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What does larger early voter turnout from Democrats mean for the 2020 election?

2020-10-21 | 🔗
Heritage Action Executive director Jessica Anderson says Americans, mainly Democrats, are voting at 'historic trends' in the early voting period and explains what it means for the 2020 election.
This is an unofficial transcript meant for reference. Accuracy is not guaranteed.
Ainsley, thank you Todd Steve over to you, Steve Ainsley. Thank you very much. Three days from the election. Thirty six million Americans have already cast their ballots in states, reporting data on party affiliation Democrats showing larger turnout, making over half of the vote. As you can see right there, fifty two percent, the Republicans are in the 20s. Will they be able to hold on to their momentum on the dem side here to discuss, is executive director of Heritage action Jessica Good Morning to you good morning. Thanks for having me, how do you explain the fact that at this point in time it seems like more Democrats have returned their early mail votes or gone in person to do early voting? Well, voters are voting at historic trends right now in this early voting period, and it really is largely Democrats but whats important to look at is that these Democrat voters are what we call high propensity voters. These are voters. We expect to vote for the Democrat Party so its not that they are first time voters.
They are just changing when they vote. They are voting early instead of the day of or in the week leading up Steve, so they are front loading essentially yeah. They are voters that are in the bank, Steve, okay, they are in the bank. Meanwhile, what Republicans are banking on? What I have read in the reporting from the White House is that over the last four years, what the Republicans and the Trump people have quietly been doing is registering millions of more people to vote for, ultimately, they believe Donald Trump. Yes, you are exactly right. The voter registration trends actually give us a much more full picture of whats going on, and you look specifically at lets. Take four states that President Trump won by less than five points in twenty sixteen thats Florida, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Arizona. The voter registration trends in those states alone are on the increase from where they were this time four years ago, so that voter registration
trend, Republicans are hoping will pay off. Those are first time voters in some cases and thats who needs to show up for Donald Trump and the Republican Party before November Steve. So a lot of these people that they registered over the last four years Jessica are people who, four years ago, im not going to vote for anybody, but then, for whatever reason they may have. You know changed their mind about Donald Trump and when somebody came and knocked on their door or registered them. However, they did, I think, im going to give it a chance this time. What are the odds that those newly registered people are actually going to vote? Thats the job of outside groups like mine, as well as the g dot op, to ensure that voter turnout fits that people actually turn out and the enthusiasm on issues right now really is unprecedented, especially with the presidents Supreme Court pick of justice, Amy Barrett, she is driving out voters. There is enthusiasm really across the board.
It will be interesting to see if that enthusiasm can stick and it can encourage voters to show up in November im hopeful. It will Steve one other factor. Real quickly is the fact that so many colleges are not in person. Learning somebody who historically might be at Harvard this year is back home in Ohio or Indiana, or something like that. How is that going to impact? Do you think the numbers that we see two weeks from today well its going to have an impact, because those students are not actually mailing in early voting ballots or absentee ballots right now they are likely to vote at home in their home state and so youre going to see an influx of college students voting in their home state as opposed to the mail in thats going to skew the numbers. I think overall, we have less than two weeks to go. If you have a ballot and sitting on it, its not doing any good for you at home, get it in make a plan to vote and make sure we are prepared on November.
Transcript generated on 2020-10-21.