Analysis from Lee Carter, president and partner at Maslansky and Partners.
This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Jedediah laughter
PETE
will Joe Biden is shaking up
his campaign to gear up and
leave the basement after Labor
day with plans to hit the road
in key swing. States
Jedediah here to break down
this strategy, shift president
and partner Lee Carter Lee
welcome.
So we see a little bit of a
shift here from Joe Biden
hes going to hit the campaign
trail, albeit a little bit delay
ed still, and he is going
to address the violence going on
in the nation. Even though there
was just an entire convention
where he didnt mention it at
all,
regardless theres been a shift.
Why?
So, I think its a couple
things
one its probably always as
planned, to come out stronger
after the convention.
I think he had a strategy of
laying low and letting things
play out and now hes going to
get out with his message, but I
think its important that we
take note of this shift on the
violence, because its
really really important to the
american people, and I think
they may have misjudged how
important it was to the american
people and what it meant behind
it, and I think a lot of people
were thinking that if you were
concerned about violence, if
youre concerned about law and
order, that also meant that you
did not support black lives
matter, and I think that youre
not mutually exclusive and
thats something hes realized
and recognized as absolutely
essential.
He has to address it to the
american people, which is
absolutely about their
individual safety
PETE Lee hold on.
Was it really always his plans,
because we heard a lot from the
Biden campaign. A lot of
confidence about this basement
strategy is working.
We could do this all the way to
election day and then his
convention happened. Republican
convention happened, violence
was not denounced and suddenly
Joe Acaba nouns im going to
leave my basement, and it feels
like a reaction to a tightening
race where he cant hide the
whole time.
Look, I think, theres no
question about it.
I think that what hes realized
I was just reading some
transcripts of focus groups
about undecided voters and one
of the undecided voters said
this.
He said I feel like Donald
Trump is defining Joe Biden.
I need to hear from Joe Biden
who is Joe Biden.
Only thirty percent of the american people
right now understand what Joe
Bidens platform is.
Two thirds of Americans know
that he is not Donald Trump.
He stands against Donald Trump,
but they dont know what he is
for, and that is a big mistake
and a big miss judgment. But I
think the campaign thought it be
enough, just not to be Donald
Trump in order to beat Donald
Trump
and thats not going to be
enough
were seeing polls tightening
and in swing states its getting
closer and closer, and Joe Biden
needs to make his case to the
american people, and it has to
it absolutely must include. How
are you going to keep the
american people safe, because
that is what Americans most
its one of their biggest
concerns right now
that and the economy, and so hes
going to have to come out with a
message on both of those. So I
think to a certain extent, youre
right and hes realized. He cant
just lay back anymore its time
for him to get out there and im
not sure they didnt have a
strategy to always go out there
more after a convention, but
absolutely right. Now it is
essential. He tells them, because
if you dont tell your story,
someone else will tell it for
you and its. Not favorable
will Lee really quickly. I want
to believe the polls are
tightening, because I want to
leave. We can have our finger on
the pulse of the election to see
how its moving, but, how much
credence should we give the poll
s knowing what happened
in twenty sixteen and this idea that many
are afraid or unwilling to
answer which way they would vote
to a polster.
So how much credence do we give
these movements in the polls
anyway?
I think you have to look at
a couple things.
Dont look at nationwide polls,
so youll understand where
sentiment is moving youre not
going to understand the
electoral college by looking
at it, you need to look at swing
states and look at intensity.
So when you look at how likely
are people to vote thats,
another thing, thats really
important.
The other thing you really need
to look at is independents and
right now the independent race
is tightening.
There was a poll that came out
this week that released it and
said that Trump is ahead by ten
points with the independence
the race is going to be won and
lost, because Democrats and
Republicans have pretty much
decided who they are voting for
its the independent voter,
whose could go either way and
weve got to keep our eye on
those votes.
The other thing youve got to
look at is theres interesting,
polling questions out there
theres a question about who are
you going to vote for, but then a
question about who do you think
your neighbor will vote for and
thats also a big indicator,
because a lot of people are
afraid to share their opinion.
Jedediah Lee Carter? We got to.
Transcript generated on 2020-08-30.