It's in the hockey stick is isn't the total upswing. This is a short path to the singularity like if you're a wondering when the singularity was going to happen. The the one thing you have to know is: it was going to be nothing happening, nothing happily nothing happening. Nothing happened seems like wills happening, but barely nothing beryl Nothing barely nothing, barely nothing whole fucking world changes. If you dont know, that's coming, you better get ready for it and that's what the that's. What this will tell you. I've said before that rejecting the future three years out is now impossible and has never been true before, even even when you could be surprised by war

In short, a just and stuff with a war is still look like a continuation of the world. You knew there just happened to be or right three years now. Nothing will be familiar. I will change eminent and there's nothing that can stop it. It might be in one year. I mean that is probably only the commercialization of it. That makes us three years We had one year you already right better than all humans in one year I will write everything we want written because it will do better and faster You will still be able to write because you learned how you just won't have a reason for it. There will never be a reason to write after about a year now think about that. Just just think about that one thing: writing could be obsolete in a year. That's a real thing right,

by humans could be obsolete it now. It might turn into some version of editing so Here's how I imagine to write a dilbert comic in a year from now so roughly at one to two to three years from now. This is how I would write a dilbert comic. I'd say I dilbert talking to his boss or in the office. Show me a new angle. that we haven't seen before the first battle. Dilbert says blah blah blah second panel, the boss responds blah blah blah. And then the third panel add something funny put a punchline there and then I'm gonna walk away and ask you to be my entire job, in the future. The only answer I will own for dover is the rights to the ip I will. I will longer be the only person who can make it.

Basically, you will be able to make your own dilbert comics at home, just by speaking to your ai. Hey make some dilbert comics for me, but up up up up up now know makes them deliver. Comes I mean just on this topic. Pop up up up up up it it'll be done. That's pretty one your way now No. That was one year away. You re I don't know, what's happening, it's common and it's not just art in writing that will change its everything. Is everything the entire economy? Wars The three years will be exciting. I hope it will be good. Here's, a more absurdities. the one hundred laptop hunters and activities when his father was vice president and even when he was between between jobs,

still sort of amazingly being ignored by one half of the media. Amazing absurdities everywhere, the whole futterman verses us thing. If you're making fun conservatives for their less say there are able ism that fiscal. If you're, if your marking fishermen- because you say that is maybe temporary- disability, is preventing him from doing the job than you are against. Disabled people. To which I say there are still special olympics right as everybody pushed for these special olympics people to just be thrown in with a regular olympics. People zapping or do people understand that

for ability effects- and I know I'm going to go out on a limb here- this is widely understood- and I realize is provocative, but it's possible that your ability, as some kind of a correlation, maybe a accusation to your Let me now I realize we haven't connected those traditionally does little times. People think your ability has nothing to do with your ability, And with famine we decided to disconnect those so his ability we can talk about. How is ability is related to his ability to do the job if his ability was unrelated to his ability to do this because job- and I would say that would be unfair. Somewhat the same with the special olympics. If these special

lumping participants if their ability was equal to the ability of the regular olympics. I would be in fairer than playing taylor and. to me. It's just amazing that this is even the conversation federer been, I guess, came out and says fully supports fracking and he loves racking. He is, is fracking in love with fracking did, I did frank, didn't we always think he was against it. He's just lying right Isn't there a video of him saying the opposite, or am I imagining that cause? I got fooled by the media on one side, so you just lie and apparently that's that works.

how will they actually Democrats? Do you think? I know he is lying about racking? How many democrats do you think I know he's like twenty five percent, yeah it works because they don't read the other media so a democrat. But let me let me give you this. As a model, a Democrat can make lie, lie and be comfortable that the their voters won't see the truth. Would you say that's true, because the left does not read fox news website at all, but the right tends to see both arguments because the the mainstream argument is mainstream. So they're more likely to say it? It's not really a fair fight, there's one side. That knows both sides. We we saw that clearly, and we already talked about this, the MSNBC interview. I guess you call it with

bunch of trump supporters away. You saw that the ordinary trump border, just a citizen, knew more than the professional political reporter and demonstrated it by correcting nor twice on facts. That that was the perfect example of how the right this is both arguments and the left all issues. One side, is: are not these and similar things they're, not even a little bit similar. alright to Biden said in public. Almost everyone who will die from covered this year will not be up on their shots. your analytical caps gimme. Possible reasons why this could be a true statement, can be to one of them would be vaccinations, protect you, but was the other possible explanation

Why this might actually be true that almost everyone who dies from covered will not be up to date on their shots? Could it be because most people will not be up to date, so most people in the world will not be up to now. It therefore doesn't count. It makes sense that most people who were also coincidentally dying, we'll be dying for on it reasons unrelated to go of it unrelated to cover, but I dunno it's amazing. The Biden can say that kind of stuff out loud, but at the same time, do you want to get into real cancellation territory here who's with me? Let's fly close to the sun ready,

son scott: let's do it there's a twitter user. I have mentioned before pulled ethical sceptic. How many of you are familiar with a twitter account of ethical sceptic? they have you on twitter is very well are exposed, and just what the ethical ethical sceptic says This is not what I say so report was somebody said I am not endorsing it and therefore I can not be cancelled. Do we all agree on that? I think we do. so ethical skeptic says the same thing which I do not endorse. Nor do I rebuke It will see no opinion for me yet. He says the latest variant come on the block. What they're calling beat you is seeking out vaccinated and individuals. Three.

over on vaccinated and has a particular taste, for those who were recently vaccinated as well? use famous this user twitter user for being an expert on data and for using public data sources. And putting them together in ways that show different possible conclusions than the mainstream ones I dunno, if anything he does, is real, let let let me say it as quick as clearly as I can. I cannot judge whether the ethical skeptic is a genius who's, doing a service for the country, because many people are looking,

Is it that way and it might be it could be or if it's somebody who doesn't know what they're talking about, but I can't tell the difference. I have no idea, I have no opinion or whether this is valid or invalid, smart or not smart, true or not. True, I have no idea. I really don't like I'm not kidding, I'm not joking. I really can't tell and it's one of my the mysteries I'm trying to solve, but is there any other reason? First of all, do you think is true as a fact in fact, checked. This thing is true that the vaccine, the recently vaccinated, are more likely to get covered because you remember the the vaccinated, the vaccination

Just don't prevent you from getting it, but well what would the recently vaccinated having common? What would the recently vaccinated having common when they democrats, yes, but when they also believe that they needed the booster, wouldn't it people who self possessed and probably their doctor as well Oh you're you're, in a situation where you, rather than be around a lot of people here either round a lot of people or you might be extra week, so it may be true, that the vaccinated are more likely to get infected, but there is nothing about the vaccinated that is common to the public or Let me say that clear. The people who are a recently boosted are a special group of people.

And their special in a variety of ways. So it doesn't tell you anything about the public at large. So is ethical, skeptical showing us something that is of the greatest national importance and we're all missing it Or is it as simple as the population of people who got boosted is not like the rest of us? I dunno I know, and- and I would guess that if ethical skeptic's skeptic were here, he would say Scott Scott, here's why what you're saying is wrong and it would probably make sense like I I'm not selling what my opinion is right, that it's just a mystery to me. I don't I dunno, Keep an eye on that. I heard a theory about china.

Two theories about china that spell its doom and maybe the united states doomed to. But let's talk about china One of them is that already lying massively about their population decrease and that China's populations is substantially smaller than what you thought. It was because they ve already constrain the repository and that when you do that, you end up with way too many retired people compared to workers and is just basically a time bomb and there's nothing. They can do about it. So basically they would be doomed by demographics. That's one theory of white china's doomed number two. There's a theory that the the main thing that makes any country look successful is that their overspending on infrastructure, because they need it and that when

a japan overspent on infrastructure, it looked like they were booming and they were getting eat or lunch, but when they stopped spending on infrastructure and got down to a normal level, they had no gdp growth for years and years and years and that the united states might suffer a similar thing where, if, if governments spending massively, as has been recently that maybe we don't have any real growth like it's all, been government. So by that argument, When china reaches its limit of not limit, but when it does most of its infrastructure projects, and then it slows down because it's done most of what it needs to do is just in your news mode. There won't be enough government spending in china to keep the gdp and then the awful spark. What do you think Well in economics, there's one rule that I like to stick with witches people are terrible, are predicting any the stuff.

And the Adams love slow, moving disasters suggests that people will make whatever adjustments again. So these are gigantic threats to china, but I wouldn't say necessarily that that means are doomed but that they have this third thing going on, which is there no longer trustworthy and being not trustworthy means that people don't do want to do business with you, and I think that's gonna her more than turning now. You know that trick where we said. Hillary Clinton was warning that the Democrats would try to steal the election, which is a signal that I'm sorry, Hillary warned that the Republicans would try to steal the next election. Which is really prime lee environment for the Democrats to steal the election, because you won't see a common if they have made, you think the republicans are going to do. It is just a good way to cover year,

evil now NATO is blaming russia of using the same track, saying that ukraine is planning to use a dirty bomb, nuclear dirty bomb whereas NATO says no. No, no! That's what russia the other side of before they do the thing so pearly, that's a known strategy. The russia accuses you. What are planning to do So have russia uses you of a chemical, a chemical weapons attack? They are definitely through the use of chemical weapon, They accuse you of using a dirty bob or planning it. There definitely planning to use a dirty bombs. maybe to blame. The other side may be just because they want to use it. But I'd worry about this. It looks like an understood problem.

and nato's all over it. So back to my theme, my theme is that we have reached peak absurdity, look at everything, ray. I talked about, there's a story that maybe russia will nuke itself because russia things ukraine is part of russia. So were literally acting serious about the possibility that russia will nuke itself. Personally, I think that's absurd. I don't see any possibility that now I also thought that russia wouldn't wouldn't invade. So you have to put my opinion in context right for so my ability to predict what putin will do is now has been demonstrated as low ability so but

but do not my my most frequent criticism is I never met when I'm wrong. I will submit to you that no one has admitted the wrong more often or reliable they. Then I have of any public figure. As my. Blame that literally of all public figures of all time, nobody's ever spent more time admitting there were wrong in public than I have well, if you think that's false the name, the other person, I think that a number of times I've been done wrong in public would be, he maybe twenty times. Those of you who have watched me since the beginning put a number on it. If you can remember just roughly how many times do you think I've admitted I'm wrong in public twenty times, so he said one hundred yeah but

wouldn't, but you wouldn't disagree. You wouldn't disagree with my estimate of twenty. What you like, that's, not crazy. Somebody says ten or so between twenty and one hundred or so whatever it is. If you're an iffy on youtube, you're, not seeing the comments, the lot, the people in the locals platform, most of them are followed me for the longest time, and they were there not arguing with my estimate. They're they're, just putting different numbers on a position, argue with the main point that I've admitted I'm wrong a whole bunch of times whole bunch of times now if you say, you're wrong more than anybody in the world, or at least you know, you're in the top one per cent of that

What will tell you you'd, never admit you're wrong and that's the most frustrating thing. That's the most frustrating thing, because I don't mind being accused of things. I've done. I mean that doesn't feel good, but at least at least you feel you're in a just world. That makes sense. Well, I did make that mistake. They are criticizing me, okay, so will quit when people criticize me for being wrong about russia invading I don't I don't insult you. Alright, I just say well yup. You got me on that one, it's hard because you're a comedian in the audience as lots of hecklers. Maybe I'm not sure if people even see me as a comedian when I'm doing this stuff, ok, gino says you've.

You've recommended me to others, because I've admitted when I'm wrong that the thing about admitting when he wrong is that I don't think people understand that it makes you stronger if people understood that they would do. It obviously is a there's, a right and a wrong way to do it. But if you do a fully And by the way, is there anything more surprising I'd like to make, some of which were all of my example? it's amazing, how many situations he fits to as as a teaching boy. But so most servants did the whole. You know the pizza gate situation and then, instead of like explaining it away- or you know, make you look like it, the the real problem was his accuser. He just put it in his movie. So he made a movie and he just

The future it instead of explaining apologizing for use, feature that any any other questions, and I feel like that's what allowed his, Is his twitter traffic to grow etc? Is that people saw oh okay, you just he fully ex? He just accepted that, and then he moved on MIKE made the movie a hoechst with an edi on the end hoechst which, by the way, I've recommended very highly it's a tremendous movie, and I think I think we need hoax to to cause a number of hoaxes, since that movie is just begun for hoax to to which I hope he makes.

The whole school is similar to the super power of saying I don't know you don't want overdue that one, but. His power and admitting you don't know something, that's true the other. So now we have sixteen hoaxes and near desert Aubrey

yeah that list and even the people who know that twelve of them are real hoaxes and that they they'll still act like their side is the good one that always amazes me. Alright has a story. I miss today any any big thing happening. I saw MIKE pence teasing that yeah the susan sarandon random tweet, trying to remember I saw it, but I can't remember what the Was at work in the hoax list to be found good question. I think if he went to twitter and just searched for it is also on locals. I published a few times at locals is not a pinned tweet anymore. I changed my pin

There's a book about resources. I think the resources is too narrow. Earthquake guess this morning. I did not feel it resonate variously. So five point. One. What jobs will revise a teenager stuff You know I used to advise teenagers to go into the arts, because that would be the last thing that I would get too all wrong. So now I does better graphic art in it does, but writing already. It won't be long before does, however, better the expensive toilet in san Francisco yeah. That's.

The so the story is a typical stay away from are the air force stars, two million dollars for us grew dark physical screw, not prostitution, and they are. The media assess story wrong every time, every time. Reason that that the one little part cost a million dollars is that nobody may that park. That's like building assembly line just to make the park, and so they charge you what it costs right as a rhetorical and when the media reports that they report, like it's a mark, your price and they just gouged- is never that now not once has that story than true every You saw that story and avenue those of use in everyone was vague. There were all fake

and everybody wanted an economics degree to do it. With everybody watched, I was like no there's a reason: it's a million dollars. Now they may they may have padded the million dollars, which is a related but separate point, but the reason it's so expensive is because they have to retool. They may have also. You know pattern patted the retooling price. I wouldn't be surprised, but the big. The big answer is that they enter into and explain the two thousand dollar air force heated mugs easily there were, there was a special requirements.

If you look at their two thousand dollar heated mugs, I think you would find that they either had to. You know work if your airplane is flying upside down or something there's, probably some weird requirement that require them to reachable something to make them. Something like that, or maybe the the debate and was low, so the only way to make them is on an economically. But if you looked into it, you'd find there was always a reason. Is what you wouldn't find? Well honestly, it did only causes ten dollars to make these mugs honestly, but we thought we could get away with charging two thousand dollars.

I dont believe that's a rapid and if it has some very private, probably got caught and got fired now. The hospital bills are different. I'm talking about the military contracting hospitals charge whatever they. we'll, just whatever they wore they'll make up numbers wherever they can get away with. Hospital prices is just based on what you can get away with when you say I am I right, and it's always praised if they can price it over past. Of course,

so, that's the middle, but osborne was only look at what they can get away with. This is purely a m is closer to her, the scam. Then it is a national business, small trumps, testimony to be on tape today, as can be justly. So how is surprised you dead there and they re six thing followed the following arc. It was the primary thing that the Democrats that they can use against republicans and as this week? Trump is still telling do a fact check on this. I think trumpet told us that he needs to talk more about the election, the election being rigged to win his elections. Do you believe that.

We went all the way from its the biggest problem. The trump has ever been in two. If you don't accept it the view on it, you can't even get elected that might be the biggest switch in my name in the biggest persuasion movement we ve ever seen. Oh, I was bastards right, I'm sorry! craig was blake masters who was receiving a phone call from trump, so it was not. It was not us, but the same point does matter was the same point as that:

that trump can say out loud you'd, better talk about election integrity. If you want to win- and I don't think he's wrong- I think he's actually right I mean even the Democrats are talking nonstop about the elections being a rigger bowl. If Hillary Clinton is agreeing with trump that the elections are now secure, and did that correct me if I'm wrong, but he went all the way from our elections are perfect. Do not a single person in the country trust the elections? I believe you did that all himself right.

There's there's, there's no Democrat, no republican, who fully trust the system. Now you, if you do a poll you're going to get twenty five percent saying everything's fine, but that twenty five percent is braindead. On every question I mean all the thinking. People are worried about election integrity and should be right, which doesn't mean there's a problem, but you should be worried about it. Yeah. The dems have been complaining for years. True once Tromp is shattered reality true story. Now I'm gonna throw in two. Unlikely predictions ready number one Most of the smart people say we're headed for recession in twenty twenty three. I'm going to say that twenty twenty three will be better than we expected economically, I don't know what that means. But I've got to say that

the the consensus of experts will be way worse than the economy and I'm going to base it on some sort of a rule of thumb type stuff. Without a lot of analysis number one. Employment stays. I number two. We ve had enough time to adjust our supply lines. You maybe enough. Next, every other country will be doing worse than us, which I think there is an argument that helps you to be the best and the worst because it gives your currencies wrong. Am I wrong about that that as long as you're a currency is better than all the other places that are worse, you're still? Ok, it's just that. If you're a currency started looking bad compared to others will then you are in trouble, so we don't have to be good. We have to be better than other place

so being better than other places is easier than has ever been. That's never been easier I think the united states has more. The united states is willing to shoot itself to rebuild faster than any other country. I don't know that's true by the way be pure bigotry on my part, but it feels like the. U s is more. Able to bury its various own mistakes- and just say I Everything we're doing up to this point was wrong: let's do it all different rip it out rip it out by the roots. I think we do that faster and better than anybody. So I'll get to predict that are economy except suffer inflation. I'm gonna allow that inflation we'll stay high for awhile because it has to end

it'll give you a counter intuitive. When I say inflation stays high because it has to it has to for good and for bad, like we had to drain where we have to drain some cash out of the system. It's the only way to do it. As far as I know, and but, but as long as everything else keeps humming along as long as america is less bad than all the alternatives. I feel like, I feel like we are going to have a good year next year, which will be a problem for the twenty to twenty four election, because trump or whoever is running. Might run into a strong economy, a weirdly, strong economy and you might be used to inflation by them.

Ishan will not be good next year. So let me be clear: inflation will not be solved next year. That will be the problem that stays with us, but if everything else works, it's going to be absorbable in the long run. Alright, so I'm going to make that prediction that the economy will be better than the consensus of experts. I dunno how much better here's The second one trump has an opportunity that only one person has ever had before.

Only one person in the history of the whole world has been in a position that trump is likely to be in, and it goes like this george Washington walked away from power when he didn't need to for the good of the country. He said, although you know, I think, that's the historical interpretation. I suspect it was a little bit good for him as well, but it got interpreted as the greatest move that really defined the whole country than it pretty much the most

fundamental part of our young national dna, is that george Washington walked away from power. I would argue that nothing is more central to the united states success than george washed and walked away from power, and everybody learned it. You learn that when you're, whatever grave trump will be projected to yo sweep the fields, everybody thinks he can get the nomination and I think any republican can win now. So if job decided not to run. He would be the first president ever who could do a legitimate george washington and if the reason he gave was that he was too controversial and there are other other republicans less say we have similar policies, but less controversy. He would not only ready,

himself for losing the first election, but he would pass into legend territory. It would be legend, If every, if he doesn't second term half of the country, will think it was the end of the world and will always imagine it that way and half will think you did a good job. Probably If he walks away when he is guaranteed to win and allows a republican less aid to get in there just do a good job could be dissenters, somebody else he would be legit. You would be legend You can never take that away from him. Even the Democrats would say: oh shit,

the only problem we had with him was he was he was too provocative and he and he didn't want the country to go through that again. Think about it. Now I don't think he's going to do it. So this is not a not a prediction. It would seem counter to everything everything he's done. It would also be a big risk because it would take him out of the game like too early cause he's not done like he's, got more to do clearly, so unless he had more to do, let's say we're working on truth, social or we're working on fixing the the media. If trump laughed and said, I'm gonna work on fixing the debate

So all all hosted debate shows you can see, see which side works if trump hosted a legitimate debate show he would run the country without being president, doubt me, go ahead. Tell tell me I'm wrong about that. You can't if trump said, I'm not going to run, because I don't think people this age. It'd. Be president! Oh alright, I don't think it's going to happen, but if trump said I've aged the end of the job and I'm a little too provocative.

He will be legend, he would he would ascend. Basically, you would ascend to just godlike territory in the annals of presidents. In my opinion, that would be my opin that nothing could be a higher accomplishment than that and I'm right that I'm wrong and he's not going to do it. So the trouble with my Prognostication prognostication here is that everything you like about trump tells me. You won't do that. Am I right everything you like about him as he doesn't give up, doesn't apologize. Doesnt quit lay those are all the things you light. So if he apologized and quit, I guess it would be an apology, but it will be accepting his own limitations. I guess, if you did, that,

that will do so on a personality that you can't? Even imagine it really? I think he needs to win. now. Imagine he one with a strong vice president, imaginary winds. Real, strong vice president and they steps down in two years, because he's now feel and well, you still keeps the option. But that would not feel as selfless because it would be stepping down putting your own chosen vice president in charge. So that has not exactly george washington material.

Yeah- and I don't see any- I don't see him stepping down under any condition. I don't think that trump would pick Kerry lake. Tell me why go tell me why trump will not pick Kerry lake as a vp well too soon that that's probably all the reason you need to strong too strong. You don't want to pick somebody their people, continually say you now, you know maybe asian maker present, you don't want that conversation ethanol, that didn't happen.

depends. Then it was a lot of conversation about how pens should have been at the top of the ticket. I don't remember hearing that even once, pence was perfect at that. That was just I, I can't say enough, good things about MIKE pence. I don't want him to be president, but my god do. I respect that man for for the service he did to the country. Alright, I think we've done everything we need to do today. Let's go do some other things. Am I right that this was the most amazing live stream you've ever seen did. Did I pull my theme together peak absurdity, anybody that did I make my case. I think I did think I did alright. Well then, in that case, we've done what we need to do today and I'll see you tomorrow.