Pom pom pom bump bump bump bump pom pom pay everybody come on in here. I am only recently awakened. I might be alone dopey this morning and by Had I mean don't bigger than usual. Sir. Start with some Term again whose passed away and we wish the best for his family in honour his service. I know some of you have competing opinions, but we won't talk about them. Today are right, the so there's a story forming. That might be the most interesting story in the world That I haven't seen report it some gallery

port. The story, as I see it, forming see if you think, I'm crazy or if it's the only thing that matters- and it goes like this. Do you remember when the present gonna lacquered knows a lot of talk? About whether you gonna go hard to put Hilary clean, and in jail. Pretty much. Everybody said that would be a bad idea, even if you could because you don't want to become president and then immediately jail. The person you ran against. I can't think of a less healthy thinking for the republic. So it seems to me that, although there were plenty of avenues to pursue, there were there were enough things looked illegal to the trained. I, and maybe the train, die as well that there were.

Plenty of avenues it could have gone and even if the there is nothing there that she did. Illegal that we could see. We already know from the President Trump experience and from every other experience where you have lots of investigations If you dig long enough, you can find something So you had the situation of the president. Believe holding off and playing soft with Hillary Clinton, Even though he didn't need to, but because it was better politics better for the country. Probably wouldn't get that much support, Would be Neil impractical to go after her now fast forward to today.

Today we have a situation in which many of us have Hillary Clinton's personal, friends and allies for decades open to be organizing to put president Trump and of office now. Here's the interesting part. You see President Trump going really tough on Jeff sessions, but not firing him interesting right, He's going to really hard as sessions, especially for not going after Hilary, but he's not firing him. And then we see everything from David Packard. You do, waffle Burg, having immunity to current having immunity and pay

we're saying wait a minute the year that the virus- says closing on the president Let me ask you this, and I haven't seen this I've now in any reporting on us what would happen if they actually got the president on something serious. Well between the time that the president knew that he was going down this hypothetical. What's imagine that they ve. Found something in his is business or something there was problematic He would have a number of months. In power before they before he was technically out of office, What would you do. Well, I think you would employ mutually assured destruction now of the world, but of a half Hillary Clinton.

It seems to me he's setting up the situation to make it clear. If he goes down he's gonna have plenty of time to take Hilary down Here's here's, how you do it fire Jeff sessions and there's theirs- Tons of political blow back but who cares. Because this would be the point where it doesn't matter anymore. He has no to lose he's gonna fire Jeff Sessions, He's gonna pull somebody in if you can get them approved who nothing but take Hilary down. So it seems to me that by threatening Jeff sessions but not moving on it, he's sending the clearest message possible. That is, the deep state takes amount he's gonna take

Hilary out, but may be even better. If they take him out and lets say he doesn't have time to take out Hilary. The next Republican is gonna. Do it. It doesn't matter who the next republican President is whether its pence or. Somebody gets elected in eight years, you twelve years, It doesn't matter how long it takes the next Republican who's gonna take Hilary out, because have to you. Don't really have a choice. Do You can run on the platform to say, look. I'm just gonna. Do one thing: I'm gonna go. Like this, I'm gonna appoint a special prosecutor and only then take Hilary out. Just just even things up.

I think the the desire for revenge would be so high that it might happen anyway. Here's here's my prediction. My prediction is this: if the press- Dodges, although the bullets, the sea to be having his way. Then I think that Hillary Clinton will not be prosecuted. I think that if the president it if they do find something they didn't run him out of office for or prosecuted for after is in office. I believe the Hilary is going down and I think that there is nothing that can stop it, because it will be a priority one at that point now, if he gets rid of sessions, I think there's a problem there, because you have to get the next to her attorney general approved by Congress and presumably, they would stall if they could be to take a bare majority,

I'm not sure the rule there because of its just majority. The Republicans would say, are this one's on you? For majority, we ve got it return in general, Turning genuinely has one job take Hilary Ale I know that might also take out the deep state as well. But I think Hilary is now in the crosshairs, and you may have noticed that the president has one named her. She used to be crooked Hilary tour. But lately he's goin to calling her a crooked, and you know who is talking out sways now, she's like These I share in the Elvis just one name, just crooked: This does sound insane Scott, which part of the sun's insane.

Do you think there is any chance that delivery wouldn't go down if president trunk knows that there no chance. I'm telling you now. If president goes down. Hitler is going to jail for her own crimes, not raising had to do with Trump. It's it's a guaranteed one. Hundred percent Hilary behind bars if Trump gets impeached and actually removed from office. So that's my that's my theory, so it is a good reason to imagine that you won't be taken out now. I saw a study somebody twenty to me recently saying that there is a brain difference between Republicans or less a conservative, at levels, and that one of the key differences is that coins conservatives

the conservatives are more triggered by external threat. So if there's something from outside the country, for example, that an external threat. Whether its communism, more nuclear with stuff Russia or whatever, I'm in theory, services are more triggered by fear something from the outside, so it makes sense that conservatives like a big military and likewise it said slightly different point, but that liberals are a happier in situations of uncertainty, in other words you dont, know exactly what's gonna happen, and there are fine with that. Apple examples. That would be,

open borders or socialism that the two things that those have in common is what the hell's gonna happen. If you do, those things and liberals are more likely to say Scribble dry, in other words a like they, like variety. De there like risk; they like uncertainty, or at least they didn't deal with a better says, very powerful, because if those things are true suggests ways to suggest ways to persuade. So I suggest that president trumps approach of saying emigrations, gonna get us seven. Terrorists are gonna, get us

Closed borders closed borders is suggesting that's exactly the right message for winning the nomination, but that is problematic convincing the other side, so but it also suggests some opportunities- take, for example, healthcare. You might be able to sell healthcare without explaining the details least explaining to the to the left. So you could For example, they were just going use. The technical achievements syn Thinking and be smarter and try some experiments with the healthcare. The left wing price a higher experiments. We like that was try a few things. Still some things we ve never done before. So you could price

ass. A thing you ve never done before would be easier to sell to the left, so there, maybe with some ways to use that all right. I believe, as I have just been reminded, that you have not and not yet enjoyed the simultaneous up, and so, if you could raise your glass razor mug, your vessel, full beverage and join me for the simultaneous. Ah, yes, my chalice, thank you for adding that the mix I raised. My tell us, you know, there's a sentence. I've never said before I raised my chalice:

The Scots and panic mood, but what about the presidency? I am still of the camp that people are panicking about the presidency, but that the risk is far less than you think, and let me give you some examples so we're talking about the risk that David Packer of the Enquirer hasn't a secret, safe, Fulla secrets about the present. Well, that's probably true, but that's not gonna kick him out of office, even if we saw the safe fullest secrets. What difference would it make because its Ogilvy personal life stuff? But more importantly, On what basis would these special council have to make a case about any of that stuff? So in theory, the special council will

not publicize any of the other personal stuff. That's in the safe, because that's not their job there that Interpol. Stuff, so you never gonna, hear about it from the special council in David Becker He has no reason to tell the world who else is gonna? Look at it. So it seems to me that there is probably a safe for secrets. The war remain essay, follow secrets. Maybe somebody whispers about is on my outside big deal, so I think the safe has no risk. I won't say no risk of certain knew nothing has no risk but close to zero. Then you ve got the risk of Cohen. The current knows more than we already know, but I think he would have hinted that were said that

So far, mauler hasn't even talk to co and, as far as we know, sounds like there's not much risk there at all I wish nothing. No smoking gun, nothing that we can see. Lady Davis doesn't seem to be hinting there There's anything special. The Kohen knows then you ve got was a bird who got immunity to testify but it looks like the immunity was just limited to stuff. We already knew about Cowan, so the loss of work thing, probably a big nuthin. And what would happen if the Weissenburg thing extended into the finances of the Trump Corporation Well, that's the red line. I think it. They crossed the red line. Everybody knows that when the deep state goes down and that's when Hilary goes to jail, I.

Quite literally, if you see the special council going after the Trump taxes near the Trump business. I think that's when Hilary goes to jail. That's one sex, This gets fired, that's when the new attorney general or the acting attorney general comes in analyses. The acting turn a general would be which would be Rosen Stein. Right Let's say he doesn't go after Hilary. He gets fired, whose third, in line it doesnt matter, that person is fired too. If they don't grafter Hilary, so the press. And can pretty much guarantee? they. Hilary goes to jail for the citizen, in exactly the same way that the special prosecutor, if they just kept digging everywhere in the world. They find something that looks illegal, so I think us

probably the mutually assured destruction line, and I'm pretty sure that Mahler and everybody else knows where that line is you- and I know where the light is right: it's british spray certainly know the line. So, given that the biggest risks are the ones I just mentioned and actually love smaller than you think, because I was. Isn't going to be talking about anything we don't already know about her. Mahler doesn't already know about Collins already shot. His ward was probably nothing left. Packers safe will probably remain blocked because nobody cares about that stuff. From a legal perspective, is just not important. So then, a morose is completely discredited Even CNN? Stop talking about Amr Rosa you're, even though

Your seller, her stuff anymore, so What would be the risk? the biggest risks. I see them as close, the two zero. Then fifty percent. Nothing's ever zero zero, but I think he's risk is closer to zero than to fifty percent. Did you see I can't tell if it was a fake headliner, but on an msnbc there was the whatever you can the Cairo with the label running at the bottom of the screen and Literally said Trump worried about Europe, is worried about Packer Leap. Trump is where

The package will leak, something that really worried that Packer will lick. Well, that's pretty good was a fake might have been fake, whether was faker real, it's just as funny. So the rest of the new cycle will be dedicated to story. John Mccain, coupled with stories about, isn't prison, didn't tramper, terrible person for not saying that Mccain? the hero. Let me tell you how I feel about that present Trump and John Mccain. Were legitimate enemies they were

there were legitimate enemies, they didn't each other politically and it's pretty obvious they didn't like each other. Personally, Would you be happier if the president was a big phony and came out saying glowing things about Mccain because he died. I don't know that I would like that better. I think We all agree with honouring better an ongoing his service in. I did it. In the beginning of my periscope in case you missed it But what do you want? The president to be a gigantic phony. And to say things I know you didn't mean. I don't want that. I don't want that. All I think the present, laid it exactly. The word want. He said something, so it's better design. Something than nothing

and he showed his empathy for the family because, doesn't have any beef with a family and they're. The ones were both alive and suffering the most. So if you're gonna say something that was a sufficiently respectful thing to say,. And all the rumours that organ re floating about the bad things it. In allegedly did you just Every good and bad thing about him today. So I have I'm having trouble creating an opinion, so you can like you can, like the part, about Mccain that you know about his service, for example?

so. You can like all that and respect all of that, but through a lot of accusations that I wouldn't know if they're, true or false, wouldn't have any way of knowing. Now, here's something about Trump, that's interesting, the seems like a dichotomy, and it goes like this present trump has kept more promises, then perhaps any candidate ever for present. At the same time, his record with the fair checkers is the worst we ve ever seen, but I've argued. There. He is always- and I think this is true. I think it's true that it's all his true

direction. Only accurate and yeah, I'm gonna, give you a a white war. Talker I wasn't planning to do this, so a little bit unprepared. You don't need to know what this is That was me trying to learn the book play the drums, unsuccessfully so, let's say you're trying to figure out who is a genius and who is an idiot.

A a genius would be somebody who, when you're, trying to make a decision, would you then start with facts and they may forth here's your sense of reason, then. So then they start to make their own decision so say their own decision, various facts and reason And then what will they do to persuade and you'll leave that blank? For now. How would an idiot persuade known it it would persuade with

things are untrue. They'd fail the fact checking fail the fact checking victims There are probably use a lot of hyperbole, which you might call bs. So that's how an area would persuade right. There were no use. Bunch of things that were not true: they wouldn't use facts and reason stuff like that. But how did genius persuade. While genius would persuade, with all kinds of reasons the facts right,

So a genius would make a decision based on facts of reason and then they will persuade you using facts Unreason right, but an area would just have no facts. And then they would use buncher. Be us because they're just idiots. This is your general way of looking at the world but I would suggest to you that there an area to sound familiar you. Both idiots, so the reason that this persons in area, even though the using facts and reasons to make their own decisions using facts and reasons to persuade why are they video because this doesn't work. Our people know this doesn't work, doesn't work

If you want to be back to genius you want to borrow the stuff, you wanna, use hyperbole and be ass, etc. Because it works, then you can be a genius now, you ve made no, decisions based on facts and reason, but you know you can persuade anybody say after exaggerate use I personally use fear us or thing. And then you're a genius. Let's say you're an idiot what would it look like change it up, for you I got. I got to this long way, sorry to say anything, We also use facts of reasons because it,

they don't know the difference between accurate reasons and the unity of the thing, Sir faction. The reasons are also good. So, things are starting with us, they reduce their effects on the reasons to persuade you, but I wouldn't because he never does, and their effects on the reasons are wrong If you see somebody making a decision using what they think of the facts and the reasons and then try to persuade you using what they think are the facts and the reasons that's probably an idiot, because this doesn't work and these are probably wrong even if it was right, it wouldn't work, even if they had the right facts and reason, schools, not persuasive. So. If you're looking for a genius looking for- look for somebody who makes their own decisions based on facts, but when there, talking to the public, the region, hyperbole,

And so, and so what you have with President Trump. This. This is something I should apply under had a time because this is something I should a plan ahead of time, because maybe the worst way more presentation, I'm overdone, but with president tramp tell somebody who's gonna get better markers. You got, somebody is failing the fact. Checking more than anybody failing fact checking more than anybody ever has

at the same time he's getting more success is getting a lot done and he's got it using his hyperbole, remotely etc so it's not it's not a coincidence. That is failing the fact. Checking and keeping all of his campaign promises success in this case means uses promises and I've made the claim, they even when he is failing the fact checking he's dead. Actually accurate, which is what the hyperbole us and I'd love to hear, I'd love to hear any counter examples, so the probably arson. I just can't think of any.

I'm trying to think of a situation in which I tried trying to think of a situation in which, when Trump got a fact wrong, there, he didn't get it wrong in the right direction. Another word if he, if he had a fact that was exaggerated or he said the crowd who is bigger than he was Are there any situations where Somebody said Hitler was genius, not true, because here first with incorrect facts so that there would not be a situation with genius. He took credit for no airline crashes, but again, when, when you see the president taking credit for things,

there may be, his actions were not directly about what does cause were you? What's? what's the net effect the president taken credit for some good the happened then, maybe wasn't entirely his doing well, it doesnt pass the fact jacking, but base makes people think all things good. Things are happening in this country, people are happy and they think things are happening. They invest in all this. Things are working well, so it's perfectly good form. For any president, to take credit for things that were exactly things, I did it's very good form. They should do that whenever they can, even if other people say that's not real still works, it still good persuasion,

The birthing was good persuasion. They didn't didn't past effect jacking, but at the time he was trying to. Become a prominent voice in the country which he did partly through that use. Onto bond with the base which he did and He was trying to weaken the president, which it sets a perfect yourself, so the birth or stuff didn't pass. The fact checking but directly at accomplished. Many of the things he wanted to accomplish. And then what they needed to be said. Look into your welcome turns out. There was no problem. I'm just looking under such somebody try to give you an example, jumped our wiretaps here, the wired

An example of something that was, perhaps not technically factually accurate. But it is true that his campaign was being surveillance, so he was waiting in the direction word accuracy, even though the factual whirl. He was forced to give up on the birth or issue. So I'm not disputing that. I'm saying it didn't matter that here published. What he wanted to do with the birth of her issue it made him prominent, weaken the president, their work at the service said, does ethical matter. Well, Giving it let me give you two situations: You ve got to leaders one

and passes the fact checking and because he's not a very inspirational leader, the economy, goes down and some people starve to death. In this scenario that that leader is acting perfectly ethically. They ve never lie, but there also not very inspiring. Somebody starve to death was there. Another waiter uses I probably gets people excited gets here, going, but doesnt pass the fact checking. Never old people make money. People have jobs, the economy is better and people eat. Which one of these two active, ethically one of them said the poor one of them killed the poor, but to see the poor to exaggerate Elizabeth, yet he had to leave- you had to get people's minds and their emotion

is moving in the right direction so which of those was the ethical way. So when you say, but is it ethical. I say according to whose words who deciding what ethical, I usually favor, being children alive. That's just me you might say I'd rather that kid died them here a lie, I would rather, Not here lie. Eyes We give you Let me summarize this this way. The truth has two components: the accuracy, in other words, how closest to the truth and the direction

so, for example, if the present and says there were fifty. Some people at my rally, let's say the actual number was thirty thousand accuracy would be say, d minus, but the direction In this case, the direction is lots of you Were excited to come to my rallies, the direction is an eye Directional speaking having Thirty thousand come to your rally packing the place totally directly accurate. If you said fifty thousand or thirty thousand. Really change anything except how excited you are about the present accuracy would be a d minus if he said fifty thousand. Instead of thirty thousand, that's a pretty big difference,

which of these matters, which one matters the one that matters is new direction. The accuracy never mind, so you ve got an entire news industry talking about the accuracy of what the President says and the accuracy Almost never matters the direction matters every time and it matters a lot. How much do you hate hearing that goes? I just this messed up everything you ever believed about ethics, about the truth, about reality about this precedent. I'm gonna I'm going to say it again, because I like to so much suffering,

right and bigger. So the truth has two parts: accuracy, accuracy and direction. Accuracy for leadership purposes. Now, I'm not talking about engineering, I'm not talking about math talking about any other technical fields in the text go feels the accuracy would be really really important a so. There are plenty of fields, in which accuracy would buy by far be the important thing, medical science and Sarah Bobby comes to politics and leadership, the door,

action of your truth is what matters the accuracy almost never wore matter almost never so, when you're watching, let's say a lesson, President Carter, Jimmy Carter? If they Carter comes out and says, there's a malaise in the country, and I don't know Things are going to go there well and it looks like I'm gonna have to raise your taxes and I don't know what to do about it, and I guess I guess, will always have terrorism. For example, he didn't say those things but imagine if here, unless. That they were all perfectly accurate. What would be the result of all their accuracy while we feel bad win. We wouldn t

as hard just just wouldn't feel like a good country. What if he had said sure things, I'm a bad, but look at all the great things I'm doing things of turning around it looks like it looks like that. Sir the run it looks like a gonna Cavan any minute. It looks like our meal. Terrorism best ever in America's having its best day, we're gonna, make make mare, who read again, If he had set all those things well, they might not be technically accurate suppose he said look at all I've done for the economy, but you thought yourself well that wasn't you jerry that was sort of the last president it would still be better if hypothetical Jimmy Carter exaggerated, because it's just better leadership version if he exaggerated in the wrong direction. Let's say He said you know this country is full.

Report its in the toilet, everything's gonna blow up in a couple of days. That would be heading in the wrong direction. That would be the worst problem you can ever make. Not only are you and accurate, but you're, inaccurate in the wrong direction? So you can you ve got to interact, so as long as you're going in the right direction, with your truth for leadership, Bonaparte leadership, because it will be easy for some of you take the sand tax, this very great one for taking a context if any MIKE. Relax we're watching. This is just perfect for taking out of context. It is a good persuasion for media to criticise his accuracy, Well, it has worked yet has it have you noticed that

The number of inaccuracies, the president has doesn't seem to have a top heavy. If you're a graph I see the media's claims about the president's levels of inaccuracy over. You know you started to be accurate according to them and those like use through the roof, all the number of inaccuracies and times is passed. The fact checking is through the roof. What has it changed? What has changed? What what did it hurt? nothing do you remember? I told you from the very beginning that none of this would matter and that I'm seeing more and more articles, and I think you have to how many times have you seen articles lately.

Saying that the facts don't matter anymore,. You seem like a bunch times write articles, facts, don't matter. We live in a post fact world. This is what people are discovering. This is what I told you in twenty fifteen would be the way our. Our public consciousness would move. We move in the direction of understanding is for leadership accuracy, your facts, don't really matter one of the reasons that the facts don't matter there? We don't even agree what the facts are if we were to take It's the liberals and conservatives were to form groups to less a major anything two major blessing.

How much of the economy President Trump was responsible for or how much of unemployment was affected by this president versus the other. Would the experts agree they would not so why? What is the point of accuracy when nobody reads what the accurate situation is anyway, but if you took the thirty five hundred sack checking failures, as the president has done since the beginning of his its term, and he said I let me take this list put together mostly by levels and handed the conservatives now, what to grade the people who gravid grade the graders, and my guess is that you get very different. Ideas of the truth, so the accuracy not only doesn't matter

But people don't even agree what is accurate? It's something you want to be important, but isn't the direction the direction? the persuasion, will always matter if you say Something is more versus saying something is less that matters I see a lot of people of tone. I should watch the bill more show that must have been aired on Friday night, something about Shapiro on that issue, and I will watch set I think I'm scheduled to talk Ben Shapiro, my the these soft cover version of wind Bigley, will come out in the end of October. I think I think the end of October and.

I'll, be doing a little bit more media them and I'll be talking to Bench Bureau at some point in the next couple of months. What about Joe Robin Talk? Taught him anytime, you want it's not up to me. What shows I era. Should go until March, why belonged Omar once during the campaign. And again, I would go on him if he asked her door. I'm going to go. Do some other things now great talking to you and I'll see you later