speeds it up or maybe they just maybe just every currency will be. transferable. I don't exactly understand do. Why is it that, yes, the boy oil in dollars. Is there any reason for that? Is it because we assume it's not going to fluctuate as is that the is that is that the only reason, because I think that alone could be solved. If fluctuation is the only problem, it seems like you could solve it, just contractually.

There yeah we're the most stable economy. So you just assume that the dollar will stay valuable and have a market forever. I dunno that seems pretty solvable. I I think China looks pretty China's going to be around right. Saudi Arabia is going to be around for awhile. Do what do you think about running out of food because of the ukrainian wheat situation, while I tweeted an article by Aaron Smith, a blog there seem to notice talking about He was looking at the wheat situation in Ukraine and Russia, his take, bottom line is that even if we lose The target weight well more than a ton, obviously, but a see. A lot of weight if we lose a lot of weight

his argument- and he goes to the numbers to make his case- is that It wouldn't be that big a deal. Do you believe that and his argument basically is that we've had droughts, I have had this much impact in the past, so basically see if you're having a ten percent hit on weight. That's not that different than hits we've had in the past. For various reasons so I mean imagine if we had droughts at the same time as Ukraine thing would be twice bad, of course, but yeah It looks. It looks like the price we will go up. There also will be substitutes, and I ask you this: do we even need weed, Is we even necessary, like

not even sure people need any delay? I wonder if One of the changes will be that will come up with a substitute. This is better. Let me know a lot of us. We can't live without bread. I know what you mean like just the pleasure of eating bread. Is this kind of awesome Yeah I mean rice is the obvious replacement. Keen, while I mean was even more obvious now nothing's going to happen, there's nothing you can do in America, though fast enough to make a difference. So apparently the idea of you quickly growing more weight in America, so we'll have some next year that doesn't really hold up ways, not really practical in a sort of a one year period, chickpeas, Everything that I see as a potential upside- I guess I'm feeling optimistic- but I think you could

that wheat is one of the biggest health problems in the world. I am I going to get monetize. let me soften that, so I don't get demonetized Is the world healthier or less healthy without weed? Now it might be that the problem is that that's all the low income poor people can afford. So you just have to have it maybe, but it seems to me that aren't we better off without weight, I dunno are we I I do. I do a big bagels he right, but at least they have some akin. What bullshit as assembly says. Well, let's Evan, I saw a picture of trump those on Twitter and I had

ask if it was a fake picture because he looked. He looked at fifty years old, now the things that looked, obviously to have changed. Looks like he's lost weight. but his face instead of being wrinkly, it actually looks younger. So I'm going to say he may have lost weight, but I've done a little bit of work on his face, probably not surgery, but I think that you're not botox, but I think can't you put in the fillers and stuff, maybe fillers. I don't know all the time elegy, but I doubt it was a facelift I feel like. We would have known that.

goodnight that goody anyway, it looks like even changed his haircut a little bit. So it looks. You know a little bit more like other people's haircuts, so The lighting was good, I dunno, maybe photoshopped a little bit but I'd heard from I'd heard from people who have talked to him recently that he he looks great. Has anybody had the same experience does know anybody who has seen him recently and he looks great besides losing weight. Maybe less stress maybe lays out could be a laser treatment doesn't have to be fillers. Filler could be that, but also might be aging backwards. We cannot eliminate that possibility,

Alright, ladies and gentlemen, I believe I've delivered the best entertainment that you didn't pay for, and although some of you did and. I'm pretty sure we sold almost all of the problems. If there's anything I missed. Let me know. I will be working on a micro lesson on how to deliver a compliment without sounding creepy, so only the subscribers on locals will see that Along with the two hundred plus other micro lessons that will change your life by the way. If you learn to give a sincere compliment that doesn't sound weird, it's a really powerful power, so powerful power, that's the best kind of power. The baron Sorcier still working on my book. Yes, I am. I am so mostly

I'm at the phase of compiling what the each of the chapters will be and Then, mostly over the summer, I'm going to be pounding out chapters of it. That's right. The micro lessons are worth the cost alone. facts way to fix social anxieties. The Dale Carnegie Course yet Dale Car He teaches you how to talk to strangers. They have to get the right course. They have a number of courses. You'd have to ask which one is the change. titles but also he says Toastmaster studio. So basically, the way you can fix social anxiety is by training so turns out? Is it's a learning skill far more alert about than a lot of things there?

I think that you, you can't really change about yourself, but your skill at dealing with complete strangers and talking to them and stuff like that. That is completely skill based, you think, is now, but it is right. I need to go and I will talk to you later.