The blue wave is crashing. Is that my opinion kind of, but not necessarily it's coming from reports from NBC News? Young Republicans are outpacing Democrats an early voting, it's complicated, we'll talk about it, but also there are several other news stories, especially from the hill talking about Democrats losing for a blue wave, it's looking like they're not going to make that many gang they may still when the house, but they might actually lose some in the Senate. The blue wave isn't here before I talk about the news. I want to mention something people say to me: TIM Europe, going on the Democrats too much and what I want to say too. That is, for instance, the Elizabeth Warren story, CNN Rag and Elizabeth, worn, Buzzfeed NEWS rag animals with worn. Might my reporting and the things like about art. Coming from something I just made up, I'm right the news every day, and I can see time and time again what the dummy we are doing is not working and people get upset that I'm pointing that and that's the biggest problem. The Democrats face the refusal to self reflect

embracing incivility working know it. We Oh, it's not. Ok did the progressive push with people Alexandria cause your Cortez work, no accords the economist said we want of seventy eight primaries, we're lost by the caresses. Is there a blue wave? Unfortunately, there may not be- and this is not coming from me- it coming from data and other mainstream sources. So today, let's take a look at it's going out the blue wave and then other talk about why I think the Democrats are failing and I've got real to back it up, but before we get started, police had over two patriotic dot com boards lashed him cast. If you like, the work I do patrons are the backbone of the content. I creates, if you want to see more videos like this, please gonna, patriarch before its lashed him cast to help support my work. First from NBC News, Republicans, outpacing Democrats in early voting in key states, NBC News finds the data suggests and

Yes, I'm among early GNP voters that could put a dent in democratic hopes for a quote blue wave in the mid terms they start by asking, is the blue wave turning purple republican affiliated voters have outpaced democratic, affiliated vote an early voting in seven closely watched dates. According to data provided by target smart and independently analysed by the NBC News Data Analytics LAB Geo P Affiliated voters have surpassed democratic affiliates in early voting in Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Indiana Montana, Tennessee and Texas. The data showed only in Nevada, have democratic, affiliated voters exceeded republican affiliates so far in early voting. According to the data they say, he sent it raises, are underway in seven of those eight states and will prove pivotal in determining which party controls the chamber. The latest data suggests must enthusiasm among early republican voters that could put a dent in democratic hopes for a blue wave in next month's mid term elections. Report

hence typically dominate early voting by absentee ballots, while Democrats tend to have the advantage within person early voting, so, for example, the entire early voting picture in Florida, which has yet to begin in person voting is incomplete and they show this. Wrath where we can see the Republicans are dominating early voting in almost every state except Nevada. Now there are many people who are upset with this data and the store by NBC News. There saying look, Republicans typically dominate by absentee balance. This isn't prove anything. But what NBC New says is that Democrats have an advantage within person? Early voting republicans have an advantage with absentee ballots, but they're talking about Florida, where early voting has not begun. There was a story from NPR fallen Cavanaugh hearings, saying that Susie Chasm among Republicans following cabinet spiked, we could see this reflected in real, clear politics: aggregate pulling data showing a spike in the likelihood publicans will win how seats, I can't say for sure if the spike is caused by the Cavanaugh hearings. But there is data to suggest

that there was a slight because of it. We know the enthusiasm gap closed because of calves. Hearings, if you trust and pr and we can see, you that since the beginning of October, the likelihood of Republicans taking how seats has gone up it fall a little bit, but it is spiking once again right now, as of today, real clear politics believes Republicans will take. Two hundred and Democrats will take twenty five and there are thirty a toss. Ups. Now, let's talk about this blue wave. We can see that republic These are outpacing democrats. We can see that the gap is closing and we can see this story from the I'll just yesterday, dams lower speculations for blue wave Democrats are tamping down experts. Since we blew wave two weeks before the mid term elections as key raises in the house, tighten and winning back the Senate majority looks increasingly out of reach democratic National Committee Chairman Tom Presidency intends new date that he doesn't use the term blue, wave and added that he's always

thought this year's races would be close separately. Senator Bernie Sanders whose campaigning for democratic candidates said he doesn't believe enabler wave. I know a lot of people talk about this blue ev. I dont believe it Sanders told rising healthy because STAR Crystal Ball, I happen to think that an election night you're going to find a very close duration and maybe a handful of determining whether Democrats are gaining control of the house. He said the remarks by presence Anders could be seen as a way motivating the democratic base. Many Democrats are convinced between sixteen presidential race was lost in part, because democratic voters didn't show up, perhaps because they thought there was little chance that Republican Donald Trump so that argument makes sense, may be the reason Bernie Sanders and Tom per as our saying. This is because they don't want people to get cocky. They want them to feel like they have to fight to survive. But there is an inverse argument. When you tell people they're going to lose, maybe they lose hope and just say what the point. It can go both ways you Tom, we're gonna win their say: hey what are wanted. Do we're gonna win anyway

you tell me to lose and they say well, we're gonna lose anyway. You dont know how it will impact people. When Bernie Sanders says he thinks it's gonna be close, he doesn't believe in a blue wave. It's interesting how this, Conversation has evolved from people screaming the middle. This will be a blue wave and our publicans are gonna regret it, and here we are. Early voting data showing Republicans are outpacing. Democrats were hearing independence like sand. And also Democrat saying. Maybe there won't be a blue wave, but there's all Oh data to suggest the Democrats might actually who's in the Senate, more than people thought once again from the hill regrets slide in the battle for Senate report Can I have seen a bump in the polls in several key assistance Labour day, they believe momentum as flipped their party since the fight over Supreme Court Justice, bright, Cavanaugh, polarized, the electorate, hurting Democrats running for reelection in states where President Trump is popular. Two states were Democrats had hopes of pulling major upsets. Texas and Tennessee have moved in favour of rape

organs, races in Arizona to other states were Democrats had hoped to make gains, remained tight, but Republicans feel more confident about there candidates. Meanwhile, the tightest move against democratic candidates in a couple of state that trump one by double digit in twenty sixteen in North Dakota, Heidi High Camp, has fallen behind double digits and in Montana, Senator John Tester, who seemed poised for a victory. A month ago has seen as race tighten amid attacks by the president, I met someone, a political who said that as someone who finds himself far left but does watch my content, he was a little frustrated, I put out so many videos criticising the Democrats, but then he said you know what I watched them and realized you are right. You get over that emotional hurdle yeah, I'm not making things up guts, listen not doing these videos because I just hate the Democrats. I will say I'm absolutely Prostrate with them over their failure to be good leaders, their failure to embrace real policy there embracing

civility there's a lot of things. I think the Democrats are doing wrong. It doesn't mean Republicans, are getting getting a free pass, but our publicans are doing what they always do and the Democrats are just losing Elizabeth Warrens DNA tests. Are you kidding me this the a blue wave, it doesn't seem like it's going to happen. I feel, like you know the poles. My you're wrong. It's a big amid a couple days ago, but I'm not sitting here, just trying to find a way to convince people. The Democrats are losers. I'm a reading the hill, I'm reading NBC When I criticise Elizabeth worn? It's not because I just don't like her. It's because I read Buzzfeed the editor in chief Ben Smith put out a story saying this is how Trump will dominate the democratic primaries, and I said it's a really interesting point didn't just make it up. I did just decide because I don't like to talk about this. There are means news stories across the board talking about how the Democrats are screwing and I'm seeing it and I'm seeing the Poles when NPR says Brett, cabinets hearing

galvanised the republican party. Why would I disagree with NPR when the hill says the fight for breath, Cavanaugh it polarized electorate and it, but both start Republicans. Why would I say the hell is wrong. These are mainstreamed. New sources used are mainstreamed, political sources. If you don't want to hear the Democrats are doing bad plug your ears, it's not just for me it's coming from NBC Buzzfeed Vocs even said the Democrats are reaching Latinos, it is, not a unique opinion among people like me, and the Democrats are doing bad outside of the political room. I think there is a certain cold. No problem worsening among Democrats and that's the inability to did to denounce incivility the inability to highlight these acts of violence. I've seen across the board, I tweeted, I feel, like the modern leftist pushing me away. This was basically because for those not familiar when I approached gent younger of the young Turks and try to have a polite conversation about something they did. I disagreed with. He said

tell me he swore at me calling a Trump supporter went off and I was pissed, and I said this is it. This is what happens when I talk to these people they yell at me in response to that I got several thousand responses. Many conservatives were pleading with me to vote republican Sanctum, give it a chance, listen, don't ever say. Let's talk about our disagreements and then I had people on the left, insulting me and mocking me and calling me a snowflake and just that's what I saw was at every level in personal, something of course they're they're couple good people, but the most prominent messages from verified users. Where that I was stupid I was just playing the victim that was only doing this to make money. I was trying to convince conservatives that I'm a walk away or something when I genuinely frustrated because Genk Huger yelled at me. If I have a bunch of people and I got filmed and I'm I'm I'm pissed off, and I sat universe where I feel like, and the response from Republicans was there there buddy? Let me

Are you a beer? Some Republicans insulted me and made fun of me for being bald Orson like that sure, of course, nobody's perfect, but thousands of men, from people saying give it a shot but republican. You have to do it. Here's. Why should do it? and then I got overwhelming response from the left saying too bad crybaby too bad and and the response to what I said to them. Why are you being mean to me? They said because you choose, how can you be so dumb to be? You know this lighten the game that understanding what is at stake here, and I said because you to tell me what is at stake here. You didn't it's not just me. I want to go on a big rant again about why I'm so frustrated these people, but it's not just me Bridget Potassae tweeted, the other day I've had a lot of people coming. Me in the past two years, but no one has been meaner and talk. Down to me more than blue, checked liberal men and I won't forget it, Brigitte says he's an independent and not entirely sure what or politics are, but that tweet resonated with me, because my when I tweeted

the modern leftist pushing me away. Who should I vote for the Republicans? Don't hold my values? What happened? Blue checkmark liberal guys started conduct what we're condescending. They were insulting me. They were to writing me they're, making fun of me and that an that's how it went on- and I said this is how you convince people. This is how you expect to convince someone that you weren't you that your side is the right time to vote for. Meanwhile, I'm getting thousands of responses from conservatives offering up actual positions arguing, my liberal positions, but overwhelmingly just trying everything in their power to convince me. What's gonna convince me calmed reason debate or you insulting me is that what you think is going to work. When I see the pole changes, I feel like its partly because of these cultural issues. Shore Brett cabin up and culturally.

That that made Republicans one about more than ever, because what they saw with due process, but I think about incivility, I think about what Maxine Water said, I think about after Charlottesville and meet the extreme violence that we saw. You still have democrats calling for incivility and that blows my mind. Do I give do I get it, off the hook for saying very fine people, no, of course not. But what blows my mind is that when I ask people, why should I vote for it? For you they say republican, bad. Unlike listen telling me republicans are bad is no reason for me to vote. For the Democrats. I wasn't Ann Arbor on my way back on my way to the airport, Angeles, and there was a nice old man was DR and me, which I talk about politics. He said he loved Bernie. I said he. I was Bernie Guy too I started mentioning how the poles are suggesting a democratic thousand. Why did this? He said shaking his head wise

and I said way way way I put before us anything. I dont think they're gonna do it. I think it's gonna be assumed by the Republicans. They said yes absolutely and this guy was a Bernie support. This I was left to use progressive, here's an older guy, and he said the Democrats are offering us anything there. Not telling Anything there's no counter to what our publicans are doing. They never do it, and I said that's exactly how I feel I feel like we ve got all of this. This is you know, stuff in the air, politically violence, incivility immigration and our publicans keep making points about jobs, not mobs. They say that the immigration, the Caravans Babby Border Security, there actually saying things where the Democrats, don't see it, I dont and I'm I'm in a state where Bobby Mendez running for the democratic platform is actually in a tight raise with the with Bob Human you'd. Think there'd be a lot more going on. You'd think they'd be trying as hard as they can to reach out to people like me, but I just don't see it. And then I see vocs criticising Democrats. I CNBC New sang, look republicans outpacing them, but the hill reports that enthusiasm is

out of the blue of might not happen, and I say up why I believe that their doing anything right. Look I don't like this. Oh and just another forty minute rant about what's going on, but suffice it to say. It looks like now based on data based on a sentiment of Democrats and Bernie Sanders as well as the early voting results. There might not be a blue I've, it may have just been talk. Maybe it's not gonna work, but you know what my predictions are worthless. We really don't what's gonna happen, so I guess what find out in a couple weeks. Can we really interesting absolutely so limited to think the commons villa? Why do you think the blue avis crashing do think there ever was a blue wave or was it just rhetoric was an attempt to convince people to know that there is going to be some big push they had to go out for. Was it a rallying cry below will keep a conversation going to follow me on Twitter, TIM Gas, stay tuned, new videos, everyday at four p m. I got more videos coming up on my second channel. You too got comes lashed him cast news at six p m extra. Hang it up

I'll see you next time.